The 2013 Atlantic Hurrican Season (none for the USA so far)

18OCT2013 | Jack Hydrazine

[Jack Hydrazine]

The 2013 Atlantic hurricane season is an ongoing annual cycle in tropical cyclogenesis. It is the first Atlantic hurricane season since 2002 to feature no hurricanes through the month of August. The season officially began on June 1 and will end on November 30. The first tropical cyclone of the year, Andrea, developed on June 7 in the Gulf of Mexico. This season continued a pattern of unusually early starting hurricane seasons – the first named storm of a season typically forms around July 9. Below average activity continued afterwards into October. The strongest tropical cyclone of the season thus far is Humberto, which peaked as a Category 1 hurricane.


Season summary map

So far no hurricanes have hit the USA during this season even though two are predicted by weather scientists to make landfall. Only one tropical storm has done so (Karen).

In May 2013 NOAA's pre-season outlook for the 2013 Atlantic hurrican season was the following:

"For the six-month hurricane season, which begins June 1, NOAA’s Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook says there is a 70 percent likelihood of 13 to 20 named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher), of which 7 to 11 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including 3 to 6 major hurricanes (Category 3, 4 or 5; winds of 111 mph or higher).
These ranges are well above the seasonal average of 12 named storms, 6 hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes."

Their August 2013 revision was similar as follows:

"The updated outlook calls for a 70 percent chance of an above-normal season. Across the Atlantic Basin for the entire season – June 1 to November 30 – NOAA’s updated seasonal outlook (which includes the activity to date of tropical storms Andrea, Barry, Chantal, and Dorian) projects a 70 percent chance for each of the following ranges:
13 to 19 named storms (top winds of 39 mph or higher), including
6 to 9 hurricanes (top winds of 74 mph or higher), of which
3 to 5 could be major hurricanes (Category 3, 4 or 5; winds of at least 111 mph)
These ranges are above the 30-year seasonal averages of 12 named storms, six hurricanes and three major hurricanes."

The peak of hurricane season passed by over a month ago on 10 September with the first named hurricane (Humberto) forming the day after but did not strike the USA. Only 43 days left to go!


Has there been a year where no hurricanes hit the USA? What are the odds that none will hit the USA? What will the eco-nuts like Al Gore say if this happens? What will the NOAA's reaction be? More excuses?

[1rudeboy]

Praise Obama!

[Jack Hydrazine]

LOL! Is he the one stopping all those potential hurricanes from forming and hitting the USA?

[JohnBrowdie]

he did promise to fix the oceans and heal the planet.

[Jack Hydrazine]

I’m also wondering if hurricanes formed during the last ice age.

[1rudeboy]

That man has some stash. I even got free healthcare!

[Jack Hydrazine]

Messiahs do seem to have the power to stop storms. Better stop by this website for a refreshment of the faith!
http://obamamessiah.blogspot.com/

[JohnBrowdie]

we’re joking about it, but it’s not that unlikely. someone should ask him the question about the hurricane-free hurricane season; I’m almost positive that he will attribute it to his environmental policies.

there are no degrees to narcissism.

[dfwgator]

I’m just pissed they beat the Tar Heels last night in the last seconds.

[mylife]

The season is pretty well spent.

[Jack Hydrazine]

That’s just Obama channeling all storm energy into basketball games. LOL!

[thackney]

Has there been a year where no hurricanes hit the USA?

- - - - - -

Yes.

2006
2001
2000
1994
1982
1981
1978
1973
1962
1951
1937
1931
1930
1927
1925
1922
1914
1907
1905
1902
1892
1890
1884
1872
1868
1864
1863
1862

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/hurdat/All_U.S._Hurricanes.html

A bunch before that I’m sure as well.

[Sacajaweau]

Wonder if the oil spill....activating a humungous supply of oil eating bugs...has anything to do with it.

But then again...it's likely the flip of the coin.

[Kenny Bunk]

Hear me, O Infidels.

Allah the All Merciful and his latest Prophet, Barack Hussein Obama-Soetoro-Dunham, Etcetera, May Peace be Upon Him, is protecting you so that you may pour many trillions of dollars in Dhimmi to the True Believers.

Since you Infidel Dogs will serve us True Believers as slaves in Firdous for all eternity anyway, Allah the All Wise has allowed us to let you remain alive to support Jihad. .

[Jack Hydrazine]

You forgot 2010. Technically 2012 did not but with this note.

* - Indicates that the hurricane (Sandy) center did not make a U.S. landfall (or substantially weakened before making landfall), but did produce the indicated hurricane-force winds over land. In this case, central pressure is given for the time that the hurricane winds along the coast were the strongest.

[I want the USA back]

They got their wrong numbers from their models. Their models were wrong. A true scientist would realize that the models don’t work and stop making stupid predictions based on the models.

[Jack Hydrazine]

It’s their job to be wrong. They can keep predicting from now until the cows come home but they’re still getting paid!

[ClearBlueSky]

Everyone should laugh at the damn fools who PRESUMED to predict the future by proclaiming how many storms there would be and how strong they would be. REALLY- predicting tropical weather in January? Then, of course, they must be right so they name every thunderstorm in the Atlantic.
If they weren’t so arrogant about predicting the future when they can’t predict daily weather, people might take them seriously. Weather can have a devastating effect on life-and we don’t need jokers who like to play with computer model programs instead of studying science.
Locally our ‘meterologists’ must have gotten their degrees from Tijuana or graduated at the bottom of their class. They can’t predict stink in a port-o-let on Mardi Gras day.
What ever happened to waiting till storms form to try and predict where they will go- good old observation instead of prognostication?

[Corey Ohlis]

Poor Weather Channel’s going nuts trying to crank up some interest in every little whorl out over the equatorial Atlantic.

[Jack Hydrazine]

They’re desperate, eh?