All the pundits have been saying that Trump had a bad week. It seem eerily similar to what was being said during the time when that Rubio was on the war path; then Rubio imploded and lost Florida. An event even more ominous than losing a “home state” is just around the corner for Cruz. There are 808 available “pledge” delegates left in the contest. Cruz has 463; he needs 774 more to get to 1237. After he loses 34 more delegates he will not have any way to get to 1237.
Cruz has been repeatedly spreading the BS that he can still get to 1237 before the nomination. Once he can no longer do that, this contest is going to get exponentially more difficult for him. The illusion will be gone. Cruz will have no more legitimacy in this contest than Kasich does. It will actually start to dawn on people that a vote for Kasick or Cruz is nothing but a vote for the GOPe. Their vote will be wasted. The GOPe is not going to be giving the nomination to Cruz and probably not to Kasich either.
I wonder what the Free Republic Caucus is going to look like when it is no longer mathematically possible to reach 1237? It is probably not going to happen this week, but it is not far off.
I think we get to that point on the 19th, perhaps the 26th of April.
Even if it takes a bit longer, he’s toast and he knows it.
By my calculations, he needs 91% of the remaining delegates.
If he loses 75 more the Trump, it’s over.
There are 846 more delegates out there according to the Green Papers.
We’ve pretty much seen the honest Conservatives abandon Ted by this point.
A Conservative WILL NOT support a floor fight at the Convention, and that is what Ted is all about now.
There’s no denying it.
I think you’re on the right track. I agree with you.