Posted on 01/31/2016 9:25:34 PM PST by Mariner
In March, Microsoft said it would use its Bing technology to predict the outcome of the 2016 presidential election. On Tuesday, Microsoft jumped in with both feet, calling the first four Republican primaries for Donald Trump.
Microsoftâs Bing predicts that Trump will win the Republican primaries in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, and Nevada relatively easily, topping Ted Cruz in all four states. Hillary Clinton is expected to win three out of the first four Democratic primariesâIowa, South Carolina, and Nevadaâlosing New Hampshire to Bernie Sanders.
Microsoft said it used data from polls, prediction markets, and anonymized and aggregated search-engine queries to predict its resultsâsome of the methods that itâs used to predict the outcomes of everything from âAmerican Idolâ to the World Cup. It isnât always right: Bing never predicted the Denver Broncos to play the New England Patriots in the NFL playoffs, let alone beat the New England PatriotsâBing's erroneous pick to win the Super Bowl.
(Excerpt) Read more at pcworld.com ...
"Crowd Wisdom".
10's of millions in the crowd.
Microsoft is right but it doesn’t take Skynet to figure it out. Trump will dominate because he is likable. Cruz will not dominate because even his own daughter thinks he is a creepy weirdo. See video evidence:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zsm93VgIrOM
“Why this matters: Microsoft routinely shows off Bing’s skills by mining Internet data for predictions on sports and entertainment, politics, and more. The Super Bowl, however, is a sporting event, retaining an element of unpredictability. Award shows are where Microsoft can sink its hooks deep into social sentiment and fish out winners: It correctly called the 2015 Academy Awards, for instance. Elections, where poll follows poll follows poll, are another wealth of data that Microsoft can tap. Microsoft correctly called the âNoâ vote on the referendum for Scotland to secede from Great Britain, and also accurately predicted the outcome of more than 95 percent of the 2014 U.S. midterm elections.”
So did Bing Crosby, der Bingle.
Prepared to scoff, but that’s a pretty impressive list...
We shall see!
I think that’s about right: Trump will run the table all the way to the nomination.
If he wins Iowa tomorrow night, you can write about the Trumpunami.
Yep, impressive indeed.
And creepy.
We knew that Trump would win these primaries, we just can’t get the numbers.
I thought for a while, that people were making the IOWA race too close.
But then IOWA and its religious fervor and zealots in the past had low turnout by parishioners ordered to the polls by their pastors for the most religious candidate.
That is why the past 16 years Iowa’s pick never went anywhere.
Go Trump Go
Yeah, well, toward the end of last year, I heard him repeatedly predicting a White Christmas, but it wasn’t.
Lol. Thumbs up. Good one.
And the sad thing is that I’m pretty sure that none of us would know about any of this if the Gang of 14 around here weren’t so freaking obnoxious.
I thought this was a joke until I went to the PC World web site. They are actually serious but it seems a little weird to me, especially considering that Microsoft will be tallying the totals in Iowa.
Bing is tied into all the other databases exposed on the internet and some that are not.
Billions and billions of data points. From a Calif Credit Card buying a sandwich in Paris, to a Hertz rental being changed to a 4WD in Wisconsin.
It reads all social media, all the time. Every news article. It reads everything in real time, to include this site.
Well, since Iowa has a caucus, not a primary, we know what these conclusions are worth.
It's Judgement Day. Come with me if you want to live!
Their lack of sincere interaction is kind of creepy,
Bing knows it’s a caucus, but the author is an idiot.
Bing went on to predict Hillary would be schlonged by Donald in the general.
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