[No Dems 2016]

One of those BS polls skewed the number of “very conservative” voters to 50%. If 50% of the voters were “very conservative” Cruz would be out in front by 20 points.

Actually, it's much worse for Cruz than that. The Opinion Savvy poll found that even with the 50% very conservative electorate, Trump still was on top by 3 points. And the RCP average is currently Trump by 13.4% The Iowa upset had Trump up only by 4.7% and that was in a caucus that is very difficult to poll. I still think Trump wins this.

[LS]

Just remember, ALL the polls under-polled Trump in NH, even Emerson.