[Gargantua]

Yeah, and I'm George Washington. ( yawn )... Next...?

;-\

[Tzfat]

Intrade is 10 years old. Two prior Presidential elections provide no us with real track record.

Let’s see where Intrade is on Nov 5.

[VanDeKoik]

Didn’t Intrade say that SCOTUS would reject ObamaCare too?

Bunch of nonsense.

[cruise_missile]

Only accurate when it is about to happen.
Not that accurate.

[TornadoAlley3]

http://www.aei-ideas.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/08/080312jobschart2.jpg

[onyx]

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[KevinB]

Intrade had the Supreme Court striking down Obamacare at about 73% two minutes before the opinion was released. How did that work out?

[MV=PY]

Even if these predictions come true I wouldn’t be too sure about a strong stock market.

Historically, the house controlled the budget which has high impact on the market.

With Obama in power there will be no budget. There is none now, and look how business reacts to that (no investment). Now imagine super-sized Obama...

[sportutegrl]

How accurate a predictor has Intrade been?

Do more Democrats or Republicans tend to gamble?

[count-your-change]

By studying the entrails of animals, the flight patterns of birds and the tea leaves an absolutely certain prediction can be made too.