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Potsdam Climate Institute Now Says To Expect “Warmer Colder” Winters!
IceCap ^ | 12/23/10 | SPPI Blog reprint of No Tricks Zone story

Posted on 12/23/2010 6:00:18 PM PST by Signalman

Not only does this show total desperation by the AGW crowd, but exposes again the media’s complete collapse.

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The Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) and the German media are now in full panic mode. They can no longer get their stories straight.

Desperate to stem the flood of doubt now sweeping Germany, as the country is gripped by its harshest December in 100 years, including record snowfalls in Potsdam, the hyper-alarmist PIK and the German media are now throwing all they’ve got to explain away the embarrassing cold.

For years they preached endlessly that Germany would be experiencing balmy, southern European-type winters. Snow indeed had been relegated to the history books. The tables have since turned.

Everybody had predicted a brutal winter

Back in late summer and fall, meteorologists like Piers Corbyn, Joe Bastardi, and other German private forecasters, were all predicting cold winters ahead. Even Russian and Polish scientists had forecast the possibility of the harshest winter in a 1000 years. But the PIK and Met Office climatologists scoffed. The Met Office in England even went so far as to forecast a mild and wet winter, again.

So far, Scandinavia, the United Kingdom and Germany have experienced one of the worst Decembers on record, if not the worst.

PIK suddenly sees the writing on the wall

By early November even the climate scientists at the notoriously dogmatic PIK eventually recognized the writing on the wall, and so scrambled to fabricate a cartoonish “new study” that suddenly predicted cold winters would be likely for Europe, and claimed it was consistent with global warming. Their models had just uncovered it.

The media blitz - conflicting stories

The heavy snows and extreme cold hit as expected. The public was caught off guard and demanded an explanation. And so the propaganda machinery switched into high gear. FOCUS online, two days ago on Tuesday, had the title Colder Winters Because of Global Warming. Der Spiegel and other major news outlets, along with radio and TV, all joined in spreading the PIK Soviet-like propaganda - all reporting this sudden new discovery by PIK. Focus wrote:

Global warming could bring Europe colder winters. This is the finding of study conducted by climatologists at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research. In a computer model, they calculated how the disappearance of sea ice in the Barents and Kara Seas influenced the climate in the northern continental regions. If much ice melts north of Norway and Russia, as it did in the icy winter of 2005/06, then the exposed water releases heat into the Arctic air and thus heats the lower atmospheric layers. As a result, large-scale changes in air currents could occur so that polar winds make their way to Europe and North Asia, whereby the probability of cold winters triples.”

Emphasis added. They aren’t sure amd are simply floating this out. The study’s lead author Vladimir Petuchov then adds a line, which I think will become infamous down the road:

Hard winters do not refute global warming, instead they more so confirm it.”

So, according to their latest climate models, global warming will lead to colder European winters. The probability of the such is 3 times higher. Now enters Stefan Rahmstorf.

No no...stop! Warming leads to warmer colder winters!

Meanwhile Stefan Rahmstorf is watching the back door. No matter what happens, they’ll all be able to say “We were right”. Also on Tuesday, the online Die Welt quotes Rahmstorf, also from the PIK, in an article titled: Hard Winter Not a Sign of Climate Change. (Petuchov to the contrary said that it was).

“We will certainly have to anticipate milder winters rather than cold ones.”

Die Welt then adds:

“PIK scientist Prof. Stephan Rahmstorf also points out that the “cold’ winters have gotten warmer.”

Stop right here. These guys can’t even get their stories straight! One PIK scientist says we’ll get warmer winters, while the other one says we’ll get colder ones. Well, which is it? Rahmstorf seems to be saying we’ll get colder winters that will be warmer. Oh, now I get it...global warming will now lead to warmer colder winters!

It was all recently discovered by their climate models

Dr. Peter Werner, also of the PIK, said on NDR Radio (also on Tuesday) that their climate models just recently uncovered the Kara Sea phenomena, claiming it’s all consistent with man-made climate change.

Tuesday was a busy press release day for the alarmists in Potsdam. It also appears to have been a very chaotic one too.

Conclusion

So what can we conclude from all this? Jared Olar of Echo-Pilot.com here says it best:

The natural sciences have terms for that kind of hypothesis. ‘Unfalsifiable’ is one of them. ‘Unscientific’ is another. An idea may be true, but if it is incapable of being ‘falsified’ or proven wrong, then whatever else that idea is, it certainly isn’t science.” Read more here.

AGW is becoming more and more like Alice in Wonderland - “If I had a world of my own, everything would be nonsense. Nothing would be what it is because everything would be what it isn’t. And contrary-wise; what it is it wouldn’t be, and what it wouldn’t be, it would. You see? ”


TOPICS: Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: agw; climate; globalgovernance; globalwarming; globalwarminghoax; gorebullwarming; ipcc; manbearpig; potsdam; scam
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1 posted on 12/23/2010 6:00:20 PM PST by Signalman
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To: Signalman; Fractal Trader; Whenifhow; scripter; grey_whiskers; proud_yank; markomalley; ...
Curiouser and curiouser ...

 




Beam me to Planet Gore !

2 posted on 12/23/2010 6:02:51 PM PST by steelyourfaith (ObamaCare Death Panels: a Final Solution to the looming Social Security crisis ?)
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To: Signalman

Harsh winters are caused by global warming! Whoda thunk it?

Only the mind of a demented, skull-full-of-mush liberal could believe such nonsense.


3 posted on 12/23/2010 6:04:27 PM PST by Signalman
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To: Signalman

4 posted on 12/23/2010 6:13:01 PM PST by Doogle ((USAF.68-73..8th TFW Ubon Thailand..never store a threat you should have eliminated))
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To: Signalman

Expect bigger smaller snowflakes too.


5 posted on 12/23/2010 6:13:01 PM PST by cripplecreek (Remember the River Raisin! (look it up))
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To: Signalman
If much ice melts north of Norway and Russia, as it did in the icy winter of 2005/06

Um, someone please tell these idiots that ice doesn't melt during 'icy winters'. Because then it wouldn't be an 'icy winter'. I would have to say this phenomena leaves a rather gaping hole in their iceless icy winters causing warmer icy winters theory.

6 posted on 12/23/2010 6:16:46 PM PST by ex 98C MI Dude (Alea Iacta Est)
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To: cripplecreek
Smaller bigger too ~

http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/images/daily_images/N_daily_extent_hires.png

7 posted on 12/23/2010 6:17:35 PM PST by muawiyah
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To: cripplecreek
Expect bigger smaller snowflakes too.

Because of GW, jumbo shrimp populations are shrinking larger.

8 posted on 12/23/2010 6:24:07 PM PST by EGPWS (Trust in God, question everyone else)
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To: Signalman

I’m waiting for the “Cooler Hotter Summer”, next Spring.


9 posted on 12/23/2010 6:26:29 PM PST by PeaceBeWithYou (De Oppresso Liber! (50 million and counting in Afghanistan and Iraq))
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To: Signalman
“PIK scientist Prof. Stephan Rahmstorf also points out that the “cold’ winters have gotten warmer.”

But have the 'warm' winters gotten colder? Will weather continue to happen on a daily basis, weekly basis, monthly basis, etc, etc?
I'm sure the 'good' professor will have answers for us.

10 posted on 12/23/2010 6:29:06 PM PST by The Cajun
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To: Signalman

"Max, tell me you didn't fall for the old 'warmer-colder' gambit again?"

11 posted on 12/23/2010 6:39:07 PM PST by TigersEye (Who crashed the markets on 9/28/08 and why?)
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To: EGPWS

“Because of GW, jumbo shrimp populations are shrinking larger.”

And Military Intelligence isn’t wising up.


12 posted on 12/23/2010 6:42:36 PM PST by EQAndyBuzz (Remember March 23, 1775. Remember March 23, 2010)
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To: gieriscm

hehehe


13 posted on 12/23/2010 6:46:43 PM PST by BCR #226 (07/02 SOT www.extremefirepower.com...The BS stops when the hammer drops.)
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To: EGPWS

Drive on the parkway and park on the driveway....yep, it all makes sense to me.


14 posted on 12/23/2010 6:58:14 PM PST by JPG (There is hope for America and her name is Sarah.)
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To: Signalman

Imagine the kind of money to be made, if (when)global warming was successfully sold, implemented and the carbon credits commodity market soaring—— and, instead, as is now being projected by people who DO know something about our climate and solar cycles—we have another mini-ice age. An ice age similar to that experienced by the Continental Army at Valley Forge.

This was more than a hoax- this was planned ripoff of massive proportion to the detriment of the regular working people of this earth. Al Gore should be publicly ridiculed, and made an example of. Soros too. The neo nazi globalists.


15 posted on 12/23/2010 7:07:14 PM PST by John S Mosby (Sic Semper Tyrannis)
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To: John S Mosby
Friend?

If there where real justice, this hoaxers would all be imprisoned!

UN would be CLOSED!

Ban Ky sent to the moon, instead of planning harassing Israel!

Barack Soetoro trialed for treason, with his friend Dems.

16 posted on 12/23/2010 7:43:51 PM PST by Mayr Fortuna
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To: John S Mosby
Friend?

If there where real justice, this hoaxers would all be imprisoned!

UN would be CLOSED!

Ban Ky sent to the moon, instead of planning harassing Israel!

Barack Soetoro trialed for treason, with his friend Dems.

17 posted on 12/23/2010 7:47:53 PM PST by Mayr Fortuna
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To: Mayr Fortuna

But I’m confused.

I was always taught that all the Polar bears were going to die, the ice caps would melt, all coastal land would be underwater, and my children would never see snow.

They can’t change their mind now, after more than a decade of indoctrination.


18 posted on 12/23/2010 8:02:08 PM PST by 240B (he is doing everything he said he wouldn't and not doing what he said he would)
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To: Signalman

And I had planned to spend the winter basking on the beaches of the Baltic Sea!


19 posted on 12/23/2010 8:07:44 PM PST by Savage Beast ("You can, in fact must, shout 'fire' in a crowded theatre. It just has to be the truth." J. Goldberg)
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To: Signalman
Looks like too much marijuana does cause brain damage.
20 posted on 12/23/2010 8:51:57 PM PST by GregoryFul (Obama - Jim Jones redux)
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