NOAA's actual report says it is "More UNLIKELY" that 2014 was the warmest year, "than likely":

Noaa ^

[Bulwinkle]

LOL!!!!!!

NOAA's actual report says it is "More UNLIKELY" that 2014 was the warmest year, "than likely":

Calculating the Probability of Rankings for 2014

...

Using a Monte Carlo approach (Arguez et al, 2013), NCDC considered the known uncertainty of the global land and ocean annual temperature in the 2014 annual ranking. Taking into account the uncertainty and assuming all years (1880-2014) in the time series are independent, the chance of 2014 being

Warmest year on record: 48.0% One of the five warmest years: 90.4% One of the 10 warmest years: 99.2% One of the 20 warmest years: 100.0% Warmer than the 20th century average: 100.0% Warmer than the 1981-2010 average: 100.0% NCDC follows these conventions to categorize the confidence associated with assertions made with respect to ranks used in the report:

PROBABILITY DESCRIPTOR > 99% "almost certain" 90% - 99% "very likely" 66.7% - 90% "likely" 50% - 66.7% "more likely than not" 33.3% - 50% "more unlikely than likely" 10% - 33.3% "unlikely" 1% - 10% "very unlikely" < 1% "almost certainly not"

[Bulwinkle]

I the same may be true for nasa

[BenLurkin]

Somebody please tell this to the Pinkos over at Time Magazine.

[Paladin2]

Mann caused Gorebal Warning.

[molson209]

Want to bet they left out Canada and Russia again in their numbers

[ClearCase_guy]

It cannot be said too often -- as glaciers withdraw in Greenland, we find remains of Viking settlements that had been covered by ice. We know that grapes were once grown in England for wine-making. The world was CLEARLY warmer 1000 years ago -- and, again, a thousand years before that -- the Roman Empire peaked during a warm period 2000 years ago.

The idea that 2014 was the warmest year ever is a pathetic joke. And if one says "We mean: since 1880" then it's just terrible science because the size of the sample data is embarrassingly small. Real scientists don't operate this way. But charlatans do,

[Dallas59]

[lee martell]

With today’s Global Warming statements contradicting yesterdays Global Warming statements, and all days before that, it’s getting hard to accept anybody’s word on this topic, regardless of their belief system.

[The_Reader_David]

How dare you actually look at confidence intervals when the point estimate serves to advance the interests of The Party! There’s a remedial course on the correct use of statistics being offered in Room 101, and you are mandated to attend!

[Chode]

the number uses saying it WAS is 0.07deg F... hell that's nothing but noise in the system

[samtheman]

It cannot be said too often -- as glaciers withdraw in Greenland, we find remains of Viking settlements that had been covered by ice. We know that grapes were once grown in England for wine-making. The world was CLEARLY warmer 1000 years ago -- and, again, a thousand years before that -- the Roman Empire peaked during a warm period 2000 years ago.

The idea that 2014 was the warmest year ever is a pathetic joke. And if one says "We mean: since 1880" then it's just terrible science because the size of the sample data is embarrassingly small. Real scientists don't operate this way. But charlatans do,

*like*

[Hot Tabasco]

The Weather Channel is the biggest purveyor of GW BS that I've ever witnessed.

Early this morning when talking about extreme weather, they had a NOAA scientist who made the claim that the 15 warmest annual average global temperatures occurred in the past 17 years........thus proving man made global warming is real.......

I almost puked my coffee....

[radu]

You mean the MSM are lying to us? Again?

Tell me it ain’t so.

They keep forgetting that the truth IS out there. LOL!

[Bulwinkle]

It is not the MSM lying, it is Obama Political Appointees at noaa lying

[rarestia]

Lies, damn lies, statistics...

[jsanders2001]

From everything I have seen and experienced the last 6 years I believe that Global Warming and other falsehoods pushed by the left are the delusions that 2 Thessalonnians 2:11 refers to. I think they are promoted for the purpose of government control for the simple minded who do not question tyrants because they believe they are their shepherds and will protect and take of them (another illusion). Everything is moving right along according to the script:

2 Thessalonnians 2:11

And for this cause God shall send them strong delusion, that they should believe a lie:

[radu]

And the MSM are happily running with it.

[kagnew]

I guess that is why there was still huge chunks of Ice on Lake Superior on 26 May 2014, and even into June 2014.....Yep, I can certainly see it was so very warm in 2014.... Good grief, Please LORD, rapture your church now before it gets any worse.

[Dr. Bogus Pachysandra]

Yesterday I read that the former record was 58.45 degrees, and the new record, 2014, is 58.46 degrees. 0.01 degrees hotter. That ain’t even out of the “noise!” Anybody know what the margin of error was in the NOAA report?

[SunkenCiv]

• On the Biases Caused by Omissions in the 2014 NOAA State of the Climate Report
• 2014, NOAA NASA produce weakest science on hottest fantasy in modern record
• 2014 Continues Long-Term Global Warming
• A Bad Day for Climate Change Deniers ... And the Planet
• 2014 was hottest year recorded on Earth: Experts
• The heat is on; NOAA, NASA say 2014 warmest year on record
• Scientists balk at 'hottest year' claims: Ignores Satellites showing 18 Year 'Pause'
• The heat is on; NOAA, NASA say 2014 warmest year on record (hurl alert)
• Hot enough for ya? NOAA says 2014 was Earth's warmest [We're all doomed]
• Pope Francis says global warming is 'mostly manmade'
• Talking About Climate Change in 1827
• Five things to remember about climate science in 2015

[Chode]

UK Guardian: ‘Hottest Year’ Claim: 2014 officially the ‘hottest year’ on record US government scientists say - ‘Nasa and Noaa scientists report 2014 was 0.07F (0.04C) higher than previous records…