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... statistical tests for global warming fails to find ..... anthropogenic forcing (AGW bombshell?)
Watts Up With That? ^
| January 3, 2013
| Anthony Watts
Posted on 01/04/2013 2:40:55 PM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach
click here to read article
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Full Title:
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AGW Bombshell? A new paper shows statistical tests for global warming fails to find statistically significantly anthropogenic forcing
To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
The blog you reference (and some others) have done a Yeoman’s work in bringing the lies of the AGW crowd to light. They deserve our full appreciation AND donations.
2
posted on
01/04/2013 2:46:21 PM PST
by
Amberdawn
To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
3
posted on
01/04/2013 2:49:26 PM PST
by
rockinqsranch
(Dems, Libs, Socialists, call 'em what you will, they ALL have fairies livin' in their trees.)
To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
Most children knew this long ago, as did Algore.
4
posted on
01/04/2013 3:05:07 PM PST
by
Baynative
(Those that work for a living are now outnumbered by those that vote for a living.)
To: Baynative
5
posted on
01/04/2013 3:10:48 PM PST
by
publius911
(Look for the Union Label -- then buy something else)
To: All
From the comments:
********************************EXCERPT**********************************************
6
posted on
01/04/2013 3:11:57 PM PST
by
Ernest_at_the_Beach
((The Global Warming Hoax was a Criminal Act....where is Al Gore?))
To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
A little light reading for a Friday night.
8
posted on
01/04/2013 3:53:46 PM PST
by
DManA
To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
I think these people should sit down and have a little talk with Al Gore. Surely he can correct their poor science. :)
9
posted on
01/04/2013 4:02:15 PM PST
by
Marine_Uncle
(I'm going John Galt.... But. Honor must be earned.)
To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
Anthropogenic Global Warming was brought to us by scam artists. They should all be frog marched (notice the “green” terminology) to prison.
10
posted on
01/04/2013 4:10:58 PM PST
by
jonrick46
(The opium of Communists: other people's money.)
To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
11
posted on
01/04/2013 5:15:04 PM PST
by
antisocial
(Texas SCV - Deo Vindice)
To: DManA; Marine_Uncle
LOL.....
Statistics always seemed less than rigourous in their proff methods...
How do you do a counterexample....
Well anyway....I liked the conclusions.
12
posted on
01/04/2013 5:28:27 PM PST
by
Ernest_at_the_Beach
((The Global Warming Hoax was a Criminal Act....where is Al Gore?))
To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
13
posted on
01/04/2013 6:25:47 PM PST
by
BenLurkin
(This is not a statement of fact. It is either opinion or satire; or both)
To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
"Well anyway....I liked the conclusions."
I am not a statistician. So from that view point I cannot offer a rebuttal.
But I will say without reservation. The whole idea that has been stated as being fact, that in some way the miniscule gas Carbon Di-oxide, some 350 parts per million on a molecular basis within the whole global atmosphere, cannot based on known measurements, be responsible for any of the global warming scenarios so many within the AGW community claim to be a "fact".
They lie. They play games beyond any scientific established facts on that issue. And we have not found to date in my best judgement any form of man made gases, from industrial process, other, that can attribute to any drastic rise in what often is labeled as a global warming scheme.
In short. It is all fabricated as so many of us have over the past thirty years plus, realize as being what I would with some liberty call, bull shit. To repeat as others have over hundreds of times. It is a one world government scheme with huge sums of money that can be distributed to the takers....in the short term, to deceive, in order for various control systems and rewarding some, at the expense of for the most part all western free nations, who operate within the system called capitalism, to bow eventually to those that deal in control, in all it's forms, to gain the final goal. One world government. Old J.P. Morgan and his ilk must roll in their graves, as they watch, with joy.
Where up the creek without a paddle IMHO.
Time for some rest. Hang in their Ernest.
14
posted on
01/04/2013 8:32:38 PM PST
by
Marine_Uncle
(I'm going John Galt.... But. Honor must be earned.)
To: Ernest_at_the_Beach; 11B40; A Balrog of Morgoth; A message; ACelt; Aeronaut; AFPhys; AlexW; ...
To: Ernest_at_the_Beach; 11B40; A Balrog of Morgoth; A message; ACelt; Aeronaut; AFPhys; AlexW; ...
To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
greenhouse gas forcing, aerosols, solar irradiance and global temperature are not polynomially cointegrate So they are saying solar irradiance had no effect?
17
posted on
01/04/2013 11:30:47 PM PST
by
qam1
(There's been a huge party. All plates and the bottles are empty, all that's left is the bill to pay)
To: Marine_Uncle
I am a physicist with good (essential for my work) statistics background. I have studied the CAGW question carefully for around 15 years.
My estimate is that about 15-25% of the warming of the 20th century is attributable to CO₂ and other gasses. There may be an additional small amount of warming by man attributable to land use changes.
The bulk of warming during that century was due to:
18
posted on
01/05/2013 8:38:31 AM PST
by
AFPhys
((Praying for our troops, our citizens, that the Bible and Freedom become basis of the US law again))
To: AFPhys
"My estimate is that about 15-25% of the warming of the 20th century is attributable to CO₂ and other gasses."
With CO2 being at the really low end of those gases and of course water vapor being the main player. 350ppm in the realm of gas mixtures taint a hell of a lot. :)
19
posted on
01/05/2013 10:58:18 AM PST
by
Marine_Uncle
(I'm going John Galt.... But. Honor must be earned.)
To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks
20
posted on
01/05/2013 8:15:48 PM PST
by
GOPJ
(It's not possible to be a Progressive and not be a hypocrite. Freeper TigersEye.)
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So,in summary:
1. There are too many unknowns to accurately model the Earths climate.
2. Man may, or may not, have been responsible for part of the ~0.7 degrees C warming over the past century.
3. The effect of man on our planets climate is small and temporary.
Makes sense to me, but these reasonable concepts will give your average climate modeller and/or CAGW cult member a total hissy fit.
I like the fact they use Mann as a reference I am not sure in what context, but my guess would be to demonstrate statistical BS.