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Climate models are WRONG: Global warming has slowed - recent changes down to ‘natural variability'
Daily Mail ^ | 04/23/2015 | By ELLIE ZOLFAGHARIFARD

Posted on 04/25/2015 5:14:58 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

* Duke University study looked at 1,000 years of temperature records

* It compared it to the most severe emissions scenarios by the IPCC

* Found that natural variability can slow or speed the rate of warming

* These 'climate wiggles' were not properly accounted for in IPCC report

Global warming hasn't happened as fast as expected, according to a new study based on 1,000 years of temperature records.

The research claims that natural variability in surface temperatures over the course of a decade can account for increases and dips in warming rates.

But it adds that these so-called 'climate wiggles' could also, in the future, cause our planet to warm up much faster than anticipated.

The study compared its results to the most severe emissions scenarios outlined by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).

'Based on our analysis, a middle-of-the-road warming scenario is more likely, at least for now,' said Patrick Brown, a doctoral student in climatology at Duke University. 'But this could change.'

The Duke-led study says that variability is caused by interactions between the ocean and atmosphere, and other natural factors.

They claim these 'wiggles' can slow or speed the rate of warming from decade to decade, and exaggerate or offset the effects of increases in greenhouse gas concentrations.

If not properly explained and accounted for, they may skew the reliability of climate models and lead to over-interpretation of short-term temperature trends.

(Excerpt) Read more at dailymail.co.uk ...


TOPICS: Science; Weather
KEYWORDS: climatechange; climatemodels; globalwarming

1 posted on 04/25/2015 5:14:59 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

“The Climate Models Are Wrong”

Try telling that to the brilliant, intellectual, psychotic Progressives in the Democrat party. (Their income would be placed in jeopardy for generations and they would react in their visceral, out-of-control, obnoxious manner in an instant.)

IMHO


2 posted on 04/25/2015 5:23:13 AM PDT by ripley
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To: ripley

God bless the daily Mail people.

It’s a damn shame that the closest thing we have to actual journalism comes from across the pond.


3 posted on 04/25/2015 5:31:38 AM PDT by DanielRedfoot (Creepy Ass Cracker)
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To: SeekAndFind
Global warming hasn't happened as fast as expected, according to a new study based on 1,000 years of temperature records.

Well, it is easy to see the problem. This is not a model but is based on facts, no good can come from using real facts and records.

Does anyone here think that this will change one single position held as religious belief by the envirowhackos?

They will just denigrate, denounce, vilify, scream and rant about the findings and go right on spewing their twisted lies based on models, not facts.

Nothing to see here, just move along...baaaaaaaa


4 posted on 04/25/2015 5:34:18 AM PDT by USS Alaska (Exterminate the terrorist savages, everywhere.)
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To: ripley

Global warming like gun control has always bee about power and control not about facts.


5 posted on 04/25/2015 5:35:18 AM PDT by riverrunner
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To: SeekAndFind

If the “climate models” were right, they could be initialized to the conditions of 1915, and then produce a 100-year forecast which matches the historical record of the last century.

If they could do that, they would have and would be screaming it from the rooftops.

They haven’t done it because they can’t do it, and the fact that they can’t do it proves the models are crap.


6 posted on 04/25/2015 5:51:56 AM PDT by DuncanWaring (The Lord uses the good ones; the bad ones use the Lord.)
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To: SeekAndFind
 photo climate change_zpstwfqvqvh.jpg God's version of climate change.
7 posted on 04/25/2015 5:57:50 AM PDT by RetSignman (Obama is the walking, talking middle finger in the face of America)
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To: SeekAndFind
Not being one to dismiss arguments regarding glo-bull an after careful calculations checked and rechecked for two decades .... here is the only possible conclusion. Our Sun exploded about one billion years ago. Our Sun will explode again.
8 posted on 04/25/2015 6:01:10 AM PDT by no-to-illegals (Do what is Right ... Take This Freepathon Over the Top!!!)
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To: no-to-illegals

OK!! Everybody pay attention!

Lesson for today:

1. The sun is 1,300,000 times as big as the earth.

2. The sun is a ball of fire that controls the climates of all its planets.

3. The earth is one of the sun’s planets.

4. The earth is a speck in comparison to the size of the sun.

5. Inhabitants of the earth are less than specks.

Study Question: How do less-than-specks in congress plan to control the sun?


9 posted on 04/25/2015 6:05:42 AM PDT by abclily
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To: abclily
Study Question: How do less-than-specks in congress plan to control the sun?

Teacher ... that question was too easy ... (sigh) ... The less-than specks, in congress, plan to control the Sun by taxing the people of Earth. T'will not help anything but congress will have more ... money.

10 posted on 04/25/2015 6:12:32 AM PDT by no-to-illegals (Do what is Right ... Take This Freepathon Over the Top!!!)
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To: SeekAndFind

It’s because of climate change. Or Bush.


11 posted on 04/25/2015 6:32:36 AM PDT by SkyDancer ( I Was Told Nobody Is Perfect But Yet, Here I Am ...)
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To: abclily

Tell that to this guy: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tE6_LVWCywM


12 posted on 04/25/2015 7:54:47 AM PDT by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is either satire or opinion. Or both.)
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To: riverrunner

“Global warming like gun control has always been about power and control not about facts.”

You forgot money, the grease that runs the psychotic frame of mind of every Progressive.

IMHO


13 posted on 04/25/2015 8:45:29 AM PDT by ripley
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To: SeekAndFind

Bkmk


14 posted on 04/25/2015 10:19:11 AM PDT by ForYourChildren (Christian Education [ RomanRoadsMedia.com - a Classical Christian Approach to Homeschool ])
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