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Can McCain overcome Obama's edge in voter registration?

Posted on 09/24/2008 11:09:34 AM PDT by FiscalConservative1985

I've heard figures that 1 million new Democrats are registered in Pennsylvania, and 500,000 in Florida. About 6 million people voted in the 2004 election in Pennsylvania, and about 8 million did in Florida. So the 1 million new voters in Pennsylvania would be a 17% shift, while the 500,000 voters in Florida would be a 6% shift. I know that not all of the voters will turn out, but even if we assume about 60% actual voter turnout, that is a huge mountain for McCain to climb.


TOPICS: Chit/Chat
KEYWORDS: election; mccain; mccainpalin; newbie; obama; votefraud
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1 posted on 09/24/2008 11:09:35 AM PDT by FiscalConservative1985
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To: FiscalConservative1985

I can tell you that I’m newly registered to vote in Florida and will be voting for McCain. Whatever that’s worth.


2 posted on 09/24/2008 11:10:58 AM PDT by squidly
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To: FiscalConservative1985

I wonder how many are in the ground, illegal, or duplicates?


3 posted on 09/24/2008 11:11:48 AM PDT by DemonDeac
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To: FiscalConservative1985

The change in registration will show in all polling. Polling phone calls are not restricted to old registration lists. They are random. The respondent says if he or she is registered.

So this talk of new registrations either has an effect or not in a way that will be understood from the polls before election day.


4 posted on 09/24/2008 11:12:09 AM PDT by Owen
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To: FiscalConservative1985
1 million new voters in Pennsylvania

Must be the end of the world. A lot of people being raised from the dead.

5 posted on 09/24/2008 11:13:00 AM PDT by ThomasMore (Socialism is our WORST enemy!)
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To: FiscalConservative1985

It’s one thing to register young & new voters. It’s a whole nother thing to see them showing up to vote.

There are almost 2 million more Democrats than Republicans in Florida if I’m not mistaken and despite that we’ve had 2 Jeb Bush terms and 1 Crist term.


6 posted on 09/24/2008 11:13:22 AM PDT by eaglestar
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To: FiscalConservative1985

I heard something about this today on Fox, and they were saying that if that is the case Obama should be way ahead in the polls and also in the primaries and that Kerry should have won when he ran too because they had registered a huge amount of dems back then as well.


7 posted on 09/24/2008 11:13:23 AM PDT by LegalEagle61 (If you are going to burn our flag, please make sure you are wearing it when you do!)
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To: FiscalConservative1985

My question is how many of the new registered voters are real and how many are ACORN?


8 posted on 09/24/2008 11:13:48 AM PDT by GOP Poet
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To: FiscalConservative1985

Republican Party affiliation increased 2 percent in August.


9 posted on 09/24/2008 11:16:11 AM PDT by scratcher
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To: All

It’s easy to bring a piece of paper to someone and ask them to fill in a few spaces to register to vote.

It’s another thing to then get that person to go out himself and actually vote.

If someone isn’t registered to vote and doesn’t actively go out and seek it on his own, I doubt they will then go through the effort to then find their polling place and show up to vote.


10 posted on 09/24/2008 11:17:19 AM PDT by Y2Bogus
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To: FiscalConservative1985
I'm a new democrat register....this year. I voted for Hiltery, of course, I'm also part of Operation Chaos.....tee hee hee...

Numbers don't always add up the way the dimrats think they will......Pennsylvainia is loaded with Seasoned citizens that I'm betting won't vote for a Black Yewth.

11 posted on 09/24/2008 11:17:33 AM PDT by thingumbob (McGenius-Palin beats O'bomber-Hide'n (Remember, dead terrorists don't make more terrorists!))
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To: FiscalConservative1985

We have WORK to do people. Let’s get out there and DO IT!


12 posted on 09/24/2008 11:18:18 AM PDT by Silly (www.QuestionOthority.com)
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To: FiscalConservative1985

operation chaos figures are included in pa ,ohio,id,nc,va,


13 posted on 09/24/2008 11:19:40 AM PDT by ncalburt
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To: ncalburt

How many people do you really think changed their voter registration in Pennsylvania for Operation Chaos? Even if it was 100,000, that’s only 10% of the new Democratic voters.


14 posted on 09/24/2008 11:24:53 AM PDT by FiscalConservative1985
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To: Owen
The change in registration will show in all polling. Polling phone calls are not restricted to old registration lists. They are random. The respondent says if he or she is registered. So this talk of new registrations either has an effect or not in a way that will be understood from the polls before election day.

Furthermore, the polling before Obama/Clinton primaries was conducted in this way, too. And in many primaries, Clinton had an showing higher than the phone polls.

15 posted on 09/24/2008 11:27:02 AM PDT by unspun (Tell the truth about Obama to all you know.)
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To: FiscalConservative1985
How quickly we forget OPERATION CHAOS: the source of many of the new 'Democrat' voters in swing states.
16 posted on 09/24/2008 11:31:55 AM PDT by bassmaner (Hey commies: I am a white male, and I am guilty of NOTHING! Sell your 'white guilt' elsewhere.)
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To: eaglestar

It’s one thing to register young & new voters. It’s a whole nother thing to see them showing up to vote.


The question isn’t whether they show up to vote, but rather whether their ‘votes’ will be counted. That’s the problem. Only hope in PA is if Fast Eddy doesn’t put the vote machine on full throttle.


17 posted on 09/24/2008 11:32:10 AM PDT by Rippin
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To: FiscalConservative1985

Relax. 40 to 50% of the electorate will not show up to vote.

The voter turnout going back to 76 years: 1932, 52%; 1936, 57%; 1940, 59%; 1944, 56%; 1948, 51% ; 1952, 62%; 1956, 59%; 1960, 63; 1964, 62%; 1968, 61%; 1972, 55%; 1976, 54% ; 1980, 53%; 1984, 53%; 1988, 50%; 1992, 54%; *1996, 49%; 2000, 51%; 2004, 55%.

Most of these new voting yahoos will be hitting the bong on election day.

*Note: notice Clinton won with less than 50% of the electorate not voting in 1996.


18 posted on 09/24/2008 11:34:45 AM PDT by Red Steel
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To: scratcher

my question was going to be how many new repubs registered during the same time period in those 2 states...??...i see they don’t tell us that...


19 posted on 09/24/2008 11:37:06 AM PDT by tatsinfla
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To: FiscalConservative1985

How do they know who is legal


20 posted on 09/24/2008 11:37:52 AM PDT by dalebert
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