HOLY MOLY! Newt and silver are both dropping like boat anchors!

[mamelukesabre]

Check the price of silver today, and the price of Newt shares on intrade. Newt started falling yesterday and still is. Anyone got ideas as to why silver is collapsing? Or Newt?

[CainConservative]

Willard placed a few $10,000 bets yesterday and today to momentarily skew the numbers and give the Rombots SOME hope..

Hey, just checked.. look: Romney just now went back down to the 40s at Intrade. (Newt in the 30s, fwiw)

Of course, he was at 70.8 only weeks ago!

What happened to the flip flopping, pro choicing, $50 aborting Massachusetting piece of crap to DROP 30 plus points in under a month?

[Utmost Certainty]

Is Intrade ever actually right about anything?

[rightsmart]

I know nothing about silver...

However, every Republican that is leading in the polls is quickly knocked down by the press and other republicans. It’s an easy bet.

[RockinRight]

Honestly Newt is dropping because Ron Paul and Perry are showing better, nothing more secretive than that.

[Matchett-PI]

“Newt started falling yesterday and still is”

That’s because Ron Paul has been running ads against him 24/7 in the Iowa market.

Add to that what this guy has been doing: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/2820210/posts

[RockinRight]

Newt-based economy?

[isthisnickcool]

Perry will be the last candidate standing. He will do it the hard way. On the ground. In person.

I did not like Perry for a long time but changed my mind recently. If you look at my old posts I was giving some poster named Cincinnatus Wife (spelling?) a lot of grief about Perry. I was like a junk yard dog against Rick Perry. Then I met him through a friend who supports him. Oddly enough, a friend who in 2007 was a big time Democrat.

I keep the picture above on one of my office monitors. It reminds me that Perry has the stones to get right in Obama's face. He has already gone toe-to-toe with the boy king. Say what you want about Perry at his core the guy has nerves of steel.

One thing about the picture. I wonder who the fellow in uniform is saluting to. A person that served the country and did dangerous things flying aircraft or some poser who never worked a real day in his life.

[Ditter]

Did you actually meet Perry in person or on line, through his book etc.?

[Melas]

Intrade has been the worst predictor of political fortunes ever. Ask the guy that (who’s name escapes me) used to spam the forum daily on Duncan Hunter’s Intrade successes in 2008. Really, flipping a coin would be more useful than intrade.

[mamelukesabre]

this far out, it isn’t very useful unless you think it is the beginning of a long term trend. But when you are only days away from the deadline, it is very accurate.

[Melas]

Hunter was trading well even though he was driving himself around in his own car sleeping in motel 6’s. I’m not buying it. Intrade might have yielded some clues to the general election, but it was absolutely worthless in the primaries.

[jiggyboy]

It’s the monthly smash-down (I mentioned this on Monday). See my comment here earlier today. http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/2820279/posts

[mamelukesabre]

Before the first primary, intrade is not going to be very reliable. Before the last primary, it will be extremely reliable. However, a sudden change in ONE candidate can provide useful info. For instance, a day or so before palin announced she would not run, intrade on her dropped to zero very suddenly. Anyone who watches intrade knew something was up and knew it did not drop to zero for no reason.

[ScottinVA]

Well, when you also consider Rasmussen’s most recent poll showing Obama would destroy Gingrich in a head-to-head matchup by 10%, it certainly isn’t helping Gingrich’s case.

At the end of the proverbial day, the sheep will flock as directed back to Romney.

[mamelukesabre]

btw, john mccain was driving himself around in his own car and he won.

[Melas]

C’mon, surely you’re smart enough to be able to tell the difference between a publicity stunt and the complete lack of a campaign staff that Hunter couldn’t afford.

[hosepipe]

(Secret).. when silver hits the bottom(or soon after)... BUY IT...

[HereInTheHeartland]

” It reminds me that Perry has the stones to get right in Obama’s face.”

He may, but he won't get the chance unless he can fix his speaking shortcomings.

[mamelukesabre]

I think the results of the iowa primary are going to cause some turbulence on intrade...mostly to mitt’s numbers...and I don’t think newt is going to be the primary beneficiary of that turbulence.