Posted on 10/03/2011 1:58:27 PM PDT by Patrick1
Based on my calculations if the election were held today the Republican nominee (No matter who it is) has 266 Electoral Votes. The One has 196 and the following states are toss ups.
Nevada, Colorado, New Mexico,Iowa, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania and New Hampshire.
New Hampshire makes it 270. ‘Nuff said.
This is assuming Obama would be the Democratic candidate in 2002. I’d bet a Gold Eagle that he won’t. I choose that coinage because it is all that will be worth anything by then.
I could see a challenger sweeping all of those toss-up states.
Unfortunately I can see the GOP losing all the toss ups. Demographics in some of these states are the GOP’s enemy. I see no hope in Jersey or Pa. and Michigan is a stretch. I think it comes down to NH.
It could be Porky Pig v. Goofy and whichever one on the demwit ticket would lose. There are too many hurting in this economy.
Ohio is also a toss-up. Be very glad the presidential election is a 13 months away; we have a ballot issue next month that is going to draw a record number of Democrats to vote (and unions to cheat.)
This math only works in a 2-way race, and I agree totally.
The problem comes with a Romney nomination producing a Tea Party candidate leading to a Clintonian plurality win for Baraq.
Surely Axlegrease and Plouffe are smart enough to figure this out.....
I think Ohio is gone, but we will see.
Is Ohio really that far gone?
(I moved away 25 yrs ago)
Hard to believe with the economy in the crapper they would still vote Democrat....
I disagree. I think the Tea Party is mature enough to see through such a disaster.
—There are too many hurting in this economy.—
Wait’ll next summer.
The problem with that analysis is that whereas a Christie (maybe) wins you NJ, it probably loses you some place like OH or possibly a NC.
“The problem comes with a Romney nomination producing a Tea Party candidate...”
$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
But that doesn’t happen when Herman Cain is the nominee, which I think he will be.
If Mitty gets the R nomination, I predict a Tea Party candidate for POTUS will be on the ballot in most red states.
Especially if Mitty’s success is clearly due to a Dem version of Operation Chaos.
I hope you’re right.
My fear is the Dems picking our candidate via crossover votes in open state primaries.
I’m convinced Axlegrease and Plouffe realize Baraq is a landslide loser in any 2-way matchup.
If Barack Hussein Obama gets re-elected with current economic situation in place, we can safely assume the United States is done, finished, finito. With his re-election we will become a 3rd world country for several decades to come.
It would be a very partisan situation.
I’m sure the Senate will go R in 2012 but probably not a veto-proof majority. And not enough hard cores to vote to convict Baraq after impeachment.
So we likely have 4 years of total gridlock.
Ohio is two states, politically. Draw a line from NW to SE (Toledo to Marietta.) North and east of the line is Democrat, south and west is Republican. The mushy middle is Columbus. Independents swing the state, and our voting laws are an election thief's dream (No ID, 35 days of early voting, any dead person can get an absentee ballot, tons of out of state college students.)
This year, we have Issue 2 on the ballot, which is our version of Wisconsin's union smackdown. Turnout and mischief will be super high on the left. If the POTUS election were this year, Obama would take Ohio.
Senate may very well go to GOP majority, but the simple fact of BHO managing to get re-elected means that the country has gone through a seismic irreversible shift in demographics. The liberals have brain washed enough kids in schools & colleges, and enough immigrants have arrived to latch on to the free bounty available courtesy of US tax payers.
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