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TS Gustav & TS Hanna
NOAA/NHC ^ | August 28, 2008 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 08/28/2008 8:25:49 AM PDT by NautiNurse

The 2008 peak of hurricane season is ramping up with Gustav and Hanna. The two storms pose threats to the U.S. At least 22 deaths in Hispanola are attributed to Gustav to date, and a Hurricane Warning is in effect for Jamaica. Tropical Storm Hanna has formed in the Atlantic.

Gustav
Hanna


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Buoy Data: Western Caribbean
                  FL and East GOM
                  Western GOM
East Caribbean
West Atlantic
Florida

Forecast Models

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: Breaking News; Front Page News; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: 2008dncconvention; 2008rncconvention; gustav; hannah; hurricane; predictions; tropical
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To: LA Woman3

About 250 yellow buses were parked at Zephyr Field this afternoon, with more arriving, according to the Louisiana National Guard. The staging area is not open to the public. Evacuees who need transportation must go to one of the 17 pick-up sites in New Orleans and two in Jefferson Parish.

Tanker trucks were fueling the buses, while crews stocked their cabins with food and water.

“We just want to make sure the state gets as many buses as possible into that staging area,” New Orleans Mayor Ray Nagin said during a press conference.


601 posted on 08/30/2008 11:26:28 AM PDT by Petronski (Why is the Democrat party so damn sexist?)
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To: Petronski; hoagy62

Hoagy62 told us last night that the Hilton Riverside N.O. made preparations & shut down today at 11 a.m. I guess some hotels are managed one way, and others other ways. :/

Nagin is a real piece of work, eh.


602 posted on 08/30/2008 11:26:54 AM PDT by lainie (Never underestimate the power of stupid people in large groups.)
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To: All

Any other Houstonians out there?? I am wondering what the consensus is about evacuating.....I am in La Porte, pretty close to the water....


603 posted on 08/30/2008 11:28:30 AM PDT by DrewsMum (Proud member of the Grand OIL Party!)
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To: lainie

Statement as of 2:00 PM EDT on August 30, 2008

so much for a slowdown in the intensification rate of Gustav.
Yesterday at this time we conveyed that rapid intensification over
the northwestern Caribbean was possible...but this is a little more
than what we had in mind in such a short time. The hurricane has
reached category four status with an intensity of 125 kt...having
been a strong tropical storm just about 24 hours ago. The maximum
surface wind value is based on a flight-level wind at 700 mb of 141
kt...since the 90 percent adjustment to the surface usually works
rather well for intensifying major hurricanes. The aircraft fixes
indicate that a northwestward motion has resumed...and the initial
motion estimate is 315/12...right along the previous advisory
track. No changes to the 1500 UTC forecast track have been
made...but the intensity forecast has been adjusted upward through
96 hours. Gustav could intensify some more during the next few
hours over water...and one cannot rule out category five intensity
before crossing Cuba. The forecast now calls for a peak at 140
kt...category five intensity...over the southern Gulf where ocean
heat content will still be high...followed by a very gradual
weakening over the northern Gulf where ocean heat content is less.

Forecast positions and Max winds

initial 30/1800z 21.6n 82.5w 125 kt
12hr VT 31/0000z 22.5n 83.5w 135 kt...over western Cuba
24hr VT 31/1200z 24.3n 85.4w 140 kt
36hr VT 01/0000z 26.0n 87.3w 135 kt
48hr VT 01/1200z 27.8n 89.2w 125 kt
72hr VT 02/1200z 30.5n 92.5w 80 kt...inland
96hr VT 03/1200z 31.5n 94.0w 50 kt...inland
120hr VT 04/1200z 32.0n 95.5w 30 kt...inland


604 posted on 08/30/2008 11:29:20 AM PDT by nwctwx
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To: Petronski

Do they have drivers??


605 posted on 08/30/2008 11:30:01 AM PDT by LA Woman3 ("Yes We Can!" Bob The Builder)
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To: All

Jindal live on FoxNews now.


606 posted on 08/30/2008 11:30:50 AM PDT by abb ("What ISN'T in the news is often more important than what IS." Ed Biersmith, 1942 -)
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To: nwctwx

What do you think, Texas out of danger?


607 posted on 08/30/2008 11:31:30 AM PDT by jpsb
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To: LA Woman3


Drivers?

Wuh?

608 posted on 08/30/2008 11:32:03 AM PDT by Petronski (Why is the Democrat party so damn sexist?)
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To: nwctwx

Right down the middle of a high number of drilling platforms. Several refineries will also have to shut down.

Get your fuel now while you can.....


609 posted on 08/30/2008 11:32:26 AM PDT by PSYCHO-FREEP (Sara Palin; The Orca in a bay of Democrat Belugas!)
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To: BurbankKarl; All

Does anyone with DirecTV notice that DTV created a “Hurricane Information Channel?” It’s channel 363, one up from TWC on 362. TWC is too busy running “global warming disaster could happen” shows, so the network created a weather-update channel? I’m speculating and kidding (kinda). Couldn’t tell you what’s actually on TWC anymore since I never watch it.
363 does show radio frequency information for the affected parishes.


610 posted on 08/30/2008 11:34:30 AM PDT by lainie (Never underestimate the power of stupid people in large groups.)
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To: Petronski
Where is Obama when the country needs
him most? He should be in the gulf now
steering the storm away. Geezzz!
611 posted on 08/30/2008 11:35:02 AM PDT by topfile
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To: jpsb

not completely, but it’s hard to argue against a LA landfall as it has been for a few days.

history says otherwise:

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200807_climo.html#a_topad


612 posted on 08/30/2008 11:35:29 AM PDT by nwctwx
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To: Candor7
If there are problems Jindal should not pretend Nagin knows what he's doing like they did last time and run over him like he's not even there.
613 posted on 08/30/2008 11:36:12 AM PDT by Hillarys Gate Cult (The man who said "there's no such thing as a stupid question" has never talked to Helen Thomas.)
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To: DrewsMum
San Leon here, as long as the storm stays north of Galveston bay we are fine. Land fall at Freeport is our worst case.
614 posted on 08/30/2008 11:36:16 AM PDT by jpsb
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To: nwctwx

Cat 5 over Cuba! wow. first I heard of that.

What’s the reason for the rapid strengthening in the last 24 hours? Is this very unexpected?


615 posted on 08/30/2008 11:36:17 AM PDT by lainie (Never underestimate the power of stupid people in large groups.)
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To: Hillarys Gate Cult

Absitively right.


616 posted on 08/30/2008 11:37:11 AM PDT by lainie (Never underestimate the power of stupid people in large groups.)
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To: NautiNurse

My buddy said there are some amublance convoys (pvt) coming from Phoenix, but the numbers are less that post Katrina. He wasnt sure how many.


617 posted on 08/30/2008 11:37:33 AM PDT by BurbankKarl
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To: Petronski
Louisiana 1927, Aaron Neville
618 posted on 08/30/2008 11:37:59 AM PDT by Amelia
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To: Petronski

Evacuation by train! Listening to XM247....has all the alerts....

800 busses and trains started evacuating medical needs patients starting 8am local time.


619 posted on 08/30/2008 11:40:19 AM PDT by BurbankKarl
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To: jpsb

Absolutely not. One little jag or jog to the left would hit Houston dead on and Gus is also expected to curve left after landfall or it could easily rake the Texas coast. If you live on the upper Texas coast, make preparations now if not already done so.


620 posted on 08/30/2008 11:41:52 AM PDT by eastforker (Get-R-Done and then Bring-Em- Home)
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