Posted on 12/28/2010 1:34:38 PM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach
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Amino Acids in Meteorites says:
since CO2 is a GHG it follows that increasing CO2 must increase the temperature (of something).
A more likely scenario, from Reginald Newell (MIT, NASA, IAMAP)
1 minute video
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Joseph in Florida says:
In sum, a strategy must recognize what is possible. In climate research and modeling, we should recognize that we are dealing with a coupled nonlinear chaotic system, and therefore that long-term prediction of future climate states is not possible.
This quote should show up in every post about AGW written. It should be required like that warning on the side of cigarette packs.
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John of Kent says:
The amount of CO2 in the atmosphere is irrelevant as the whole idea of a greenhouse effect and back radiation from CO2 somehow warming the earth is pure nonsense and goes against the laws of physics and thermodynamics.
You cannot create energy from nothing and heat always moves down hill- i.e. from hot to cold. NEVER the other way round.
http://www.globalwarmingskeptics.info/forums/thread-794-page-1.html
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David L says:
Excellent post! This pretty much sums it up. I too recognized back in graduate school that academic research is focused on single factors or effects. They probe the basic fundamentals such as the core building blocks of molecules, atoms, and subatomic particles. But once you get a job in industry working with engineers, you quickly learn that the fundamentals are obscured by the complex interactions in a system. Engineers have tools such as DOE that help probe these systems, but the academic is completely unfamiliar with these tools and concepts because interactions are typically not a concern in academic research. The climate is a complex system to the nth degree. Boiling it down to a single factor is beyond wrong and naive.
Great article but I fear that it might start a new left-wing greenie campaign to have ‘air’ regulated as a pollutant being that it upsets there fantasy versions of science and physics.
How dare the ‘air’ hold up that feather. If we dont do something about it next whole islands and even continents or oceans may float up a tree. Somehow mankind is to blame for this!!!!
They already are there I know. Greenie = idiot
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Frank K. says:
Mr. Onion says:
So whether you consider the science very certain or very uncertain, theres no basis to argue that the ongoing CO2 rise is safe.
There are a lot of uncertainties in the universe. The earth could collide with an asteroid. We could be invaded by an advanced race of hostile space aliens. Both are more likely to occur than the supposed harmful effects of atmospheric CO2.
Where did people like Mr. Onion get the idea that CO2 is unsafe? Oh, thats right from the same people who stand to profit both politically and financially from promulgating this myth. Please Mr. Onion follow the money. And for 2011, resolve to put YOUR time, money, and attention towards things that will really make a difference in this world, like helping your neighbor, fighting hunger, and promoting peace.
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kcom says:
So whether you consider the science very certain or very uncertain, theres no basis to argue that the ongoing CO2 rise is safe. To know it was safe wed need the science to be very certain that a doubling of CO2 had little effect on the Earth. We cant conclude that though if we argue that the science isnt settled and is all very uncertain.
We can conclude, though, that claims to know the temperature of the earth in 50 or 100 years are pure hokum. And any plan instituted to address a specific scenario runs the risk of addressing a problem that doesnt exist or, worse, exacerbating a problem that is underappreciated. To wit, the idea in the 1970s to accelerate the melting of the polar ice caps to combat the incipient scourge of global cooling.
If we dont understand things, we dont understand them. Its as simple as that. It may be uncomfortable, but it doesnt change the reality. Scientists are tempted all the time to pretend to understand their field of study better than they do (or could possibly, based on current knowledge). But the truth is the science of global warming/climate change is simply not settled and never has been. It will be many years in the future before we know enough to go anywhere near that claim. In the meantime, the best we can do is muddle through and continue to gather data and thrash out various theories, based on their scientific merit, not their political merit.
Why the IPCC models are wrong - Part 1
AND
fyi
The Spencer videos linked at Post #9 are not the best ...but want to spent some more time on them.
This quote should show up in every post about AGW written. It should be required like that warning on the side of cigarette packs.
Thanks very much Ernest. The global warming alarmists are perfectly content with ignoring variables - chief among them sun activity, cloud formations, and precipitation. We go from a coupled nonlinear chaotic system to one of those with inconvenient phenomena ignored. Inconvenient truth indeed.
Those two articles take Greenhouse Theory at face value and by the criterion set up in the theory itself finds no evidence of warming on the basis of greenhouse effect.
The Hidden Flaw in Greenhouse Theory
Falsification Of The Atmospheric CO2 Greenhouse Effects Within The Frame Of Physics
Harvard astrophysicist dismisses AGW theory, challenges peers to 'take back climate science'
It Is Impossible For A 100 ppm Increase In Atmospheric CO2 Concentration To Cause Global Warming
Those four articles each show that Greenhouse Theory has no basis in reality due to a direct conflict with the known laws of physics. No wonder the smoking gun "hotspot" can't be found.
Claim That Sea Level Is Rising Is a Total Fraud
That article pretty much puts the kibosh on any serious trend of planetary warming from any cause. Think about it. If there is absolutely no sign at all of rising sea levels how could the planet be warming? Beyond the centuries long slow warming of the earth and rising of the seas of course. But that is only a few millimeters per century due to the inter-glacial period we are in.
In sum, a strategy must recognize what is possible. In climate research and modeling, we should recognize that we are dealing with a coupled nonlinear chaotic system, and therefore that long-term prediction of future climate states is not possible.
“This quote should show up in every post about AGW written. It should be required like that warning on the side of cigarette packs.”
You should mention that this quote is directly from the IPCC 4th assessment report.
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David L says:
onion says:
December 28, 2010 at 5:57 am
So whether you consider the science very certain or very uncertain, theres no basis to argue that the ongoing CO2 rise is safe. To know it was safe wed need the science to be very certain that a doubling of CO2 had little effect on the Earth. We cant conclude that though if we argue that the science isnt settled and is all very uncertain.
Onion, thats the logical fallacy of Argumentum ad ignorantiam (argument to ignorance).
Right!
Thanks for the addition.
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