Tropical Depression 7

NOAA/NHC ^ | 08/25/2008 | NOAA/NHC

[NautiNurse]

Tropical Depression 7 has formed in the eastern Caribbean.

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Forecast Discussion

Buoy Data:
East Caribbean Buoys
West Caribbean Buoys
Florida Buoys

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Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

[Aquamarine]

It’s showing some power.

[CindyDawg]

Yikes. I’m feeling like I need to “Spring” clean.

[DaisyCutter]

You’re welcome. And this one is giving me a sick feeling as well right now.

[txhurl]

Recently the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) has discovered that these hot towers appear when the hurricane is about to intensify.

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A particularly tall hot tower rose above Hurricane Bonnie in August 1998, as the storm intensified before striking North Carolina, United States. Bonnie caused more than $1 billion damage and three deaths, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the National Hurricane Center.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hot_tower

[Malichi]

GFDL has it sitting off the mouth of the Mississippi by Tuesday am.
Isn’t this about the same track as Katrina?

TAW

[DaisyCutter]

Katrina entered the gulf by passing over south Florida rather than shooting the Yucatan/Cuba gap, if that’s what Gustav does end up doing.

[dirtboy]

Katrina went across Florida and then looped through the Eastern Gulf and north to the LA/MS border. Gustav is projected to track south of Cuba.

[dirtboy]

Any idea where the loop currents are currently located in the Gulf? That’s the ultimate wilcard, IMO.

[Centurion2000]

I’m going to laugh my butt off if this thing slams into NOLA.

[steveegg]

So that’s what drew me here. The GFDL run looked too familiar.

[rodguy911]

The track has been changed on this one several times,how likely is yet another change? How strong are the steering currents?

[Aquamarine]

Interesting info although not a good sign for Haiti previously known as Saint-Domingue.

[txhurl]

wind shear map, too big to post

[trillabodilla]

(re: sick feeling in the pit of the belly)

I feel it, too. (I’m around Baton Rouge, LA)

I must need some chocolate. *worry*

[Malichi]

Thanks.

[trillabodilla]

(re: laughing if it hits New Orleans)

It will not be funny. AT ALL
Shame on you!

[rodguy911]

Wow, thanks but you would need a much bigger computer than I have to forecast steering from all that, too much there.

[steveegg]

Wish I knew the answer. What I do know is the models are in unusual agreement.

[rodguy911]

If it were me, unless I lived in a bunker, I might want to head North on one of the interstates before all the good rooms were gone. As usual FR is ahead of everyone and everything in breaking.

[txhurl]

Now this doesn't seem to be a hot tower, latest noaa shot: