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AMERICA - The Right Way!! (Day 1677) [Remember the Trade Center!!]
Various News Sources and FReepers | August 24, 2005 | All of Us

Posted on 08/24/2005 4:29:11 AM PDT by Chairman_December_19th_Society

We will not tire, we will not falter, and we will not fail!

Good morning!!

Do not let the victims of the attacks on New York and Washington, nor the brave members of our Nation's military who have given their lives to protect our freedom, die in vain!!

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE ADVISORY #3

000

WTNT42 KNHC 240857

TCDAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE DISCUSSION NUMBER 3

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

5 AM EDT WED AUG 24 2005

SATELLITE IMAGERY DURING THE NIGHT INDICATES THAT TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE IS GRADUALLY BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED...WITH AN INCREASE IN THE CONVECTIVE BANDING OVER THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT SHOW THAT OVERALL THE CIRCULATION IS BETTER DEFINED THAT IT WAS 12 HR AGO...ALTHOUGH THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE 75-90 N MI EAST OF THE CENTER.

THE AIRCRAFT FOUND 45 KT FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS AT 925 MB IN THAT AREA...WHICH WOULD NORMALLY SUPPORT TROPICAL STORM SURFACE WINDS.

HOWEVER...SINCE THE WINDS ARE SO FAR REMOVED FROM THE CENTER...AND NONE OF THE BAHAMAS STATIONS ARE REPORTING MORE THAN 20 KT WINDS... IT IS UNCLEAR HOW MUCH OF THE FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS ARE REACHING THE SURFACE. THUS...THE CYCLONE REMAINS A 30 KT DEPRESSION FOR THIS ADVISORY.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS A SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN 310/6. THE DEPRESSION IS ON THE SOUTHWEST SIDE OF THE BERMUDA HIGH...WITH A WEAKNESS IN THE HIGH NEAR THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST. LARGE-SCALE MODELS...EXCEPT FOR THE GFS...FORECAST THE WEAKNESS TO FILL AND BE REPLACED BY A RIDGE AS A MID/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE NORTHEASTERN U. S. MOVES EASTWARD. THIS SHOULD CAUSE THE CYCLONE TO TURN MORE WESTWARD IN 24-48 HR...TRACKING ACROSS SOUTHERN FLORIDA INTO THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. ALL TRACK GUIDANCE EXCEPT FOR THE GFS AGREES WITH THIS SCENARIO. THE GFS KEEPS A WEAKNESS IN PLACE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD...AND CALLS FOR THE CYCLONE TO STALL OVER FLORIDA AND THEN MOVE NORTHWARD BY 120 HR. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST DISREGARDS THE GFS SOLUTION AND CALLS FOR THE CYCLONE TO CROSS FLORIDA INTO THE GULF.

THE NEW TRACK IS AN UPDATE OF THE OLD TRACK AND IS JUST TO THE RIGHT OF THE MODEL CONSENSUS.

THE INTENSITY FORECAST REMAINS PROBLEMATIC. IN THE SHORT TERM...THE BROAD NATURE OF THE SYSTEM AND A POCKET OF MID/UPPER-LEVEL DRY AIR SEEN IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY JUST WEST OF THE SYSTEM SHOULD SLOW DEVELOPMENT. ONCE THE CYCLONE CONSOLIDATES...IT SHOULD STRENGTHEN MORE QUICKLY AS THE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS BECOME MORE FAVORABLE. THE SHIPS MODEL BRINGS THE SYSTEM TO 55-65 KT AS IT REACHES FLORIDA.

ON THE OTHER HAND...THE GFDL BRINGS IT TO FLORIDA AS A DEPRESSION.

THIS APPEARS UNLIKELY GIVEN THE REASONABLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK. THE INTENSITY FORECAST LEANS TOWARDS THE SHIPS MODEL...CALLING FOR A 60 KT INTENSITY IN 48 HR. THE CYCLONE SHOULD WEAKEN WHILE OVER FLORIDA...THE RE-INTENSIFY OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING COULD BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA IN FLORIDA LATER TODAY... POSSIBLY INCLUDING A HURRICANE WATCH IF THE DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS MORE RAPIDLY THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST.

THE UNCERTAINTY IN THIS FORECAST...AND THE POTENTIAL IMPACTS OF THIS TROPICAL CYCLONE... ARE QUANTIFIED IN AN EXPERIMENTAL NHC TEXT PRODUCT ISSUED WITH THIS AND EVERY ADVISORY PACKAGE DURING 2005. THIS PRODUCT PROVIDES WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES AT SPECIFIC LOCATIONS. THE PROBABILITIES OF EXPERIENCING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT FIVE DAYS ARE SIMILAR AT EACH INDIVIDUAL LOCATION THROUGHOUT THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA.

FORECASTER BEVEN

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 24/0900Z 24.0N 76.4W 30 KT

12HR VT 24/1800Z 24.7N 77.1W 40 KT

24HR VT 25/0600Z 25.5N 78.0W 45 KT

36HR VT 25/1800Z 25.9N 78.9W 50 KT

48HR VT 26/0600Z 26.1N 80.0W 60 KT

72HR VT 27/0600Z 26.5N 82.0W 40 KT...INLAND

96HR VT 28/0600Z 27.0N 84.0W 55 KT...OVER WATER

120HR VT 29/0600Z 28.0N 86.5W 65 KT

$$

In other news...

Nine states in the northeastern United States have decided to sip the Kyoto kool-aid. In a regional agreement, Connecticut, Delaware, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, Rhode Island, and Vermont have decided that power plant emissions of carbon dioxide, in the aggregate, will be frozen at current levels and then reduced by 10 percent by 2020. Most interesting, the deal was done through confidential(!!) memoranda between the governors of those states. THE PEOPLE OF THESE STATES HAD NO SAY!

The mother of Michael Jackson's accuser in the recent trial has now been charged with welfare fraud.

The Secretary of Homeland Security has said that increasing border security along the United States southern border will be a priority.

For AMERICA - The Right Way, I remain yours in the Cause, the Chairman.


TOPICS: AMERICA - The Right Way!!
KEYWORDS: atrw; letsroll
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To: kassie

Wow. What a great brekkie. Thanks , kassie.


181 posted on 08/25/2005 1:57:00 AM PDT by lysie
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To: kassie

Yummers


182 posted on 08/25/2005 2:03:02 AM PDT by The Raven
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To: The Raven

Good morning.


183 posted on 08/25/2005 2:07:42 AM PDT by lysie
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To: lysie
Talking about the movies, remember when you paid 15 cents to get in, under 13 and 25 cents until you were 18, then full price? betcha I stayed under 13 until I was 16. The fully thing about it was the ticket lady knew every one of us, our families and she would let us pass.
184 posted on 08/25/2005 2:26:34 AM PDT by gulfcoast6
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To: kassie

NOW my day has officially started, bowl of grits, THANKS,

GOOD MORNING!


185 posted on 08/25/2005 2:28:26 AM PDT by gulfcoast6
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To: gulfcoast6
Good morning, Toby. Did you see the grits that kassie made us for breakfast?

I think we paid 25 cents for admission.

186 posted on 08/25/2005 2:29:59 AM PDT by lysie
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To: gulfcoast6

Oops! I see you did. LOL


187 posted on 08/25/2005 2:30:26 AM PDT by lysie
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To: lysie
Good morning kind lady, visit to doctor yesterday got me a wed appointment for some more checking, one of those 'old man's checkups', 6:30 in the morning next Wed.

Can you believe it? NO RAIN YESTERDAY! Thunder yes, just no rain, at least here on the property. It rains while we were at the doctors office but nothing here.
188 posted on 08/25/2005 2:33:26 AM PDT by gulfcoast6
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To: lysie
How can one miss a bowl of grits, it would be unamerican.
189 posted on 08/25/2005 2:36:07 AM PDT by gulfcoast6
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To: gulfcoast6
'old man's

Dear friend, that term does not describe you.

190 posted on 08/25/2005 2:39:44 AM PDT by lysie
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To: lysie
I hear that some waves are being made at the UN by SOMEONE. Ummmm, Wonder if it could be a 'Bolton. Storm hitting the UN.
191 posted on 08/25/2005 2:41:30 AM PDT by gulfcoast6
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To: gulfcoast6; lysie

Hi Toby and lysie

Been up for a while which is unusual for me. Just couldn't sleep after about 3am or so. Spent a while in prayer but then decided to get up.

Have a "test run" scheduled today at 1:15pm. They are to go through the entire radiation treatment process (just without the radiation). If all goes well, treatments will start next Monday.

Just resting and trusting in our unchangeable God.


192 posted on 08/25/2005 2:44:02 AM PDT by oldngray
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To: lysie
Ahhh, you are so nice but I can tell you, I will not be riding in the Tour de France anytime soon
193 posted on 08/25/2005 2:44:43 AM PDT by gulfcoast6
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To: oldngray

My friend, my friend, count on me for some deep prayers for you, everything is going to be OK I am sure.


194 posted on 08/25/2005 2:46:58 AM PDT by gulfcoast6
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To: gulfcoast6

Thanks Toby... I think of our time together often. Perhaps after the treatments are over (early November), I'll be traveling your way again. If so, I'll call you and we can have dinner together.


195 posted on 08/25/2005 2:49:11 AM PDT by oldngray
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To: oldngray
Good morning,D.

My thoughts and prayers are with you.

Will someone be going with you today?


196 posted on 08/25/2005 2:52:48 AM PDT by lysie
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To: oldngray

oldngray, I will be counting the days waiting for you to come through here and sure they will be soon.


197 posted on 08/25/2005 2:53:28 AM PDT by gulfcoast6
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To: oldngray; kassie; lysie; The Raven; gulfcoast6; All
Good morning. Prayers and friendship travel w/you to that appointment, oldngray.

Boy, kassie, it's really a treat to wake up to such a sumptuous breakfast already cooked and waiting for the Dawn Patrol. (Thanks, no Coke for me, but you can pass the coffee again.)

The weather man was wrong again, for we've had no rain here during the past 2 days as he had predicted. He'll spin it by claiming that he was a just a tad premature since it's coming.

198 posted on 08/25/2005 3:01:13 AM PDT by Carolinamom (Life is a journey, not a destination.)
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To: oldngray; gulf coast
I'll call you and we can have dinner together.

I expect a report from both of you fine men when you do get together. ;-)

((oldngray,gulfcoast))

199 posted on 08/25/2005 3:02:39 AM PDT by lysie
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To: lysie

No lysie, I'm going to try to make these trips alone for as long as I am able. The Lord does give strength but the doctors have both told me that fatigue will be a major side effect of the radiation, especially after I begin to feel the effects of the first few weeks. Will try to save the neighbor's good will until then.

Thanks for the reminder of the power of prayer.


200 posted on 08/25/2005 3:03:52 AM PDT by oldngray
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