Take this to the bank: blacks will vote well over 90% for Obama.
You missed the point.
Black turnout will be lower this time around.
The percentage of blacks voting for the Marxist is NOT the point.
But.. What percentage of blacks will vote? THAT is the question! This article is about apathy.
90% of THOSE WHO VOTE. The totals may not be that high.
If black voter turnout is suppressed, it bodes well for Romney. 90% of less is less.
Maybe 90% of yhe blacks that come out to vote.. But the point is he will not get the huge turnout he did in 2008.
Try not to think of black voters as such a monolithic generality. Believe it or not, there are great differences in the opinions and personal considerations of blacks, just as there are among any other group of Americans.
The anecdotal stories you're reading about some blacks' disappointments with Obama, are real, and should not be discounted. The truth is, that sentiment is widespread, and not confined to blacks who are unemployed, or who don't think Obama's done enough to rip off Whitey.
My siblings are all professional people with careers, homes, 401Ks, investment portfolios, college kids, grandkids, etc. They're also black Democrats who voted for Obama in 2008, and every one of them quit singing Obama's praises two years ago. Even during this hotly contested election, they haven't uttered a single word about him.
I half expect most of them to stay home on election day. Of those blacks who do get to the polls, perhaps 9 in 10 will vote for Obama, but their numbers will be greatly decreased from the turnout of four years ago.
I know of two black families who are solid Democrats. We’ve talked often. They’re educated, religious, sports fans, family-oriented. They’re not going to vote. The local slate of candidates doesn’t impress them and most of them run unopposed. Obama is a mess in their opinion. They resent the parties he has at the WH that have no bearing on entertaining dignitaries. They hate the way he talks. Jive talking’. it rubs them the wrong way. They never asked anything of him except he be a good steward and a positive image for blacks. He failed.
You’re probably right that he will get 90% of the black vote but I think there will be far fewer voting.
Yes, the ones that actually turn out to vote - what percentage will stay home ?
Yeah, but how many will vote? A lot less than voted in 2008. I’ve heard too many similar stories.
I wouldn’t bet against you on that.
However I think it quite likely that on the order of 20% stay home vs. 2008, and that means ~2% nationally. It matters. It’s a huge swing when things are as close as they are. It also matters in the downticket races.
Those that vote. I think turnout will becway down among blacks this time compared to 2008. Those that refuse to support him are like votes for R/R