| Date | Forecast US Coronavirus Cases | Forecast Percent Growth | Actual Cases |
| 3/14/20 | 2,999 | 38.0% | 2717 |
| 3/15/20 | 3,552 | 18.4% | 3478 |
| 3/16/20 | 4,376 | 23.2% | . |
| 3/17/20 | 6,837 | 56.3% | . |
| 3/18/20 | 8,271 | 21.0% | . |
| 3/19/20 | 10,202 | 23.3% | . |
| 3/20/20 | 12,029 | 17.9% | . |
| 3/21/20 | 13,526 | 12.4% | . |
| 3/22/20 | 15,264 | 12.8% | . |
| 3/23/20 | 16,577 | 8.6% | . |
| 3/24/20 | 18,125 | 9.3% | . |
| 3/25/20 | 19,408 | 7.1% | . |
| 3/26/20 | 20,410 | 5.2% | . |
| 3/27/20 | 20,410 | 0.0% | . |
| 3/28/20 | 29,488 | 44.5% | . |
| 3/29/20 | 33,280 | 12.9% | . |
| 3/30/20 | 34,408 | 3.4% | . |
| 3/31/20 | 35,590 | 3.4% | . |
| 4/1/20 | 36,696 | 3.1% | . |
| 4/2/20 | 37,731 | 2.8% | . |
| 4/3/20 | 37,945 | 0.6% | . |
| 4/4/20 | 38,196 | 0.7% | . |
| 4/5/20 | 38,331 | 0.4% | . |
| 4/6/20 | 39,201 | 2.3% | . |
| 4/7/20 | 39,201 | 0.0% | . |
| 4/8/20 | 39,325 | 0.3% | . |
| 4/9/20 | 39,630 | 0.8% | . |
| 4/10/20 | 39,875 | 0.6% | . |
| 4/11/20 | 40,125 | 0.6% | . |
| 4/12/20 | 40,320 | 0.5% | . |
| 4/13/20 | 40,579 | 0.6% | . |
| 4/14/20 | 40,927 | 0.9% | . |
| 4/15/20 | 41,047 | 0.3% | . |
Is that with the curve flattened or not. ;)
Is the forecast based on testing available. I see the next week shows an obvious increase.
| Symptomatic Illnesses | Medical Visits | Hospitalizations | Deaths | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | Estimate | 95% U I | Estimate | 95% U I | Estimate | 95% U I | Estimate | 95% U I |
| 2010-2011 | 21,000,000 | (20,000,000 – 25,000,000) | 10,000,000 | (9,300,000 – 12,000,000) | 290,000 | (270,000 – 350,000) | 37,000 | (32,000 – 51,000) |
| 2011-2012 | 9,300,000 | (8,700,000 – 12,000,000) | 4,300,000 | (4,000,000 – 5,600,000) | 140,000 | (130,000 – 190,000) | 12,000 | (11,000 – 23,000) |
| 2012-2013 | 34,000,000 | (32,000,000 – 38,000,000) | 16,000,000 | (15,000,000 – 18,000,000) | 570,000 | (530,000 – 680,000) | 43,000 | (37,000 – 57,000) |
| 2013-2014 | 30,000,000 | (28,000,000 – 33,000,000) | 13,000,000 | (12,000,000 – 15,000,000) | 350,000 | (320,000 – 390,000) | 38,000 | (33,000 – 50,000) |
| 2014-2015 | 30,000,000 | (29,000,000 – 33,000,000) | 14,000,000 | (13,000,000 – 16,000,000) | 590,000 | (540,000 – 680,000) | 51,000 | (44,000 – 64,000) |
| 2015-2016 | 24,000,000 | (20,000,000 – 33,000,000) | 11,000,000 | (9,000,000 – 15,000,000) | 280,000 | (220,000 – 480,000) | 23,000 | (17,000 – 35,000) |
| 2016-2017 | 29,000,000 | (25,000,000 – 45,000,000) | 14,000,000 | (11,000,000 – 23,000,000) | 500,000 | (380,000 – 860,000) | 38,000 | (29,000 – 61,000) |
| Preliminary estimates* | Estimate | 95% UI | Estimate | 95% UI | Estimate | 95% UI | Estimate | 95% UI |
| 2017-2018* | 45,000,000 | (39,000,000 – 58,000,000) | 21,000,000 | (18,000,000 – 27,000,000) | 810,000 | (620,000 – 1,400,000) | 61,000 | (46,000 – 95,000) |
| 2018-2019* | 35,520,883 | (31,323,881 – 44,995,691) | 16,520,350 | (14,322,767 – 21,203,231) | 490,561 | (387,283 – 766,472) | 34,157 | (26,339 – 52,664) |
* Estimates from the 2017-2018 and 2018-2019 seasons are preliminary and may change as data are finalized.