Posted on 11/26/2010 10:58:03 PM PST by se_ohio_young_conservative
It is early. The only thing that stays the same is that everything changes with time. But there are a few things we can assume with high confidence, the economic situation will decide the 2012 election and the economy does not look to be recovering very fast..if at all. Then the question for Obama will be how can he get the toothpaste back into the tube in reguards to the unpopular health care bill and what will be a 14 trillion dollar national debt. How can he generate the same energy among younger voters that he did in 2008 unless there is a game changer ? Sarah Palin has to connect with people and having strong message. All she has to do is be an alternative.
The 2012 election will be won or lost in the Great Lakes region. In 2008 States such as OH, MI and PA are leaning Republican. New Republican governors are preparing to take office. Iowa is always a close state. Although Minnesota and Illinois are still leaning toward the Democrats, Wisconsin is turning in our favor. Indiana is coming back.
Elsewhere..
I believe Obama has serious problems in 3 southern states, Virginia, North Carolina and especially Florida where the healthcare bill is very unpopular.
In the Mountain west we are still looking strong in most states. Of course Colorado is always a true toss up. The trouble spots are Nevada and New Mexico. I still believe these states will be in play.
Sarah Palin could win with 274 electoral votes by carrying the Republican leaning Mid Atlantic states that Bush carried in 04 plus Ohio, Florida and Colorado. But then you factor in the rest of the Midwest. Throw in Michigan, Iowa, PA, Wisconsin. There would be an additional 52 electoral college votes in play. Then a secondary group of states such as Nevada, New Mexico and New Hampshire and there are 15 more.
The bottom line is.. there are 161 Obama 2008 electoral votes in play and atleast 100 of them are leaning in our direction. We don't have to run the table this time. There are several paths to victory.
I disagree. She is a likable person. most fair minded people will listen to what she has to say and give her a chance.
So, which token RINO liberal do you support ? Romney ?
In 2010 both Houses and the WH were held by Dems. That is no longer the case. Are you really trying to claim that makes not one iota of difference?
2010 was the high water mark. Don’t expect to see it replicated.
Rasmussen released a poll a few months ago where people said their values are more in line with Sarah Palin’s than Barack Obama’s.
nice try
I disagree with you 1000 percent. They said the same exact thing about Reagan - they were wrong and so are you.
Presidents do not get re-elected in a poor economy..and now a poor economy with debts almost the size of GDP. Its just not logical.
we are due for an electral college swing
I don’t support any RINO’s. But thanks for the ad hominem - it’s pretty clear you don’t believe the facts are on your side.
>>Palin is a disaster as a candidate and would get absolutely creamed in a general election.<<
Oh yes, like Romney or Huckabee or any other “B” list candidate would do any better. At this point - and conditions will certainly change by November 2012 - Governor Palin is THE best hope for the GOP’s survival.
Go ahead, nominate another RINO and don’t trampled in the exodus of Conservatives.
Answer the question. Who do you support ? Who do you have in mind ?
Which is why it’s important that we nominate a serious candidate & not Palin, Romney, or Huckabee.
But we never liked Toomey and he had already lost. Bad comparison.
Palin is a serious candidate. She thinks she can win. and shes not stupid or crazy.
Barbour, Christie, Daniels or McDonnell.
Huh?
Do you think the media will treat them any better ? Won’t they fire away at their families as well ?
this is where you lose. those guys are in no better shape than Palin at the end of the day. no more likely to win.
I don’t buy that for a second. “Oooh were skipping the election so the Communists can win and ruin the country”
Maybe that happens when Poppa Bush is v. Clinton/Perot or Dole v. Clinton/Perot
There is no chance anyone stays home this next election - it will be the highest turn out ever witnessed and a death match with our Republic in the balance. We need to fight their emotion with ours - none of the great candidates everyone likes can engender passion and thats what its going to take.
I don’t dislike Sarah Palin, but when she quit the governorship to become a rock star that was the end of my support for her as a national politician.
We need to find a non-RINO now before it is too late.
Have you read her book. Have you read her editorials and facebook postings ?
I get the feeling im debating a troll here so I will just stop wasting my time with you.
do yourself a favor and do some research on why she was forced out as governor.
What I know is that none of them walk in with high negatives, as she does. She already has the deck stacked against her, while all of them have a chance to write their own narrative.
Frankly, you’re allowing your infatuation with Palin to overcome your better judgment.
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