World Bank on Understanding Climate Uncertainty

Climate Etc. ^ | June 6, 2014 | Judith Curry

[Excellence]

"The World Bank has published a new report: Agreeing on Robust Decisions: New Process for Decision Making Under Deep Uncertainty. This is an important report that lays out a new process to help decision makers better manage uncertainty and disagreement, particularly around climate change, by guiding them to the right decision making processes."

Even the World Bank gets it; climate is just too varied to bank on.

[Excellence]

Continued efforts by climate scientists and others to increase knowledge about the climate and future climate scenarios are valuable. However, uncertainties about climate change and its impacts may increase as scientific inquiry diversifies and deepens. Therefore, decision makers should accept the irreducible uncertainty about the future climate and formulate adaptation and mitigation policies to manage it.

[Excellence]

Judith Curry is a climatologist who has suffered at the hands of the global warmers, yet commands respect because of her rational skepticism of “climate change.” Her posts are thoughtful and challenging.

[Gaffer]

The World Bank should INSIST on only documented historical fact and put supposition, ideology and subversion in the trash where it belongs.

[Excellence]

You’ve heard the phrase “damning by faint praise.” This is damning by faint damning. They can’t just come out and say, “We’re not risking $billions and $trillions on widely varied speculation,” but how anyone could not see that is their opinion is beyond me.

[Gaffer]

Of course they are subtly riding the fence. The money is all they care about and their acquisition of it, and the power and control that comes with is primary. They are trying not to alienate either side.

[justa-hairyape]

It is not impossible to predict climate, just too difficult for apes to figure out. We simply are not smart enough. What you are dealing with are multiple dynamic oscillations that all work on different periods or frequencies. So you cannot make any solid linear predictions unless you can account for all the different oscillations. We have not even quantified all these oscillations yet and also our metrics are simply not accurate enough to quantify some oscillations. One of the people close however is Piers Corbyn. Now if he could just get a decent haircut, people might take him more seriously lol.

As usual however our statist assume they are smart enough and continue to make horrendous mistakes.