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gate2wire-———
I was waiting to see if you’d put up a thread on this Trial day, otherwise I’d get to you early and just post to you;
All I have looked at is the WOOD.
Here are my thoughts: I already posted them to another FReeper who is not on your ping list, but whose home page revealed the fact that he’s seen every Travers Stakes since 1967.
First of all , scanning down through the entries list, you show EIGHT horses, where as far as the DRF tells me there is a 1 and 1a entry of Atomic Rain and West Side Bernie in this race, when you have them listed as #4 and #5.
This is doubly important considering how I think the race will develop./
I saw I Want Revenge’s Gotham a month ago, and it did look
impressive. However, this could be more an open race than it looks-—it actually could be more a betting race.
Since I am always interested in beating the favorite, and since that favorite will be IWR, I tried to find some weak spots in him, and looked further into the field. I found West Side Bernie (whose name, you’ve gotta admit, is every bit as good as Revenge’s) and whose PPs are yet more interesting. HE is my spoiler, my sleeper. I can see Atomic Rain, his entrymate, being sent from the gate as a rabbit to ensnare both Revenge, and Council, not to mention other speedsters in this race, and involve them in a speed duel which will burn them out, setting it up for WSBernie to close, which his race record indicates he can do. I also like WSB’s record in what it shows me about how many horses he can, and has beat in his four most recent races: this counts for something with me. His most recent four involved FOURTYFOUR horses and he beat 28 of them.
Johnny V’s horse , Just a Coincidence, has a similar pattern, so I can’t throw him out of superfecta contention either, and he’s likely to be about , what 12-1?
Lime Rickey I like also, although the knock against him is that ALL his races are on the Turf. I say, so what, he could get fourth at 10 or 12 to 1 also.
So, as with the Louisiana Derby , here are some Supers that might pay off, that, THIS time I WILL play.
1 with 2+5 with 2+5+6+7 with 2+5+6+7. This has got to pay SOMETHING, but certainly not the $1000 the LA Derby paid, that I did not win, though the winning numbers were the ones I posted on FR.
I might also put LIME RICKEY first and the 1+2+5 configuration 2nd and 3rd, with 6 third.
NOW I have got to look at the others in that Pick 4 graded stakes for today: My early picks in those four races are
Captain Candy Man, Cool Coal Man, West Side Bernie, and
Fabulous Strike, probably heavily bet all of them except for BERNIE. GOOD LUCK TO ALL.