Santa Anita Derby
April 04, $750,000, 3yo, 1 1/8M, Santa Anita Park, 2:36 PM PT
Post Horse Sire Weight Jockey Trainer
1 Chocolate Candy 3, c. Candy Ride (ARG) 122 Joel Rosario Jerry Hollendorfer
2 Z Day 3, c. Five Star Day 122 Aaron Gryder Mike Mitchell
3 Unbridled Roman 3, c. Roman Dancer 122 Tyler Baze Christopher Paasch
4 Pioneerof the Nile 3, c. Empire Maker 122 Garrett Gomez Bob Baffert
5 Mr. Hot Stuff 3, c. Tiznow 122 Corey Nakatani Eoin Harty
6 Feisty Suances 3, c. Suances (GB) 122 Victor Espinoza Darrell Vienna
7 Take the Points 3, c. Even the Score 122 Christopher DeCarlo Todd Pletcher
8 Cape Truth 3, c. Cape Town 122 Michael Baze Doug O'Neill
9 Gallant Son 3, c. Malabar Gold 122 Rafael Bejarano Frank Lucarelli
10 The Pamplemousse 3, c. Kafwain 122 Alex Solis Julio Canani
I like Imperial Council to place in the Wood and Chocolate Candy to show in the Santa Anita. Any thoughts?
Meant to ping you. Accidently pinged ELT.
gate2wire-———
I was waiting to see if you’d put up a thread on this Trial day, otherwise I’d get to you early and just post to you;
All I have looked at is the WOOD.
Here are my thoughts: I already posted them to another FReeper who is not on your ping list, but whose home page revealed the fact that he’s seen every Travers Stakes since 1967.
First of all , scanning down through the entries list, you show EIGHT horses, where as far as the DRF tells me there is a 1 and 1a entry of Atomic Rain and West Side Bernie in this race, when you have them listed as #4 and #5.
This is doubly important considering how I think the race will develop./
I saw I Want Revenge’s Gotham a month ago, and it did look
impressive. However, this could be more an open race than it looks-—it actually could be more a betting race.
Since I am always interested in beating the favorite, and since that favorite will be IWR, I tried to find some weak spots in him, and looked further into the field. I found West Side Bernie (whose name, you’ve gotta admit, is every bit as good as Revenge’s) and whose PPs are yet more interesting. HE is my spoiler, my sleeper. I can see Atomic Rain, his entrymate, being sent from the gate as a rabbit to ensnare both Revenge, and Council, not to mention other speedsters in this race, and involve them in a speed duel which will burn them out, setting it up for WSBernie to close, which his race record indicates he can do. I also like WSB’s record in what it shows me about how many horses he can, and has beat in his four most recent races: this counts for something with me. His most recent four involved FOURTYFOUR horses and he beat 28 of them.
Johnny V’s horse , Just a Coincidence, has a similar pattern, so I can’t throw him out of superfecta contention either, and he’s likely to be about , what 12-1?
Lime Rickey I like also, although the knock against him is that ALL his races are on the Turf. I say, so what, he could get fourth at 10 or 12 to 1 also.
So, as with the Louisiana Derby , here are some Supers that might pay off, that, THIS time I WILL play.
1 with 2+5 with 2+5+6+7 with 2+5+6+7. This has got to pay SOMETHING, but certainly not the $1000 the LA Derby paid, that I did not win, though the winning numbers were the ones I posted on FR.
I might also put LIME RICKEY first and the 1+2+5 configuration 2nd and 3rd, with 6 third.
NOW I have got to look at the others in that Pick 4 graded stakes for today: My early picks in those four races are
Captain Candy Man, Cool Coal Man, West Side Bernie, and
Fabulous Strike, probably heavily bet all of them except for BERNIE. GOOD LUCK TO ALL.
April 04, $750,000, 3yo, 1 1/8M, Aqueduct, 5:19 PM ET
Horse Sire Weight Jockey Trainer
2 I Want Revenge 3, c. Stephen Got Even 123 Joseph Talamo Jeff Mullins
3 Lord Justice 3, c. A.P. Indy 123 Charles Lopez Todd Pletcher
4 Cellar Dweller 3, c. Rahy 123 A. Napravnik John Campo, Jr.
1 Atomic Rain 3, c. Smart Strike 123 Joe Bravo Kelly Breen
1A West Side Bernie 3, c. Bernstein 123 Stewart Elliott Kelly Breen
5 Imperial Council 3, c. Empire Maker 123 Edgar Prado Claude McGaughey III
6 Just a Coincidence 3, c. Forestry 123 John Velazquez Nicholas Zito
7 Lime Rickey 3, c. Lemon Drop Kid 123 Javier Castellano Frank Alexander
TODAY'S MAJOR KENTUCKY DERBY PREP RACES...
SANTA ANITA PARK
6th Race , Santa Anita Derby
(TELEVISED LIVE ON NBC, BEGINNING AT 2PM PDT, 5PM EDT)
Post Time: 2:40 PM (local time)
Distance/Restrictions: 1 1/8 Miles, Dirt, 3 Year Olds,
Purse: $750,000 Grade: 1
FREE PAST PERFORMANCES FOR SANTA ANITA DERBY:
(direct link to pdf file from EQUIBASE -free/no catch)
http://ntra.equibase.com/eqbNTRAGetFreeFF.cfm?trk=SA&rd=04/04/2009&cty=USA&de=D&rn=6
________________________________________________
HAWTHORNE
7th Race , Illinois Derby
Post Time: 4:15 PM (local time)
Distance/Restrictions: 1 1/8 Miles, Dirt, 3 Year Olds,
Purse: $500,000 Grade: 2
FREE PAST PERFORMANCES FOR ILLINOIS DERBY:
(direct link to pdf file from EQUIBASE -free/no catch)
http://ntra.equibase.com/eqbNTRAGetFreeFF.cfm?trk=HAW&rd=04/04/2009&cty=USA&de=D&rn=7
________________________________________________
AQUEDUCT, NEW YORK
9th Race , Wood Memorial
Post Time: 5:19 PM (local time)
Distance/Restrictions: 1 1/8 Miles, Dirt, 3 Year Olds,
Purse: $750,000 Grade: 1:
(NO FREE PPs FOR THIS RACE FROM EQUIBASE.
However, individual PPs for all major Kentucky Derby contenders are available at link just below, see ***)
http://www.ntra.com/races.aspx?id=36979§ion=races
_________________________________________________________________
Click here for a list of the 2009 Derby contenders:
http://www.kentuckyderby.com/2009/racing-information/contenders
*** Free (individual) Past Performances for all major KD contenders:
"Brisnet's weekly updated PDF past performance file of Kentucky Derby hopefuls"
(includes video for many prior races):
http://www.kentuckyderby.com/2009/racing-information/contender-pps
For more info at the site (http://www.kentuckyderby.com/), hover your mouse pointer/cursor over "Racing Information" and select from the drop-down menu.
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Prep race schedule from mid-March to Derby Day, May 2nd
March:
Mar 14 2009: Louisiana Derby - Fair Grounds, Grade II, 1 1/16 miles, $600,000
Mar 14 2009: San Felipe - Santa Anita, Grade II, 1 1/16 miles, $200,000
Mar 14 2009: Rebel - Oaklawn, Grade II, 1 1/16 miles, $300,000
Mar 14 2009: Tampa Bay Derby - Tampa Bay Downs, Grade III, 1 1/16 miles, $300,000
Mar 18 2009: Kempton Challenge - Kempton, GB 1 1/8 miles $150,000
Mar 21 2009: Lane’s End - Turfway Park, Grade II, 1 1/8 miles, $500,000
Mar 21 2009: Rushaway - Turfway Park 1, 1/16 miles $100,000
Mar 28 2009: Florida Derby - Gulfstream, Grade I, 1 1/8 miles, $750,000
Mar 28 2009: Swale - Gulfstream, Grade II, 7 furlongs, $200,000
Mar 28 2009: UAE Derby - Nad Al Sheba, Grade II,, 1 1/8 miles $206
Mar 28 2009: San Miguel - Santa Anita, 6 furlongs, $70,000
Mar 29 2009: Sunland Derby - Sunland Park 1 1/8 miles $800,000
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April:
Apr 4 2009: Santa Anita Derby - Santa Anita, Grade I, 1 1/8 miles, $750,000
TELEVISED LIVE ON NBC BEGINNING AT 2PM PDT, 5PM EDT
Apr 4 2009: Wood Memorial - Aqueduct, Grade I, 1 1/8 miles, $750,000
Apr 4 2009: Illinois Derby - Hawthorne, Grade II, 1 1/8 miles, $500,000
Apr 4 2009: Bay Shore - Aqueduct, Grade III, 7 furlongs, $200,000
Apr 11 2009: Blue Grass - Keeneland, Grade I, 1 1/8 miles, $750,000
Apr 11 2009: Arkansas Derby - Oaklawn, Grade II, 1 1/8 miles, purse: 1 million
Apr 18 2009: Lexington - Keeneland, Grade II, 1 1/16 miles, $325,000
Apr 25 2009: Derby Trial - Churchill Downs, Grade III, 1 mile, $100,000
Apr 25 2009: Withers - Aqueduct, Grade III, 1 mile, $150,000
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May:
May 2 2009: Kentucky Derby - Churchill Downs, Grade I, 1 1/4 miles, purse: 2 million
_________________________________________________________________
2009 Derby Prep Schedule:
http://www.kentuckyderby.com/2009/racing-information/preps-schedule
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Also see...
Countdown to the Crown (ESPN):
http://sports.espn.go.com/sports/horse/triplecrown09/index
National Thoroughbred Racing Association (NTRA):
(Free official Past Performances for many of the big stake races)
http://www.ntra.com/
Complete stakes race schedule for entire year, all classes of races:
http://www.ntra.com/races_index.aspx
Santa Anita Derby:
Pre-race imaginary wager: “Take The Points” - $20,000 to Show. Should pay $5 or $6 to Show for a return of $50-60,000!!
http://ntra.equibase.com/eqbNTRAGetFreeFF.cfm?trk=SA&rd=04/04/2009&cty=USA&de=D&rn=6
:)
Results chart for the Wood Memorial on pdf file:
http://www.kentuckyderby.com/2009/sites/kentuckyderby.com/files/wood.pdf