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Tropical Storm Dolly
NOAA/NHC ^ | 20 July 2008 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 07/20/2008 8:36:53 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Newly formed Tropical Storm Dolly over the NW Caribbean Sea near 18.4N 84.2W. 1008 MB at 11AM this morning. Max sustained winds 40KT, gusts 50KT, moving NW at 15KT.

Caribbean Buoys

Wunderground Tropical Updates

Visible Satellite image

Infrared Sat Loop


TOPICS: Front Page News
KEYWORDS: dolly; hurricane; tropical
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To: 1COUNTER-MORTER-68

This tracks it further north and has been edging a little further north every time it updates.https://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/images/weather/plots/storm_04


121 posted on 07/20/2008 6:36:31 PM PDT by eastforker (Get-R-Done and then Bring-Em- Home)
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To: eastforker; All

The XTRP(black with triangle) is a straight line of the movement for the last 12 hours. This overall movement to the norh is happening slowly but steadily.


122 posted on 07/20/2008 6:40:44 PM PDT by eastforker (Get-R-Done and then Bring-Em- Home)
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To: Dog Gone

Good thing I booked this year’s cruise for October. Looks like I’ll spend the next two months worrying about these suckers. We’ve had Cape Verde AND western Caribbean storms already this early in the season.


123 posted on 07/20/2008 6:41:04 PM PDT by cll (Carthage must be destroyed)
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To: eastforker

Well that ain’t good,,,

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/dvorak.html

Sure looks like it’s movin’ more north to me,,,

And growing...:0/


124 posted on 07/20/2008 6:47:16 PM PDT by 1COUNTER-MORTER-68 (THROWING ANOTHER BULLET-RIDDLED TV IN THE PILE OUT BACK~~~~~)
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To: cajungirl

Tell us the snake stories.


125 posted on 07/20/2008 6:52:29 PM PDT by txhurl
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To: eastforker

What rivers are you near?


126 posted on 07/20/2008 6:54:10 PM PDT by lonestar
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To: lonestar

San Jacinto river on lake Houston, eastfork!


127 posted on 07/20/2008 6:56:23 PM PDT by eastforker (Get-R-Done and then Bring-Em- Home)
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To: eastforker; SouthTexas; Dog Gone

TANKS,,,Got It,,,

Sure looks like Texas coast,,,

12 hrs. or so will give us a better idea...


128 posted on 07/20/2008 6:56:46 PM PDT by 1COUNTER-MORTER-68 (THROWING ANOTHER BULLET-RIDDLED TV IN THE PILE OUT BACK~~~~~)
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To: 1COUNTER-MORTER-68

All of a sudden this doesn’t feel like a TX or even LA storm... further east?


129 posted on 07/20/2008 6:59:15 PM PDT by txhurl
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To: Dog Gone
Even Rita was forecast as a Brownsville storm and it eventually came ashore at the Lousiana border.

It left a tree on my house but I was long gone...for a month!

130 posted on 07/20/2008 7:02:14 PM PDT by lonestar
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To: eastforker

Ooooops.

WUG has a red link under Wednesday that says Hurricane Dolly. It takes you to the track page. I see under closer examination that it won’t be a category 1 until Wednesday. Sure hope it is not dangerous and that it veers North. We need the rain so bad I can’t tell ya. Its so dry here I’m having trouble keeping my eyeballs moist.


131 posted on 07/20/2008 7:03:21 PM PDT by gost2
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To: eastforker

Between Neches and Sabine here.


132 posted on 07/20/2008 7:04:13 PM PDT by lonestar
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To: gost2

If this storm goes through the straight between the yucatan and cuba my bet would be hurricane by monday PM.


133 posted on 07/20/2008 7:05:45 PM PDT by eastforker (Get-R-Done and then Bring-Em- Home)
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To: eastforker

Dolly could be a hurricane pretty fast. Structure continues to improve rapidly and there is almos the appearance of an eye wanting to develop. Unfortunately it looks more and more like it’s not going to hit much land before heading into the Gulf.


134 posted on 07/20/2008 7:10:47 PM PDT by nwctwx
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so I can find my spot in the AM


135 posted on 07/20/2008 7:13:18 PM PDT by Rightly Biased (Courage is not the lack of fear it is acting in spite of it<><)
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To: prairiebreeze

thread marker


136 posted on 07/20/2008 7:14:20 PM PDT by prairiebreeze (I didn't leave the republicans, they left me.)
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To: txflake

The link at post #121(the black one)shows straight line of

the movement for the last 12 hours.

Best I can see that’s Corpus area,,,

Still too early to tell...


137 posted on 07/20/2008 7:14:44 PM PDT by 1COUNTER-MORTER-68 (THROWING ANOTHER BULLET-RIDDLED TV IN THE PILE OUT BACK~~~~~)
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To: nwctwx

The last frame of the latest water vapor did a little jog back to the left wich I expected, even more so once it hits the gulf in the late AM and then I expect the slow curve north.


138 posted on 07/20/2008 7:21:21 PM PDT by eastforker (Get-R-Done and then Bring-Em- Home)
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To: nwctwx; eastforker

I agree,,,

JMHO : If it misses the Yucatan it could go to a CAT-3,,,


139 posted on 07/20/2008 7:21:57 PM PDT by 1COUNTER-MORTER-68 (THROWING ANOTHER BULLET-RIDDLED TV IN THE PILE OUT BACK~~~~~)
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To: txflake

I don’t think this storm could get as far as Louisiana. There’s a pretty rock solid summer ridge of high pressure which is just going to block the storm from turning into the central or eastern gulf.

Maybe that could miraculously disappear, but there’s not a model out there that says it will.

This could be a northern Mexico storm, although I have to think that’s less likely than it was even this afternoon. The center of the dang storm keeps reforming to the north, and while it was a slam dunk that it would hit the Yucatan south of Cozumel, I’m not so sure that’s the case anymore. The storm track has shifted even the the NHC hasn’t said so yet.


140 posted on 07/20/2008 7:25:55 PM PDT by Dog Gone
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