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Climate Change: Will Chocolate Become a Costly Luxury?
The Week ^ | September 30, 2011 | Staff Writer

Posted on 10/02/2011 9:23:02 AM PDT by Diana in Wisconsin

Is the world's cocoa supply in danger? That's what a new study from the International Center for Tropical Agriculture (CIAT) suggests, singling out a familiar culprit: Global warming. The findings [see PDF] reveal that annual temperature increases will hamper the crop-production efforts in West Africa, which currently supplies half of the world's chocolate — at least if preventive measures aren't taken. Here's what you should know:

How hot are we talking?

The study, which consulted 19 climate-change models, indicates that a mere two degrees Celcius increase by 2050 will render areas like Ghana and the Ivory Coast too hot to grow cocoa, says The Washington Post. As cocoa trees struggle to obtain enough water, the developmental stages of cocoa pods that house "the prized cocoa bean" — source of the chocolate we know and love — would be disturbed. The effects of a shortage — including a leap in the price of chocolate — could be felt as soon as 2030.

Well, why not just move the cocoa trees elsewhere?

Rachel Cernansky of TreeHugger points out that "the ideal conditions for cocoa-growing will shift to higher altitudes — but most of West Africa is relatively flat, so there is not a lot of land at higher elevation to move to." Plus, clearing forests to pave way for farmland may actually end up "exacerbating climate change even further."

How would a shortage affect the region?

The cocoa trees play an "absolutely critical role" in the region's rural life, says CIAT's Dr. Peter Läderach, who authored the study. Hundreds of thousands of smallholder farmers use "their cocoa trees like ATM machines," he says. "They pick some pods and sell them to quickly raise cash for school fees or medical expenses."

What kind of preventive measures can be taken?

Farmers could diversify their crops to "spread the risk" and avoid being overly dependent on cocoa, notes TreeHugger's Cernansky. Other solutions include using shady trees to cool growing areas and developing irrigation systems that aren't exclusively weather-dependent.


TOPICS: Conspiracy; Food; Science; Weather
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To: sodpoodle

This is why Nutella was invented by the Ferrero family. They were confectioners. Hazelnuts were plentiful in certain parts of Italy, while chocolate was getting more expensive.


21 posted on 10/02/2011 10:04:03 AM PDT by toothfairy86
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To: Silverfiddle

Interesting article.

http://askville.amazon.com/grow-cocoa-chocolate-plants/AnswerViewer.do?requestId=1267051

Where are the agriculturalists and horticulturalists on hybridizing this one??


22 posted on 10/02/2011 10:05:10 AM PDT by sodpoodle (God is ignoring me - because He is watching you.)
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To: Texan5

Chocolate is native to the New World. The word is supposed to come from a Nahautl word (one of the indigenous languages of Mexico).


23 posted on 10/02/2011 10:05:36 AM PDT by Verginius Rufus
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To: Diana in Wisconsin

I have read about cocoa cultivation and the trees require a canopy to grow. So where does this “clearing rain forest” come in?


24 posted on 10/02/2011 10:06:02 AM PDT by Candymaker (Theobroma- food of the gods)
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To: Diana in Wisconsin

If it gets warmer then you will be able to grow cocoa in new places.

Like your backyard.


25 posted on 10/02/2011 10:07:57 AM PDT by Berlin_Freeper
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To: FlingWingFlyer
I hear you! I miss Bronto-Burgers.


26 posted on 10/02/2011 10:08:36 AM PDT by Rebelbase (Cain/Rubio?)
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To: sodpoodle; Texan5
But it seems of all the State Agricultural Departments we have - surely one State has the right topography and climate for this valuable crop.

That would be Hawai'i -- and ONLY Hawai'i. Cacao can only be grown in a tropical climate which provides sufficient heat and humidity, at the Equator or within 10 degrees of it.

27 posted on 10/02/2011 10:08:39 AM PDT by thecodont
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To: sodpoodle

Because of the sugar shortages and shift in production that sent the chocolate to the troops?


28 posted on 10/02/2011 10:10:44 AM PDT by Rebelbase (Cain/Rubio?)
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To: Diana in Wisconsin

Y'all should know by NOW where MY priorities lie!

Can I ride in your bus??? In the back???

29 posted on 10/02/2011 10:13:14 AM PDT by bigheadfred (But alas)
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To: thecodont

Yes that’s true. I decided to research my own question;)

But we have been creating successful hybrids for centuries. Wonder why no-one has created a cacao variety that could withstand different environs.

Gotta have my Godivas;)


30 posted on 10/02/2011 10:13:48 AM PDT by sodpoodle (God is ignoring me - because He is watching you.)
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To: Rebelbase

I believe that was the reason. I just remember as a small kid in rural England - right after the war - the GI’s would hand out candy to us.

When chocolate was removed from rationing - it was still in short supply - my siblings and I lined up at the ‘sweet shop’ just to get one bar of Cadburys and we had to share it. It was several years later that I had my first banana!!!!

Makes one appreciate the bounty we have in US grocery stores today.


31 posted on 10/02/2011 10:20:22 AM PDT by sodpoodle (God is ignoring me - because He is watching you.)
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To: sodpoodle

“Makes one appreciate the bounty we have in US grocery stores today.”

Anything from anywhere in the world. Blows my mind compared to seasonal fruit and veggies only when I was a kid.


32 posted on 10/02/2011 10:28:35 AM PDT by Rebelbase (Cain/Rubio?)
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To: Diana in Wisconsin

Climate Change Foolishness: will rational thought and mental discipline become a costly luxury?


33 posted on 10/02/2011 10:38:06 AM PDT by theBuckwheat
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To: Verginius Rufus

I’m of Hispanic ancestry, from a ranching family and when I was a kid, every time my dad was stationed stateside my brother and I would spent most of the summer on the family ranch near the border. We used to go across to shop for items that weren’t grown in the garden and were cheaper over there, such as spices-and cocoa-and it most certainly didn’t come from Africa.

Maybe we should move the major cocoa production back to the Americas? And maybe the Africans need to grow something that is native to THEIR country to export? Makes sense to me...


34 posted on 10/02/2011 10:44:50 AM PDT by Texan5 ("You've got to saddle up your boys, you've got to draw a hard line...")
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To: KarlInOhio

“Toblerone will love being able to use locally grown alpine cocoa.”

LOL!


35 posted on 10/02/2011 11:25:51 AM PDT by Diana in Wisconsin (I don't have 'Hobbies.' I'm developing a robust Post-Apocalyptic skill set...)
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To: thecodont

There’s more than 13,000 cocoa plants on north shore of hawaii alone. Which is funny because the processing plant is on another island


36 posted on 10/02/2011 11:33:02 AM PDT by Mount Athos (A Giant luxury mega-mansion for Gore, a Government Green EcoShack made of poo for you)
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To: bigheadfred

WTSHTF, all Freepers are welcome out here at my ‘compound’ cleverly disguised as a Chicken Farm. :)

Putting the finishing touches on the 3rd floor Machine Gun Turret and the moat is just about deep enough to be filled. Concertina wire is strung, Claymore Mines are in place. Perimeter is secure...

The bunker is fully stocked. I have a clean, deep well and a lake across the road. I only ask that people bring their own weapons, ammo, bedding and can openers, LOL! (Looks like your beans are self-opening. Smart! Very Smart...)


37 posted on 10/02/2011 11:34:06 AM PDT by Diana in Wisconsin (I don't have 'Hobbies.' I'm developing a robust Post-Apocalyptic skill set...)
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To: theBuckwheat

“Will rational thought and mental discipline become a costly luxury?”

They appear to be, already!


38 posted on 10/02/2011 11:36:34 AM PDT by Diana in Wisconsin (I don't have 'Hobbies.' I'm developing a robust Post-Apocalyptic skill set...)
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To: Texan5
Coffee is originally from Africa. There are various species--I think the kind that produces the bean used for the coffee which is drunk was originally from East Africa. Corn and peanuts are grown in some African countries--corn definitely is from Mexico and I think the peanut is originally from South America.

I don't have any objection to people growing things that are not native to their country--a large proportion of the crops grown in the US are not native to the US--but there may be cases where a plant thrives best in its original habitat.

39 posted on 10/02/2011 12:14:41 PM PDT by Verginius Rufus
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To: sodpoodle

Cadburys, my favorite!


40 posted on 10/02/2011 12:19:27 PM PDT by skr (May God confound the enemy)
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