Omaha World Herald, NE Senate: Fischer (R) 56%, Kerrey (D) 43% Likely Voters

Omaha.com ^ | 9/23/2012 | Robynn Tysver

[Kolath]

The political fortunes of Democrats Bob Kerrey and President Barack Obama appear to be tied together in Nebraska — and that's bad news for Kerrey and his comeback bid for U.S. Senate, according to The World-Herald Poll.

Kerrey and Obama each trailed his respective Republican opponent by about 10 percentage points in a statewide poll of 800 registered voters.

The margin was even worse for Kerrey when the poll was narrowed to likely voters, with the former governor and two-term senator trailing Republican State Sen. Deb Fischer by 16 percentage points — 56 percent to 40 percent.

[Kolath]

Romney dominates Districts 1 and 3 and the overall vote. Obama and Romney are tied in district two. Nebraska splits its EVs along congressional districts (overall vote winner wins the last two EVs).

Obama's base of support in Nebraska continues to be Omaha, even though he has put minimal effort into winning the 2nd District this year. Unlike 2008 when Obama had three offices in Omaha and large staffs, Obama in 2012 only has one office in Omaha and only one paid staff member.

[Kolath]

CORRECTION: It’s 56% (Fischer-R) to 40% (Kerrey-D)

Sorry for the typo

[Newbomb Turk]

Omaha will trend towards Kerry and Obama. Those rugged souls that still wake up and work every day to survive out west will mostly vote for Fischer and Romney Ryan.

[TigerClaws]

Remember the 2010 elections? Rats are trying to make us forget they were destroyed last time out. And things are worse now.

[Kolath]

FYI: Kerrey only has a 47/44 advantage in Omaha (Kerrey’s main base of support as he has essentially surrendered central and western Nebraska).

2008: Obama had 3 offices and large staffs in Omaha. 2012: Only one small office and one staff worker. Obama has placed no emphasis in this district and he shifts efforts into Iowa.

[9422WMR]

“Remember the 2010 elections? Rats are trying to make us forget they were destroyed last time out. And things are worse now.”
Damn, that makes a pretty good bumper sticker!