If this and the other poll that has Trump leading, are true, I believe it is a direct result of the over-reach of the establishment. They’ve been all over TV talking about how they can change the rules, and even speculating about picking someone who isn’t even currently in the race. Plus, they’ve been spending millions on attack ads in WI. People don’t like such open displays of corruption. People may also be realizing that neither Cruz or Kasich have a real shot at getting to 1237, and they are, therefore, not legitimate candidates, only in there to aid the establishment in their dirty work.
Notice that unlike some of the BS polls of late that say Cruz is ahead and ONLY SAMPLE REPUBLICANS, this poll included independents and democrats!
This is an open primary state and Trump has crossover voters which will affect the outcome!
I trust this poll more than the others who only sample republicans but we will have to see what happens when the dust settles.
Small sample size, shaky assumptions, perhaps inaccurate sampling techniques. Lots of reasons for the wide variation of poll information collected already.
And who is to say whether many of these “polls” were in fact bogus, measuring no attitudes, but designed as “push polls”?
Only one poll counts, and that is the one collected on April 5th and tabulated throughout the evening.
I think they are the same poll - American Research Group
And despite the non-stop full-court press against Trump, Cruz still can’t break 50% in Wisconsin—At least in the polls I’ve seen.
It has been my observation over the years that “momentum” is a big factor for voters. I will never forget how McCain was in absolutely last place until New Hampshire, I think and then he went on to wipe out Giuliani in just a couple weeks. Giuliani had been 20 points ahead for months.
I feel that some stupid voters just like to say they voted for the winner. I can say that whenever I want. We have secret votes. I can claim to vote for whoever I want. (And will lie if I am ever asked in an exit poll, just to mess with the pollsters.)
I think the pollsters and the media are hoping to do this again by claiming that Trump is 10 points behind Cruz. Some stupid voters might fall for this, but I hope not too many.
Maybe it's dawning on folks. Kasich and Cruz are only talking about (1) how they can defeat Trump and (2) complaining about things Trump says. They aren't saying ANYTHING about what they'd say or do as President.