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Why Trump Will Beat Hillary & Cruz No Longer Can [Arthur March vanity]
Arthur Wildfire! March

Posted on 03/18/2016 4:29:04 AM PDT by Arthur Wildfire! March

Time and again Ted Cruz slammed the door in his own face. Donald Trump, on the other hand, has the Midas Touch of politics.

One recent national poll showed Trump at 53% support by republicans. Whether true or not, trending will continue to look better for Trump if nothing serious changes -- from both parties and independents.

Eight points.

The first point is a little 'numbers crunching'. The rest point out choices Trump and Cruz made during the primary.

Point 1: Ohio.

True, Trump only came in second. But he he took on a wildly popular governor in his own state.

Trump got 700,000 votes.

Hillary won with 666,000 votes.

To defeat Trump in Ohio, Hillary needs to steal hundreds of thousands of Kasich supporters. Is that even possible? In most states she will have an even tougher challenge.

Point 2: Trump is the ONLY Republican who ever turned the tables on the 'war on women'. [Cruz said that kind of thing is off the table.]

Point 3: Trump's trade policy will be wildly popular. [Cruz opposes.]

Point 4: Trump's muslim ban is a strong net gain of support. He's been poaching democrats ever since. [Cruz opposes.]

Point 5: No republican has been more effective than Trump when it comes to exposing rent-a-mob thuggery. In Illinois that gave him strong support as well as his surprising support in Missouri. Even if a recount hands Missouri to Cruz, he was supposed to be the clear winner there. [By blaming Trump, this was the worst political error Cruz ever inflicted on himself.]

Point 6: On immigration, Trump is arguably as strong as Cruz. That was supposed to be the key to Cruz winning this primary. Trump managed to steal it from him, and he will own that issue in the general election.

Point 7: In a poll last year, Jack Baur was America's favorite choice to be President. So who is closest to Jack Baur? The one who promises to waterboard? Or the one who refuses to discuss it? Trump approves of waterboarding, and Cruz ducks that particular issue.

~~~

Now for the point that 'Trumps' Cruz completely ...

~~~

Point 8: A path to the Convention is nothing without a path to Party Unity.

*

I repeat: A path to the Convention is nothing without a path to Party Unity.

*

There's no path to party unity if Cruz somehow 'out-conventions' Trump.

I heard Jamie Dupree [daily Hannity guest] talk about how delegates are selected. Positively byzantine.

Does anyone expect Trump supporters to understand if the front runner is taken out via a convention struggle?

Farewell to Party Unity.

Fortunately for the party, Cruz himself hallowed out his support and softened resistance against Trump via points two through eight. If Cruz remains serious about damaging Trump, by the time of the convention the only 'excitement' for Cruz will be Grahamnesty astro-turf and a handful of jeddi knights.

Only one clear path to party unity -- we must back the front-runner.

~~~

Counter Point

Only one counter-point -- polling. Hillary is 'projected' to defeat Trump. His current negatives are high.

All of that early polling mean next to nothing. November is a long way off, and the dynamics of points two-through-eight are what matters.

~~~

One Last Point

Perhaps most important of all -- Trump self-funds. The 757 that jets him around is HIS jet while the donor class feels his engines' blowback.

I agree with Pat Buchanan.

A real drum-beating is about to commence. Trump is going to not only defeat Hillary but slice open the DNC and rip out its entrails.

Cruz can either be a part of it, or he can find new ways to injure his own face with a door.


TOPICS: Chit/Chat
KEYWORDS: convention; cruz; delegates; nope; trump
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To: House Atreides
Trump is too self centered to bow out and support Cruz to defeat Hillary.

The front runner should drop out to support the candidate that can't win in the East and can't win in the South? That is how delusional Cruz supporters are. Your guy in not in it to win, Ted Cruz is just doing the uniparty dirty of trying to stop Trump so that Mitt or Jeb or Kasick can be the GOP nominee.

61 posted on 03/18/2016 6:02:23 AM PDT by jpsb (Never believe anything in politics until it has been officially denied. Otto von Bismark)
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To: Arthur Wildfire! March
Cruz can either be a part of it, or he can find new ways to injure his own face with a door.

It might be too late for Cruz...As he sinks further and further into the GOPe abyss, his original supporters who latched on to him due to his anti-GOPe rhetoric may be scampering toward the real anti-establishment contender, Donald Trump...You can see it starting right here on FR...

62 posted on 03/18/2016 6:05:06 AM PDT by Iscool (Trump will Triumph)
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To: Liz; Arthur Wildfire! March

see post 28 (in particular the 2nd half of the post) a narrowly focused campaign.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3410498/posts?page=28#28


63 posted on 03/18/2016 6:05:10 AM PDT by Whenifhow
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To: Eddie01

‘I got learned up real quick. I see myself in some of the newbies and I’m careful not to be too harsh.’

I’m normally that way too. Actually, there are never enough friendly responses to a newbie and harsh ones, I suppose, are probably too common.

And I do appreciate you backing me up.


64 posted on 03/18/2016 6:06:27 AM PDT by Arthur Wildfire! March (Obama giving away the internet: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3407691/posts?page=38)
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To: Fantasywriter

I have no doubt in my mind that we are getting a WALL!

That sanctuary cities will suffer a smack-down.

That violent, thieving immigrants are in for a world of hurt.

That immigration will be curbed.

That we will have a muslim ban [reg. immigration]


65 posted on 03/18/2016 6:08:42 AM PDT by Arthur Wildfire! March (Obama giving away the internet: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3407691/posts?page=38)
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To: Arthur Wildfire! March

I’d say it’s 50-50 with Trump that any one of those happens.


66 posted on 03/18/2016 6:10:33 AM PDT by John W (Under One Year And Counting!)
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To: Liz
Cruz allowing this indicates he/ll do anything to get his sorry carcass into the Oval Office.

He/ll come out of this a damaged individual w/ no future in politics.

And there's no way they are going to hand the crown to Cruz at the end...He must know this...He's now trying to save the 'machine'...

67 posted on 03/18/2016 6:14:11 AM PDT by Iscool (Trump will Triumph)
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To: Whenifhow

Quite a post you linked to. FRegards ....


68 posted on 03/18/2016 6:15:36 AM PDT by Arthur Wildfire! March (Obama giving away the internet: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3407691/posts?page=38)
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To: jpsb

“...Your guy is not in it to win, Ted Cruz is just doing the uniparty dirty of trying to stop Trump so that Mitt or Jeb or Kasich can be the GOP nominee.”
*****************************************************************************************
Yes, I understand that you have allowed yourself to be so brainwashed that you may actually believe those silly words you penned. I’m not sure whether that is more pathetic or more sad. It certainly is somewhat depressing to see so many drift off into a world of fantasy.


69 posted on 03/18/2016 6:16:21 AM PDT by House Atreides (CRUZ or lose!)
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To: Arthur Wildfire! March

Cruz couldn’t even have a shot at as much media time as Trump because Cruz isn’t as brash or loud. Trump has the benefit of having a big mouth who shouts over everyone. And his boorish behavior is endearing to a lot of people. Maybe if Cruz acted like a drunk he would get as much airtime.
What details does trump offer? In each debate he talks about grand plans but hasn’t really said anything about how to implement them. Mexico isn’t going to pay for that wall, but it sounds good. Cruz has been talking about building a wall since he entered the senate. Cruz defended Christian values in front of the Supreme court and won. Cruz won in front of the Supreme court 9 times. But Its trump that gets labeled a defender of the Country. That’s because Trump just speaks in talking points and says crazy things. Since Obama the race to be POTUS has become nothing more that American Idol. people don’t want brains, they want big talk and grand plans.


70 posted on 03/18/2016 6:16:57 AM PDT by Yorlik803 ( Church/Caboose in 2016)
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To: House Atreides
Trump is too self centered to bow out and support Cruz to defeat Hillary.

After watching the min-documentary, Trump's 'road to the Whitehouse', I'm convinced Trump still doesn't really want the job and Trump would bow out in a minute if someone came along who could and would do the job...Cruz is not that man...

71 posted on 03/18/2016 6:23:20 AM PDT by Iscool (Trump will Triumph)
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To: John W

I would have supported Cruz had it not been for 2-8. But he’s opposed to important parts of my agenda. It has nothing to do with Trump.

Even if the worst of your fears are realized, this is not Trump’s mandate. It’s OUR mandate.

The DC well is poisoned. We are seeking a new water source.

You can oppose it all you like. We’re not drinking from the Patomac.


72 posted on 03/18/2016 6:23:22 AM PDT by Arthur Wildfire! March (Obama giving away the internet: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3407691/posts?page=38)
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To: Iscool; Jane Long
...there's no way they are going to coronate Cruz. He must know this.He's now trying to save the 'machine'...

Right....and as Jane Long pointed out.....the Cruz money pot needs massive infusions b/c he stupidly blew his wad on the Southern strategy that came up zilch.

73 posted on 03/18/2016 6:25:06 AM PDT by Liz (SAFE PLACE? A liberal's mind. Nothing's there. Nothing can penetrate it.)
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To: Arthur Wildfire! March

If Trump is nominated I’m voting for him. If by some miracle Cruz is, what will you do?


74 posted on 03/18/2016 6:26:08 AM PDT by John W (Under One Year And Counting!)
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To: Arthur Wildfire! March; Eddie01
I hadn't noticed you were a founding member of FR, Sir. ...long time.

My sarcastic post was really fired at the Noobs and Election Year Trolls. ...they're everywhere.

There s/b something in acct setup, 'Vanity, first post - Double-Secret Probation!'

...carry on.

Happy Friday !

75 posted on 03/18/2016 6:26:13 AM PDT by TexasCajun (#BlackViolenceMatters)
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To: House Atreides; jpsb

I’m curious what you and others think about trade?

Trump and Trade

‘News for the elites: We’re already in a trade war and we’re losing our ass! — Jim Robinson

~ ~ ~ ~

Cramer: Listen to Donald Trump [regarding trade]
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3410369/posts

~ ~ ~ ~

Why Trump Is Winning: The Hypocrisy — And Disaster — Of American Trade Policy

— by Eamonn Fingleton at forbes.com

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3409806/posts

~ ~ ~ ~

Now finally after Donald Trump’s apotheosis, Americans are beginning to learn the truth. Factory workers in the old Soviet Union had a cynical joke: ‘We pretend to work. They [the bosses] pretend to pay us.’

Similar logic applies in the world trading system. Washington pretends to write the rules; other nations pretend to obey them. For two generations already, increasingly pathetic American trade officials have turned a blind eye to the blatant barriers facing American exports in key foreign markets.

The result has been a tragic roll-call of factory closures in the American heartland. The problem with free trade is... [snip]


76 posted on 03/18/2016 6:26:17 AM PDT by Arthur Wildfire! March (Obama giving away the internet: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3407691/posts?page=38)
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To: Yorlik803

Do you realize your talking points are incorrect? Trump has very clearly stated his plans and positions on his web site, and how to implement them.

We send millions of dollars to Mexico every year. We only need to take the funds for the wall out of the money going to them.

Cruz has NOT won in front of the Supreme Court 9 times, he won 5 out of 9 cases.

Please investigate your positions instead of accepting media and candidate rhetoric.


77 posted on 03/18/2016 6:27:21 AM PDT by Duchess47 ("One day I will leave this world and dream myself to Reality" Crazy Horse)
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To: Yorlik803

‘What details does trump offer?’

Immigration Reform That Will Make America Great Again
https://www.donaldjtrump.com/positions/immigration-reform

The three core principles of Donald J. Trump’s immigration plan

When politicians talk about immigration reform they mean: amnesty, cheap labor and open borders. The Schumer-Rubio immigration bill was nothing more than a giveaway to the corporate patrons who run both parties.

Real immigration reform puts the needs of working people first, not wealthy globetrotting donors. We are the only country in the world whose immigration system puts the needs of other nations ahead of our own. That must change. Here are the three core principles of real immigration reform:

1. A nation without borders is not a nation. There must be a wall across the southern border.

2. A nation without laws is not a nation. Laws passed in accordance with our Constitutional system of government must be enforced.

3. A nation that does not serve its own citizens is not a nation. Any immigration plan must improve jobs, wages and security for all Americans.

Make Mexico Pay For The Wall

For many years, Mexico’s leaders have been taking advantage of the United States by using illegal immigration to export the crime and poverty in their own country (as well as in other Latin American countries). They have even published pamphlets on how to illegally immigrate to the United States. The costs for the United States have been extraordinary: U.S. taxpayers have been asked to pick up hundreds of billions in healthcare costs, housing costs, education costs, welfare costs, etc. Indeed, the annual cost of free tax credits alone paid to illegal immigrants quadrupled to $4.2 billion in 2011. The effects on jobseekers have also been disastrous, and black Americans have been particularly harmed.

The impact in terms of crime has been tragic. In recent weeks, the headlines have been covered with cases of criminals who crossed our border illegally only to go on to commit horrific crimes against Americans. Most recently, an illegal immigrant from Mexico, with a long arrest record, is charged with breaking into a 64 year-old woman’s home, crushing her skull and eye sockets with a hammer, raping her, and murdering her. The Police Chief in Santa Maria says the blood trail leads straight to Washington.

In 2011, the Government Accountability Office found that there were a shocking 3 million arrests attached to the incarcerated alien population, including tens of thousands of violent beatings, rapes and murders.

Meanwhile, Mexico continues to make billions on not only our bad trade deals but also relies heavily on the billions of dollars in remittances sent from illegal immigrants in the United States back to Mexico ($22 billion in 2013 alone).

In short, the Mexican government has taken the United States to the cleaners. They are responsible for this problem, and they must help pay to clean it up.

The cost of building a permanent border wall pales mightily in comparison to what American taxpayers spend every single year on dealing with the fallout of illegal immigration on their communities, schools and unemployment offices.

Mexico must pay for the wall and, until they do, the United States will, among other things: impound all remittance payments derived from illegal wages; increase fees on all temporary visas issued to Mexican CEOs and diplomats (and if necessary cancel them); increase fees on all border crossing cards,of which we issue about 1 million to Mexican nationals each year (a major source of visa overstays); increase fees on all NAFTA worker visas from Mexico (another major source of overstays); and increase fees at ports of entry to the United States from Mexico [Tariffs and foreign aid cuts are also options]. We will not be taken advantage of anymore.

Defend The Laws And Constitution Of The United States

America will only be great as long as America remains a nation of laws that lives according to the Constitution. No one is above the law. The following steps will return to the American people the safety of their laws, which politicians have stolen from them:

Triple the number of ICE officers. As the President of the ICE Officers’ Council explained in Congressional testimony: Only approximately 5,000 officers and agents within ICE perform the lion’s share of ICE’s immigration mission¦Compare that to the Los Angeles Police Department at approximately 10,000 officers. Approximately 5,000 officers in ICE cover 50 states, Puerto Rico and Guam, and are attempting to enforce immigration law against 11 million illegal aliens already in the interior of the United States. Since 9-11, the U.S. Border Patrol has tripled in size, while ICE’s immigration enforcement arm, Enforcement and Removal Operations (ERO), has remained at relatively the same size. This will be funded by accepting the recommendation of the Inspector General for Tax Administration and eliminating tax credit payments to illegal immigrants.

Nationwide e-verify. This simple measure will protect jobs for unemployed Americans.

Mandatory return of all criminal aliens. The Obama Administration has released 76,000 aliens from its custody with criminal convictions since 2013 alone. All criminal aliens must be returned to their home countries, a process which can be aided by canceling any visas to foreign countries which will not accept their own criminals, and making it a separate and additional crime to commit an offense while here illegally.

Detention, not catch-and-release. Illegal aliens apprehended crossing the border must be detained until they are sent home, no more catch-and-release.

Defund sanctuary cities. Cut-off federal grants to any city which refuses to cooperate with federal law enforcement.

Enhanced penalties for overstaying a visa. Millions of people come to the United States on temporary visas but refuse to leave, without consequence. This is a threat to national security. Individuals who refuse to leave at the time their visa expires should be subject to criminal penalties; this will also help give local jurisdictions the power to hold visa overstays until federal authorities arrive. Completion of a visa tracking system [required by law but blocked by lobbyists] will be necessary as well.

Cooperate with local gang task forces. ICE officers should accompany local police departments conducting raids of violent street gangs like MS-13 and the 18th street gang, which have terrorized the country. All illegal aliens in gangs should be apprehended and deported. Again, quoting Chris Crane: ICE Officers and Agents are forced to apply the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) Directive, not to children in schools, but to adult inmates in jails. If an illegal-alien inmate simply claims eligibility, ICE is forced to release the alien back into the community. This includes serious criminals who have committed felonies, who have assaulted officers, and who prey on children¦ICE officers should be required to place detainers on every illegal alien they encounter in jails and prisons, since these aliens not only violated immigration laws, but then went on to engage in activities that led to their arrest by police; ICE officers should be required to issue Notices to Appear to all illegal aliens with criminal convictions, DUI convictions, or a gang affiliation; ICE should be working with any state or local drug or gang task force that asks for such assistance.

End birthright citizenship. This remains the biggest magnet for illegal immigration. By a 2:1 margin, voters say it’s the wrong policy, including Harry Reid who said no sane country would give automatic citizenship to the children of illegal immigrants.

Put American Workers First

Decades of disastrous trade deals and immigration policies have destroyed our middle class. Today, nearly 40% of black teenagers are unemployed. Nearly 30% of Hispanic teenagers are unemployed. For black Americans without high school diplomas, the bottom has fallen out: more than 70% were employed in 1960, compared to less than 40% in 2000. Across the economy, the percentage of adults in the labor force has collapsed to a level not experienced in generations. As CBS news wrote in a piece entitled America’s incredible shrinking middle class: If the middle-class is the economic backbone of America, then the country is developing osteoporosis.

The influx of foreign workers holds down salaries, keeps unemployment high, and makes it difficult for poor and working class Americans [including immigrants themselves and their children] to earn a middle class wage. Nearly half of all immigrants and their US-born children currently live in or near poverty, including more than 60 percent of Hispanic immigrants. Every year, we voluntarily admit another 2 million new immigrants, guest workers, refugees, and dependents, growing our existing all-time historic record population of 42 million immigrants. We need to control the admission of new low-earning workers in order to: help wages grow, get teenagers back to work, aid minorities’ rise into the middle class, help schools and communities falling behind, and to ensure our immigrant members of the national family become part of the American dream.

Additionally, we need to stop giving legal immigrant visas to people bent on causing us harm. From the 9/11 hijackers, to the Boston Bombers, and many others, our immigration system is being used to attack us. The President of the immigration caseworkers union declared in a statement on ISIS: We’ve become the visa clearinghouse for the world.

Here are some additional specific policy proposals for long-term reform:

Increase prevailing wage for H-1Bs. We graduate two times more Americans with STEM degrees each year than find STEM jobs, yet as much as two-thirds of entry-level hiring for IT jobs is accomplished through the H-1B program. More than half of H-1B visas are issued for the program’s lowest allowable wage level, and more than eighty percent for its bottom two. Raising the prevailing wage paid to H-1Bs will force companies to give these coveted entry-level jobs to the existing domestic pool of unemployed native and immigrant workers in the U.S., instead of flying in cheaper workers from overseas. This will improve the number of black, Hispanic and female workers in Silicon Valley who have been passed over in favor of the H-1B program. Mark Zuckerberg’s personal Senator, Marco Rubio, has a bill to triple H-1Bs that would decimate women and minorities.

Requirement to hire American workers first. Too many visas, like the H-1B, have no such requirement. In the year 2015, with 92 million Americans outside the workforce and incomes collapsing, we need companies to hire from the domestic pool of unemployed. Petitions for workers should be mailed to the unemployment office, not USCIS.

End welfare abuse. Applicants for entry to the United States should be required to certify that they can pay for their own housing, healthcare and other needs before coming to the U.S.

Jobs program for inner city youth. The J-1 visa jobs program for foreign youth will be terminated and replaced with a resume bank for inner city youth provided to all corporate subscribers to the J-1 visa program.

Refugee program for American children. Increase standards for the admission of refugees and asylum-seekers to crack down on abuses. Use the monies saved on expensive refugee programs to help place American children without parents in safer homes and communities, and to improve community safety in high crime neighborhoods in the United States.

Immigration moderation. Before any new green cards are issued to foreign workers abroad, there will be a pause where employers will have to hire from the domestic pool of unemployed immigrant and native workers. This will help reverse women’s plummeting workplace participation rate, grow wages, and allow record immigration levels to subside to more moderate historical averages

https://www.donaldjtrump.com/positions/immigration-reform


78 posted on 03/18/2016 6:28:37 AM PDT by Arthur Wildfire! March (Obama giving away the internet: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3407691/posts?page=38)
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To: TexasCajun

Happy Friday!

I came out spittin’ nails... lol


79 posted on 03/18/2016 6:30:55 AM PDT by Eddie01
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To: Arthur Wildfire! March

All true—especially the wall. If Trump does nothing else, he’ll build the wall. He loves building things, and is VERY good at it.


80 posted on 03/18/2016 6:31:11 AM PDT by Fantasywriter (Any attempt to do forensic work using Internet artifacts is fraught with pitfalls. JoeProbono)
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