Democratic Party: no chance to win in 2006 Part I

There is absolutely no chance that the Democrats can win back the congress in 2006. That’s what this essay is about. If you think otherwise, you’re fooling yourself.

It is time to stop even talking about a Democrat take over as a real possibilty because the energy and time involved would be much better used thinking about how to take more seats from the minority party.

Last Labor Day I posted an essay describing the insurmountable problems the Democrats will face next year and in 2008, as they set about trying to re-take power. This second essay will outline these problems and underscore what, if any progress the Democrats have made in dealing with these problems.

The people of this country recognize that the Democrats are a socialist party. This will not get them election victories in a nation that self identifies as conservative by 35% to 18% ratio over liberal. If this were the only problem faced by the Democrats it would be enough to keep them in their place as the minority party. Fortunately for us, their problems go way beyond this simple disparity.

Things in Iraq are getting better by the month. The Democrats have adopted the wishful thinking position of: "The war has become increasingly unpopular with the public" They repeated this line over and over again Goebbels style, but they and the old media will NEVER make it true.

The sad truth is that for most Americans the war is neither popular nor unpopular. As an unintended consequence of the volunteer military, people now have about as much emotional connection to the Army as they have to the FBI. This is very evident in the small numbers of protesters that show up at moveon.org managed "spontaneous rallies".

A Thanksgiving weekend “protest” near the president’s Crawford Texas home brought out 200 anti Bush people and about 20 pro Bush people. On a holiday long weekend a genuine “groundswell” against the war should have brought out thousands of protesters willing to spend the weekend in jail to make their point. This “protest” should have been the focal point for thousands of “protests” around the nation and around the world. It wasn’t. Americans have no emotional ties to the military.

That’s actually the extent of the good news for the Democrats on this issue. The bad news here is that while people might not have an emotional or otherwise personal connection to our military this does not mean they wish the military ill as the Democrats want it to.

Consequently, if there was the slightest bit of truth to the lies the pollsters tell us about the level of discontent people feel about the war on terror, Americans would be doing cartwheels in anger in front of their local Democrat congressman's office after the 3 to 403 vote the shut the door on immediate pull out of Iraq. They would be demanding that the Democrats demand an immediate pull out of Iraq.

There were no reports of any demonstrations, not even in front of Nancy Pelosi’s San Francisco office. People just don’t care one way or the other and this will not turn into an issue that moves voters to the polls next year or two years from now. The war did nothing to move voters last year when there was arguably more genuine bad news coming from Iraq. Now that there has been a string of huge electoral successes and no civil war as the lying old media said there would be, how will the Democrats excite enough people to go out and vote for them over this issue? The answer obviously is that they can’t. Carrying this issue will only remind people that Democrats should never ever be allowed to run this country.

The split in the AFL-CIO is a major blow to the Democrats. The refusal of the media to talk about it stands as more proof that the media are content to play “enabler” to the Democrats fantasies.

Over the years the power of Big Labor has been on a steady decline because of many factors. Some were inescapable. Some were self manufactured.

The population growth of states in the south and southwest, where unions never did have much power, certainly was out of Big Labor’s hands. Nevertheless, the reaction to this decline by John Sweeney and his staff at the AFL-CIO has been nothing short of suicidal.

As things stand, unions can deliver no more than 60% of their member’s votes to Democrats. Even this weak number is now in danger.

Concerned that things were getting worse, last spring Al Stern of the Service Employees International Union ( SEIU ) repeatedly asked John Sweeney to make an effort to pull Big Labor back from its death ride with the Democrats. He pointed to the alarming drop of union membership in the nation’s workforce (now down to under 10% in the private sector) and asked the AFL-CIO to help with constructive steps. Stern was howling in the wind.

Sweeney’s response was an open letter pledging his union’s support for gay “marriage” an issue that was a proven wedge between him and his own rank and file members. Think about that. Stern begs Sweeney to pull back from the crazy liberal positions that are killing Big Labor and Sweeney’s response was to publicly back gay “marriage.”

Last summer Stern and others left the AFL-CIO and started their own coalition. It is now impossible for Stern to go back and support Democrats because that would leave him open to charges that he was always only after power for himself.

Stern and his troops know this well. They will not fall into such a trap. At worst Stern’s group will be a neutral for Republicans. At best, to show he is for real, Stern will start to support carefully selected Republicans in certain races. He already did that by supporting Mike Bloomberg’s re-election in New York City.

If Stern thinks Republicans will allow him to use them to beat Sweeney over the head and only give “just enough” to the GOP to make a point he is wrong. Anyway you look at it, the Democrats are big losers in this split.

The end of big labor as an ATM for Democrats means half the extorted union dues money and half the union thug troops. These things mean big troubles for the minority party.

Howard Dean became the Chairman of the Democratic National Committee because nobody else wanted it. That needed to be said. Dean has been, and continues to be, a starkly ineffective leader of a party that is sorely in need of a sure steady hand. His histrionics and bombastic language drive away both new converts to his message and potential donors.

If he was just controversial Dean would be bad enough. Nevertheless, he is losing the fundraising race against Republicans by nearly 2 to 1 and that spells big trouble in light of the aforementioned Big Labor trouble his party is in.

By comparison (RNC) Chairman Ken Mehlman recently announced that the RNC received over $85.7 million in contributions during the first ten months of 2005, a fundraising record in federal funds for a non-presidential election year.

The Democratic Congressional campaign Committee ( DCCC ) reached just about rock bottom in fund raising for October. After all the media’s predictions of the end of the Republican Party, after all the non-stop attacks on President Bush and every prominent Republican in America. After all of Howard Dean’s smugness and condescension, the DCCC raised just 1.6 million dollars in October.

There are several more factors that will work against the Democrats in 2006 and 2008. They will be discussed in parts II and III of this series, which will be posted over the coming days. All of these essays are offered as a rebuttal to the foolishness we hear from the “Beltway experts” who are giving us their own wishful thinking every day without any logical foundation.

Voter Fraud - the Democraps have evolved this into high art.

My fellows - this is what we anti-socialists need to watch them like hawks on.

For we know they haven't any reservations about lying, cheating or stealing in the past, and with their whiny minority status it is apparent they are more desperate than ever.

Money talks in elections, sorry to say. He/she who has the biggest bank account usually wins. And it looks like the GOP is WAY ahead of the game. I think the DNC should keep Howard Dean in place for as long as possible (wink, wink).

I've heard that "it will never happen" far too many times where it has happened. This will be another example of exactly that.

The Dems are starting to make their move on this... take heed and watch it happen. The Republicans are too busy keeping the status quo and they are losing gun owner support. The Dems will be smart and take the gun owners under their wing and the Republicans will lose out.

Heck, just look at the money involved in the gun debate... look at opensecrets.org and compare the amounts of money the pro-gun groups have vs. the anti-gun groups. The Dems are looking at that and they know that to survive as a party, they need the votes and the cash.

You may HOPE that it will never happen, but it will. Not that the Dems give a damn about the gun issue, they will do it so they can advance their other agenda's such as abortion and higher taxes.

The ball is in the Republicans court and gun owners put it there... they either need to fish or cut bait and stop trying to act like they are doing something when they really aren't.

The Dems will submit pro gun stuff in the near future... You can bet on it.

Mike

Unless something goes terribly wrong in the middle east, I would agree. Even recent polls showed that although the public is questioning the war, they realize by an overwhelming majority that these "public" critiques are hurting our soldiers.

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