Posted on 02/11/2011 7:00:39 AM PST by SeekAndFind
Encanas announcement on Wednesday of a proposed $5.4-billion investment by PetroChina in its shale gas operations confirms the soaring importance of a resource that 10 years ago was hardly on the commercial map.
It also looks like a nice piece of timing, since it came before Encanas revelation Thursday that slumping natural gas prices had continued to hit earnings in the fourth quarter, although this was hardly unexpected.
The market liked the news of the Chinese investment much more than it disliked the earnings dip, and Encana shares put on 4.5% to close at $32.02. PetroChina shares, by contrast, fell on the news, since the Chinese companys purchase price embeds a significant premium to current depressed North American gas prices. One key issue is how long those prices are likely to stay down. Given the huge supply potential of shale gas, that could be quite a while. The commitment certainly seems to confirm Chinas long-term orientation, because it comes at a time when the North American market is awash with gas, Canadian gas exports to the U.S. continue to slump, and there is no other place for natural gas currently to go.
PetroChinas investment is undoubtedly being made with an eye to the planned $3.5-billion project to ship LNG out of Kitimat and link Canadian gas to Asian markets. As such it should be welcome to Ottawa. There is little reason to see why the federal government would raise any objections to the deal.
Nevertheless, Kitimat will continue to attract opposition from environmentalists, who are also making hay with concerns about the pollution potential of shale gas. If they really were concerned about reducing carbon dioxide emissions, they might welcome a surge in natural gas supply and usage, given that it has half the emissions of coal.
(Excerpt) Read more at opinion.financialpost.com ...
Shale gas companies extract shareholder value and transfer it to the drilling companies. Not unheard of in the patch just that the latest and greatest hype is from the likes of Chesapeak and others.
Ping.
Shale gas is profitable at $70 per barrel, right? If so, we’re way over that since past couple of years and we need to invest in shale gas in USA. Oh and build dozens of nuclear plants while we’re at it.
Natural Gas serves different markets than crude oil. Long term trends will tend to follow but the price per BTU is greatly different. Crude price is not a good indicator of Natural Gas price except when you look very long term (multi-year averaging).
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