Clinton leads Trump by 6 points after Democratic confab: Reuters/Ipsos poll

OAN ^ | 7/29/2016 | Grant Smith

[Bobalu]

[rigelkentaurus]

And what is a “online poll” of likely voters?

[SaxxonWoods]

Sounds like no one is reading the article. The tell is right in there.

The first poll doesn’t include the fringers, Johnson and Stein. But those two are making their minor mark.
In the poll where they are included, the outcome is:

Clinton 37%
Trump 37%
Johnson 5%
Stein 1%

I think that’s close to reality, given that reality changes day to day.

The gist of all the polls is that the race is close. I think that’s correct. Close/not close and trends are what polls tell us about. Expecting anything more is not realistic, just as expecting a batting champion to hit .500 is not realistic.

When I went back and looked at polls vs results, most of the polling in the R nomination race was quite accurate. There were glaring exceptions, but they were obvious as soon as you saw them, they stuck out.

[dontreadthis]

OAN is usually quite good

[piytar]

Hmm, no internals. Wonder why? /sarc

[odawg]

We will have to wait for Monday for any reliable, if they exist, polls.

[fortheDeclaration]

Notice that Hillary never gets higher then 41-42%.

They have to lower Trump in order to get her a lead.

[achilles2000]

“credibility interval”? WTF is that?...Confidence intervals I know, but I think that the article actually reveals that journalists aren’t familiar with even the most basic statistical concepts.

[Jim Pelosi]

Rejigger? That has to be racist. 10 demerits and re-edukation for inkorrect thinking!

[Thumper1960]

Fortunately, I reject PC dogma.

[Enchante]

25% on “other”????

I call garbage.

[jwalsh07]

They polled 57% women and 42% men and have Hillary beating Trump among both. She also wins the independent vote. Poll is worthless.

[jmaroneps37]

It was 11 before conventiond

[LS]

Yes

[38special]

As predicted, as expected.