PREDICTIONS THREAD! Lock in your predictions for tomorrow! [Vanity]

[kevkrom]

Okay... election day is tomorrow, and it's time for all us to make final predictions on the record... you know, for bragging rights.

This is specifically for the Presidential race, but if you want to lock in overall and/or specific Senate and House races for "bonus points", by all means go ahead!

[pgkdan]

Does anyone have any thoughts on Larry Sabato?

Lots. None that I can post here. He's got his head up obama's arse and is not an expert! He's a propagandist.

[TonyInOhio]

Polls close at 7:30PM EST, and if they call it before 8:30PM, with Romney up +5 or better

The MSM will keep FL/VA/NC "too close to call" until at least 11:00 EST in order to depress turnout in WI, IA, CO, and NV. In fact, they will not declare a winner until sometime on Wednesday.

[Uncle Miltie]

54% RR / 45% 0bummer. I’ve been predicting a full 55% / 45% since mid-August, but I should back down the RR number due to the 1% weirdo vote. I predict that an early call by the networks on PA for RR will suppress voter turnout on the Left Coast for 0bummmer, helping run up the RR margin.

About 330 Electoral Votes for RR.

RR win PA, OH, FL, NC, VA, CO, WI, NH

Obummer wins MI, MN.

I believe presidential elections hinge on one question which is devastating for 0bummer:

“Do I want four more years of this?”

The answer is a resounding “NO!” America sucks under 0bummer, and everyone knows it. I think the vote is going to be a complete blowout.

Republicans take the U.S. Senate with 51 votes. House stays reliably Republican, with maybe a pickup of 3.

Washington State hires a Republican Governor, and approves Gay Marriage (a first in the nation), at the same time!

[fatboy]

I live in NE PA and on Saturday morning I take a class at Lehigh Carbon Community College Allentown Campus. The Campus is right in the middle of Allentown which is the 3rd largest city in PA.

I did not see 1 single campaign sign in the whole city. Not one. In Whitehall Twp, the burbs north of allenntown lots of Romney/Ryan signs.

Take this for what it's worth. The Morning Call, Allentowns newspaper is in the tank for Obama as one would expect but I don't see much support in the ranks.

[TonyInOhio]

Also, for a national bellwether, watch Vigo County, Indiana. Vigo has voted with the winner for many moons, and the percentage of the vote in that county closely tracks with the national popular vote - it's a nearly perfect national bellwether.

Thanks for the tip, LS and Ravi!

[wayoverontheright]

I have it 331 EV’s for Romney, 207 for Obama.

House picks up three, senate four.

[38special]

Obama wins a close one due to voter fraud making the difference.

[HenryArmitage]

had a strange dream with this scenario- Mitt Romney has a comfortable lead in the Popular Vote totals 51% with a larger than expected third party total taking 2% leaving 47% for the current President. No real surprises or upsets have occurred, Swing states break down R- CO, WI, VA, FL, WI. O- NV, NH, others.. (Link, should open in a new tab)

Leaving us at Romney- 267, Current President- 253.
Ohio will be a nightmare. there will be whispers of voting fraud, but the real problem is just that the vote is so tight. The state will go into recounts and have heated legal arguments about the last minute directives on provisional ballots and which should be counted and which should not. It will stretch over a 10 days before we have an answer. The nation gets more and more bifurcated as the recount stretches on. When it looks like the current president has barely won the state, Romney will concede in a presidential yet foolish attempt to re-unite the country. Things get strange and angry.

[CaraM]

Of the Swing states, Mitt gets FL, NC, IA, VA, OH, CO, Maine(1), PA, WI

with 312 Romney
to 226 Obama.

[Fresh Wind]

If people think about what they’re doing, the problems can be significantly reduced.

If you post and your post doesn’t show up right away, DO NOT keep hitting the “Post” button. That causes multiple posts.

If you post, always check the “I have already previewed...” box, and don’t worry about previewing.

If you haven’t already done so, reduce your posts-per-page setting to 20.

Resist the temptation to continually refresh the page you’re viewing to see new posts. Chill out and wait a bit, let other users have a chance.

Resist the temptation to post useless, information-free comments, or comments that essentially repeat what others have said.

[Sloth]

53/46 popular vote, 315-223 electroral.

[Texan Tory]

“I’m going to go with Barone’s prediction, down to the state and the EV.”

I’m going with Barone too. When I read Barone’s predictions state-by-state (for the swing states), I thought they made sense. Barone predicts Romney 315, Obama 223. Interestingly, Barone gave Pennsylvania to Romney, but with more reservation than for the other swing states. Fortunately, even without PA, Romney would still win with 295 electoral votes.

[Dead Corpse]

Romney wins. GOP retains the House. We get 1-2 in the Senate, but the elections are close enough that we don't have a final tally until damn near Christmas...

Economy still crashes next year regardless.

[Fresh Wind]

Also, resist the temptation to continually repost noise from Twitter. If someone is interested, they are free to go there on their own.

[Dead Corpse]

One more Prediction...

FR crashes by lunch time.

[PaulZe]

Yes exactly. Obama looks desperate. The crowds at rallies tell the tale too. There is absolute no Obama mania at all...like the last time. And even with that he didn’t beat McCain by very much.

[PapaBear3625]

My call: Romney by 3%, Romney takes PA.

[HannibalHamlinJr]

[Shery]

Romney wins the popular vote 53% and EV in the range of 425-458.

[Raycpa]

I am somewhere between 98.45612457382% and 98.568953421% that the result will be:

Romney 51.5, Obama 47.5, other 1%.