Posted on 02/19/2016 2:31:20 PM PST by springwater13
Final 2/18#SCPrimary2016 Poll Bush 11.56% Carson 5.22% Cruz 18.96% Kasich 8.49 % Rubio 18.07% Trump 33.51% Und 4.19%
Change from the 2/17 Poll
Trump (+0) Cruz (+1) Rubio (+2) Bush (-2) Kasich (-1) Carson (+0)
It looks like the Haley endorsement is sucking some of Bush's support and that is going to Rubio. It's going to be very tight finish for second place tomorrow.
(Excerpt) Read more at twitter.com ...
But despite the desparation of the Cruzers who think that posting the same BS polls more often somehow makes them more valid, there is no question as to who will win.
One of those BS polls skewed the number of “very conservative” voters to 50%. If 50% of the voters were “very conservative” Cruz would be out in front by 20 points.
I would settle for those numbers tomorrow night.
Those changes are withing MOE, therefore this poll shows no change.
I’ve never seen a poll that is +- 15 points. Anything is possible these days.
All the polls are BS
I am concluding that the Cruznadians are descending on talk radio and seminar calling. Rush is getting peppered by these Cruznadians.
Actually, it's much worse for Cruz than that. The Opinion Savvy poll found that even with the 50% very conservative electorate, Trump still was on top by 3 points. And the RCP average is currently Trump by 13.4% The Iowa upset had Trump up only by 4.7% and that was in a caucus that is very difficult to poll. I still think Trump wins this.
The polls have been open for many days now.
How many people have already voted?
How many people has each candidate s campaign deliverd so far?
Those are the only numbers that matter right now.
Public Opinion polls became irrelevant the day the election polls, the real polls opened many days ago in SC.
And the polls opened many weeks ago in Georgia, where I am.
“I am concluding that the Cruznadians are descending on talk radio and seminar calling. Rush is getting peppered by these Cruznadians.”
Honest, a Cruz guy called in, said he was in Ohio I believe, and he had a Canadian accent.
Today, a woman called in and said she was initially for Trump, but has switched to Cruz. Rush acted thunderstruck. Both were lying. The lady was a Cruz-bot. Happens about every day on his show.
Just remember, ALL the polls under-polled Trump in NH, even Emerson.
Yup, which is why i don’t take much notice one way or the other. Doesn’t change my stand.
Rush screens those calls. Should rename it the Ted Limbaugh show.
I don’t have a link because of the way I got this information so you can believe it or not believe it if it makes you feel better but here goes.
Just got an Email of McLaughlin South Carolina Poll done for National Review on line it’s Trump 34/21 over Cruz.
Some of the more interesting internals- Trump leads among Hilary haters 36/23 among Registered Republicans 32/22 among Indies 40/15 among conservatives 29/26 among men 44/14 women 29/26 among Catholic Republicans 39/20 Cruz leads with Evangelicals 27/26 Trump takes second place votes from Cruz.
It also says lots of people hate Trump flame away for no link but I’m on a special list and this IS National Review so they don’t help you get it out.
These numbers look pretty reasonable, particularly relative to the RCP poll averages and the new South Carolina Republican Caucus poll.
Go Jeb go
The final? They don’t vote in SC tomorrow? Bummer.
Exactly. Some pollsters are definitely going to have egg on their face. Some polls show Cruz closing in on Trump, some show Rubio and other show Trump leading strong. But ALL THE POLLS SHOW TRUMP LEADING! It's also important to remember that South Carolina is an open primary so it's more similar to New Hampshire than it is to Iowa which is a closed caucus and difficult to poll.
Fox News is having a Ted Cruz night.....Ugh. He is trying to fool the voters with his nonsense.
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