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Full title: Is California next? US Geological Survey warns risk of magnitude 8 or larger 'Big One' earthquake has increased dramatically


In the new study, the estimate for the likelihood that California will experience a magnitude 8 or larger earthquake in the next 30 years has increased from about 4.7% for UCERF2 to about 7.0% for UCERF3.

1 posted on 04/28/2015 10:09:40 AM PDT by BenLurkin
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To: laplata

.


2 posted on 04/28/2015 10:11:37 AM PDT by laplata ( Liberals/Progressives have diseased minds.)
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To: BenLurkin

California has had more 3.0 shakers in the last few days.

We’re all going to die!!!


3 posted on 04/28/2015 10:11:56 AM PDT by Loud Mime (Honor the Commandments because they're not suggestions; don't gamble on forgiveness.)
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To: BenLurkin

you forgot to say “caused by global warming”...


4 posted on 04/28/2015 10:13:39 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: BenLurkin
doomed photo: doomed doomed.gif
5 posted on 04/28/2015 10:14:28 AM PDT by Snickering Hound
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To: 2Fro; all_mighty_dollar; Arkat Kingtroll; Battle Hymn of the Republic; Betis70; billycat95130; ...

>> PING <<
Click for San Jose, California Forecast
Send FReepmail if you want on/off SVP list
The List of Ping Lists

7 posted on 04/28/2015 10:18:56 AM PDT by martin_fierro (< |:)~)
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To: BenLurkin

The fact that it is a complex of faults related in most cases to the San Andreas Fault. There were a number of articles a week ago on a “locked up” Ventura-Pitas Point fault that could unlock in an up to 8.0 earthquake. At least a lot of the building in the last several years have been built to a better code than that used even into the 60/70s.


8 posted on 04/28/2015 10:20:33 AM PDT by JimSEA
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To: BenLurkin

When the 8.0 quake destroys San Francisco, I will just see it as God’s work.

Just joking.

OK, only half joking.


9 posted on 04/28/2015 10:20:49 AM PDT by Freedom_Is_Not_Free (Lord God help us.)
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To: BenLurkin

"...don't worry Gov. Moonbeam will take care of it"

10 posted on 04/28/2015 10:21:44 AM PDT by Doogle (( USAF.68-73..8th TFW Ubon Thailand..never store a threat you should have eliminated))
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To: BenLurkin
Have these people ever accurately predicted a quake?

I mean, like got it right plus or minus decade?

12 posted on 04/28/2015 10:29:23 AM PDT by grobdriver (Where is Wilson Blair when you need him?)
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To: BenLurkin
It'll be pandalerium!

16 posted on 04/28/2015 10:35:46 AM PDT by Gamecock (Why do bad things happen to good people? That only happened once, and He volunteered. R.C. Sproul)
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To: BenLurkin

Why doesn’t Barry Soetoro issue an executive order prohibiting earthquakes?


18 posted on 04/28/2015 10:52:09 AM PDT by rfreedom4u (Chris Stevens won't be running for president.)
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To: BenLurkin
So the likelihood of a large earthquake has increased by 3% over the span of 30 years..... that sounds terrifying! ;^)
19 posted on 04/28/2015 10:55:06 AM PDT by WhyisaTexasgirlinPA (Tactical Firearms,Katy Tx: "the two enemies of guns, rust and politicians")
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To: BenLurkin

“Why is risk so risky.” —Seinfeld


21 posted on 04/28/2015 11:13:33 AM PDT by onedoug
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To: BenLurkin

“Thank you Roger for that report”

“And now to breaking news: It’s suspected the sun will come up again tomorrow ushering in the dawn of a new day...”


22 posted on 04/28/2015 11:50:38 AM PDT by Vendome (Don't take life so seriously-you won't live through it anyway-Enjoy Yourself ala Louis Prima)
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To: BenLurkin

Umm, it already hit.

http://abcnews.go.com/WN/earthquake-hits-baja-california-easter-sunday-damage-light/story?id=10291558


25 posted on 04/28/2015 12:11:23 PM PDT by Cyman (We have to pass it to see what's in it= definition of stool sample)
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To: BenLurkin
The estimate for the likelihood that California will experience a magnitude 8 or larger earthquake in the next 30 years has increased from about 4.7% to about 7.0%, they say.

Jumpin' Jehoshaphat!

The odds... Oooops... "likelihood" increased from around one in 20 to around one in 14.

Must be time to up the request for an increase in next year's budget.

Guess they forgot that other disciplines are very familiar with the very elastic nature of the definition of recurrence interval...

31 posted on 04/28/2015 9:13:11 PM PDT by publius911 (If you like Obamacare, You'll LOVE ObamaWeb.)
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To: BenLurkin
The Third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, or UCERF3, improves upon previous models by incorporating the latest data on the state's complex system of active geological faults, as well as new methods for translating these data into earthquake likelihoods.

Sure look like US Geological Survey has borrowed the manual that the Climate Fraudsters invented.

Another computer model? Garbage in Garbage out?

Really?

I thought these folk were more engineers than delusional freaks like the fraudulent East Anglia "scientists."
The still unknown factors affecting earthquakes may be more complex and incompletely known than the arrogant climate fakers'.

32 posted on 04/28/2015 9:22:40 PM PDT by publius911 (If you like Obamacare, You'll LOVE ObamaWeb.)
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