How Bush Can Still Win [Vanity]

Me, Myself, and I | 10/27/04 | Holden Magroin

[Holden Magroin]

Just when Bush was starting to pull away from Kerry, the liberal media reached into its bag of tricks and pulled out the long-overdue October Surprise: 380 tons of high explosives supposedly "disappeared" in some rathole named Al Qaqaa over a year-and-a-half ago.

The fallout from the Al Qaqaa story is real and already being reflected in the polls. Credible polls - not the Democrat-commissioned push-polls of "all adults" - show that Kerry has pulled ahead or extended his lead in Wisconsin, Minnesota, Iowa, and even Ohio. I don't know the last when when a Republican won without Ohio.

The Bush campaign should have seen this coming a mile away. After all, the media is fiercely anti-Republican and has been shilling for Kerry since Day One. Plus, there are plenty of precedents for the media's use of the October Surprise. As late as October 2003, the Los Angeles Slimes alleged that Arnold Schwarzenegger had sexually harassed women on his movie sets.

After delivering what it believes is the coup de grace, the media is not suddenly going to give Bush a chance to respond. For the media is nothing more than the Democratic Party's Ministry of Truth. In order to neutralize the Al Qaqaa story, Bush needs to strip the bark off of Kerry. Here's what he has to do:

1. Run ads attacking Kerry's opposition to the death penalty. If Kerry opposes the death penalty, that means he opposes the death penalty for terrorists, too. Slam dunk, Bush.

2. Run ads attacking Kerry's opposition to Israel's security fence as "another barrier to peace." In South Florida, this could help Bush peel off just enough Jewish votes to put Florida out of reach from Kerry. Don't laugh: Democratic honchos are scared enough of losing Jewish votes that they've ordered their rent-a-mobs to carry "Jews for Kerry" signs.

3. Run ads about the Supreme Court. Of course, this is a double-edged sword; many people, unmarried career women in particular, are quaking in their high-heels about "back-alley abortions." But in the heavily Catholic Midwestern battleground states, this issue is a winner for the President. Many Catholics who are leaning towards Kerry because of the situation in Iraq might cast their ballots for Bush because of a once in a lifetime opportunity to dump Roe v. Wade.

Many Freepers have rightfully dismissed the Al Qaqaa story as sloppy journalism and a contract hit on Bush. But the masses are asses. The mere publication of such a story is enough to hurt a candidate. Unless Bush starts playing hardball, he will go down in defeat.

[Holden Magroin]

Fire away.

[Chummy]

Visit the Washington Times for an update on this story.

[Leroy S. Mort]

Well it's evident you're not Karl Rove. I dismiss your premise so, that's all I have to say.

[skaterboy]

Credible polls - not the Democrat-commissioned push-polls of "all adults" - show that Kerry has pulled ahead or extended his lead in Wisconsin, Minnesota, Iowa, and even Ohio


ROFLMAO!!! Zogby? LA Times? ARG? Chicago Trib? ABC?

Yeaaaaaa they are very credibile

[bootyist-monk]

The explosives story is falling apart (even the NY Times is now backing off). This will leave Kerry twisting in the wind, again. Bush is even in New Jersey, even in Michigan and up by 8 in FL. I think Rove is doing just fine without your advice.

[Darkwolf377]

Bush can "still" win? Bush is the odds-on favorite to win. He can win by keeping on with what he's been doing.

[grey_whiskers]

ZZ-Zzzzz-ZZZ-wh-what?

nighty-night!

[hole_n_one]

This is sometimes referred to as being late to the party.

[M. Thatcher]

You're only two news cycles behind. Try again.

[RockinRight]

You're as bad as COURAGE!

The dope has been roped--look here:

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1259507/posts

You do have a great Freeper name though!

[counterpunch]

You don't know what you're talking about.
What do you mean "still win"?
Kerry is about 2 days away from a full scale tank.
It will become clear soon enough.

[Greg the Republican]

Those polls coming out you speak of are Friday-Sunday polls that Democrats usually surge in anyway. This whole weapons story is doing two things good for Bush: 1. It makes terrorism the focus - which automatically helps Bush due to Bush's large lead over this issue. 2. It is backfiring on Kerry who jumped the gun and now makes him look desperate and like someone who'll say anything to win. This is something that will play negativley for Kerry when people are about to cast their vote and Kerry fails the "gut" test that is brought up on these forums sometimes. I think the weapons story is a godsend. We should be glad that CBS didn't run with it 48 hours before the election. That wouldn't be enough time to let it play out and Bush would be hurt. But because there's still 5 days or so left that is plenty of time for Bush to hammer Kerry on the issue because now Kerry says these weapons are a threat because we didn't guard them, yet Saddam wasn't a threat because he didn't have them. Kerry's positions in the latest few days are self-contridictory. Saddam was either a threat or he wasn't. This is reenforcing the wobbly-on-Iraq perception that isn't very confidence inspiring. Kerry's position on the Iraq war as of now seems to be Saddam was a threat but he was not a threat because he didn’t have any dangerous weapons which are now missing and are a threat because we didn’t do enough militarily to protect them despite the fact we shouldn’t have done anything at all to begin with. Makes sense doesn't it? If you think so, vote for Kerry lol.

[flashbunny]

Don't you hate it when you write something and it's already obsolete?

[Petronski]

Too late. NYTrogate died two hours ago.

[UCANSEE2]

I would say, do not attack Kerry.

The man is doing such a good job destroying himself.

[Greg the Republican]

Darn adding that bold tag screwed up my formatting. If any moderators could add some space breaks there that would be appreciated. Thanks. Is there any way to edit one's own posts, anyway?

[West Coast Conservative]

Check out Drudge. The Al-Qaaqaa (sp?) story is finished and about to backfire on Kerry tomorrow. And about the polls, Bush is tied in NJ, Hawaii, Minnesota, Michigan and leads in Florida, New Mexico, Iowa and Wisconisn. Ohio is the only real state that is giving Bush some trouble, but he won't need it if he wins FL, NM, IA, and WI.

[UCANSEE2]

wanna see some pretty pictures?

http://www.2la.org/syria/wmd.html

[hosepipe]

First; Bush is NOT looseing...
Second; He will win but how much is the question ...
Third; The story you quote is a non story.. People already know who they'll vote for, for weeks now.. Undecideds will still be undecided till the moment they enter the voting booth.. why?... because their undecideds, thats how they are.

[Question Liberal Authority]

What Kerry is NOT Talking About:

Diversity
The Economy
Health Care
Unions
The Environment
Stem Cells
The Minimum Wage
Women's Rights
African Americans
Energy Independence
Gay Rights
Feeling Your Pain
Abortion
Hispanics
Any Positive Vision For The Future

What Kerry IS Talking About:

The catastrophically dangerous regime of Saddam Hussein and what an incredible threat to humanity was posed by less than 1/10 of 1% of his weapons.