Tradesports: U.S. Senate : +1 to +2 (depending on if Coors wins Colorado)[correction]

Tradesports.com ^ | 10/23/04

[motife]

Alaska : R Murkowski loses 45.0% : -1

Colorado : R Coors even bet 50% : flat to -1

Florida : R Martinez wins 63% : +1

Georgia : R Isakson wins 96.5% : +1

Illinois : D Obama wins 98.0% : -1

Louisiana : R Vitter wins 61.0% : +1

Kentucky : R Bunning wins 79.0% : flat

N.C. : D Bowles loses 42.0% : +1

Oklahoma : D Carlson loses 46.0% : flat

S.C. R DeMint wins 80.0% : +1

S.D. D Daschle wins 56.0% : flat

[Jose Roberto]

I would not put Murkowski or Thune under...Thune will likely win and Murkowski will benefit if Bush wins >300 electoral votes due to some coat-tails.

[WOSG]

Actually the math is +2 to +3 by your count...

But I think THUNE WILL WIN ... and SO WILL COORS, they underpolled the GOP in 2002 and they are doing it again ... so this is actually +4.

I dont have any read on the Alaska race, but she is a RINO and the Dem is a non-kook Dem, so it's not a big loss.

I think the other big plus here is Louisiana. A Republican senator (finally) is a great breakthrough.

[motife]

can't count.

[Eccl 10:2]

"I would not put Murkowski or Thune under...Thune will likely win and Murkowski will benefit if Bush wins >300 electoral votes due to some coat-tails."

Agreed. If Bush is able to clinch some battleground states early, that will depress the Dem turnout in states in Mountain and Pacific time zones. That will definitely work to the advantage of Murkowski and Coors, and possibly Thune to some extent.

[Aetius]

Thune must win this time by enough of a margin to make irrelevant the shenanigans of late-arriving Reservation ballots. It probably cost him a rightful victory last time.

[Aetius]

Though if if works out that Thune does knock the insufferable Daschle out, then it will have turned out to be a good thing. I mean, it'd be nice to be rid of them both, but Johnson is preferable to Daschle.