Sadly, I live in that little blue state in the upper right.
Posted on 10/01/2011 9:33:04 AM PDT by Signalman
SALT LAKE CITY, August 16, 2011—Many on the Left claim to think that President Obama will be handily re-elected. Commentators who are reliable cheerleaders for Democrats, such as Lawrence O’Donnell and Peter Beinart, have publicly declared their faith in the president’s re-election prospects.
Hillary Clinton said a few months ago that she was “confident” of Obama’s re-election, while Nancy Pelosi guaranteed it.
Most Democrats, however, merely fall back on the standard prognostication that Obama will eke out a close election, like a coach telling his team that things aren’t that bad during halftime of a game in which they find themselves behind … big.
Obama will lose re-election, and it won’t be close.
First, look at the electoral map, which settled in favor of the president, 365 – 173 in 2008, an impressive win indeed.
But the map is different now. Obama will not win any state that John McCain won; it’s just not that kind of environment. Those states gained six votes in census-year reapportionment.
Then there are almost certain losses for the president—states (and their votes) he won last time that will not swing for a liberal democrat who now has a record to defend: Iowa (6), Ohio (18), Indiana (11), Virginia (13), North Carolina (15), Nevada (6), New Mexico (5), and Florida (29). Those states have 103 electoral votes between them.
Then there are the battlegrounds of Wisconsin, Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, and Colorado.
Depending on the nominee and his or her running mate, you can throw in Massachusetts and New Jersey. Obama will win most of these states, but could lose one or two of them.
Change is coming. You can believe it.
(Excerpt) Read more at communities.washingtontimes.com ...
I said it 6 weeks ago. Obama will not win more than 15 states.
Sadly, I live in that little blue state in the upper right.
There are two things to consider in this election:
1) Obama WILL get his clock cleaned by ANYONE on the Republican side, providing no third party shows up. Therefore we need to get past this crap about choosing someone who’s “electable”...because they all are electable, against Obama.
2) Obama very well may not be on the ticket next year. The Dems know that their chances of holding the White House increase DRAMATICALLY if Hillary runs instead, as a ‘moderate’, LOL.
Therefore, given the above, the key is to elect someone who can beat HILLARY. My vote for that goes to Cain, simply because the Dems won’t be able to play the race card, and Cain might even get a LOT of black votes. Also, Cain will hold the conservatives together, which is CRITICAL against Hillary.
I agree, I don’t think it’s going to be even close. They were saying the Reagan Carter Election was going to be a Squeeker. Not even close.
O is headed for a BIG loss. Especially since after 3 years in office all of a sudden every AQ member on earth is being arrested. wonder where the CIA,FBI NSA have been the past 10 years? Things that make one go HUMMMMMMM.
Agreed. I have said for a year that by Nov 2012 the GOP could run a corpse and win. Any GOP candidate will take it in a landslide. Just think how much worse things will be in 13 mos from now.
In a rational and honest world I could agree with your premise. BUT...taking into consideration the massive (20 % or more) vote fraud that will be perpetrated by the Left, it will be a “squeaker.”
Remember that quote from Stalin: “It doesn’t matter who the people vote for. It only matters who counts the votes.”
Yes, I am a cynical old SOB.
I'd like to offer a thought that if we elect enough Tea Partiers, it won't make any difference which of our candidates heads the ticket. I'd prefer a Cain, Palin type vs. a Romney, Christie, but IT IS US who will lead them because of our sheer numbers. Hell, it's happening now and we "control" only the House.
Disagree with the bit about anyone being able to beat him. It takes a communicator in the debates to do this. Yes, most of them have this ability, but Christie doesnt. And I suspect Palin doesnt (but we’ll see).
Still not even convinced Hillary wont get the spotlight instead.
The upside: Obama will lose, and lose BIG.
The downside: We’ll probably get Romney as President, who will then go on the destroy Conservative Republican prospects for the next 10 years.
So do I but you never know (Reagan won MA once at least).
Then again...Besides we are counting on electoral college victories in other states.
2000: Algore lost home state of Tenn.;
winning the Volunteer State would have put him over the top
2004: IIRC Ohio made the difference. Rush played the vocal
version of his theme song, the Pretenders’ My City Was Gone
sung by Akron Ohio’s Chrissie “Are we at war yet? Bring it on, I Hope the Muslim win!” Hynde.
“I said uh-hey-ho, a-way-to go, Ohio...”
BINGO...WE MUST HAVE THE HOUSE AND SENATE plus the Presidency.
Some people have forgotten the recent past. Dummies in the Senate have STOP any progress the HoUse has tried to achieve.
DUMOCRATS ARE THE ENEMY.
Obama will lose re-election, and it won’t be close.
$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
While that may be true, we must NEVER EVER think that way. It only serves to make our side complacent, and it fires up the other side. They will put this on their (metaphorical) locker room billboard. They will make this a talking point amongst themselves, a rallying cry at their speeches.
It is really, REALLY stupid to think this way, and even more stupid to put it in print.
One of the lessons team sports teaches you is that you don’t incite the opponent.
Really dumb title and theme for the article. Just horrible.
If the DemocRATS really believed that the Kenyan was going to be easily reelected, their communist troublemakers wouldn’t be out there trying to intimidate TEA Party members by threatening violence against them.
Massachussetts? Granted, we scored a huge victory with Scott Brown, but I doubt even Romney would carry it.
“Disagree with the bit about anyone being able to beat him. It takes a communicator in the debates to do this. Yes, most of them have this ability, but Christie doesnt. And I suspect Palin doesnt (but we’ll see).
Still not even convinced Hillary wont get the spotlight instead.”
I certainly hope Hillary doesn’t run, but she almost has to. The only thing that could keep her out would be Obama simply not wanting to bow out...but I suspect he will. I’ve read books on Bolsheviks and they will step aside if necessary to continue “the revolution”.
Obama’s toast, he’s lost the White vote, and we’re still hanging in there as a majority. We need someone that can stand up to Hillary, which is the key.
That electoral map is way way out of date. Georgia has 18 electors now, and California and New York have somewhere in the mid fifties. Was this Reagan’s win?
McGovern’s loss — 1972
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