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do not grow weary, my FRiends, of the tiebreaker vomit.

NFC TIEBREAKERS #1 OF MANY

DALLAS has clinced COMMON vs. PHILLY and therefore clinched the tiebreaker.
BEST PHILLY can do in DIV is to tie DAL @ 4-2
PHIL vs. DALLAS, 2 uncommon games
PHIL 2-0
DAL 1-1
PHIL is a game better in uncommon, therefore they will be a game worse in the 14 COMMON.

DET HAS clinched Tiebreaker vs CHI due to head to head sweep

N.O. vs CAR
if teams split the 2 upcoming head2head ... likely will end with DIV tie ....
COMMON: both finish 2-0 in uncommon so COMMON will be tie.

N.O. has 2 non-conf losses (versus ONE for CAR). therefore, NO is very likely to get tiebreaker.
at 11-5, CAR likely gets tiebreaker if one of the final 3 NO losses is vs. TB (DIV game) or if CAR other loss is vs. NYJ (non-conf game).
SOV
N.O. vs CAR ... uncommon victories
CAR: NYG MN STL TB NE = 5+3.5+5+3+9=25.5
N.O.: AZ CHI BUFF DAL ATL = 7+6+4+7+3 = 27
But that advantage in CONF that N.O. holds is significant. N.O. just needs to split h2h and beat STL & TB.

NFC TIEBREAKERS #2 OF MANY

SF has large lead in DIV rec vs AZ. Hope for AZ?
assume SF loss to AZ and SEA (DIV loss) ... could lead to:

SF 10-6 3-3 DIV AZ 10-6 3-3 DIV

AZ would get the tiebreaker due to COMMON
AZ loss to PHIL was Uncommon loss to finish at 1-1 in Uncommon (vs 2-0 SF) and, therefore, AZ has clinched (14-game) COMMON vs SF

NFC head to head victories

AZ over CAR
CAR over SF
SEA over CAR

PHIL OVER AZ
DET over DAL
DET vs PHIL on 12/8
CHI vs PHIL on 12/22
CHI vs DAL on 12/9

DAL & PHIL have now both clinched tiebreaker with both SF & AZ (due to CONF rec [& PH h2h over AZ])

[each team has 4 non-CONF games. DAL & PHIL 1-3, SF & AZ 3 victories ... DAL & PH worse in non-CONF, better in CONF]