Posted on 07/21/2009 1:53:08 AM PDT by Swordmaker
Piper Jaffrays Gene Munster issued a note early Monday morning warning clients that for Apple (AAPL) to sell the 2.45 million Macs the Street was expecting this quarter, there would have to be good news in the data due out from the NPD Group Monday afternoon.
Mac NPD for the month of June needs to be flat in order for the entire quarter to be tracking in line with Street Mac consensus, he wrote, adding in a golfing metaphor salesman slang that he expected slight upside to the flat bogey for the month of June, between flat and +5% year over year.
Well, the NPD numbers came out and they blew past even his most optimistic expectations. Rather than up 5% in June, as he hoped, they were up a whopping 16%.
According to Munsters second note of the day, that implies sales for the entire quarter of 2.6 million units.
Thats more Macs than any of the analysts we polled over the weekend expected and more, even, than Apple sold in Q2 2008, before the global economy went into free fall.
The average sales price of those Macs in June was down 4% month over month, however, thanks to the same price cuts that drove up volume.
Well find out how all this affected Apples bottom line when the company reports its full quarterly earnings after the markets close Tuesday.
Meanwhile Apple shares, which had climbed as high as $155 early Monday, slid back down to $151 in mid-afternoon trading. The stock closed at 152.91, up .76% in a day on which the Dow rose 1.19%
(Excerpt) Read more at brainstormtech.blogs.fortune.cnn.com ...
1) People who do still have disposable income are getting durable goods now in case they don't have that income in the future.
B) People are thinking harder about what used to be impulse purchases, taking their time and doing their research, and settling on higher-quality goods with a lower TCO and longer useful life.
III) People who are being laid off are taking their severance, or savings, and investing in a top-quality computer to work from home or start a business.
People tend to be more careful about their purchases when money is tight?
Poltergeists? Who ya gonna call? Ghostbusters!
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