Posted on 09/21/2004 4:35:59 AM PDT by Chairman_December_19th_Society
We will not tire, we will not falter, and we will not fail!
Good morning!!
Do not let the victims of the attacks on New York and Washington, nor the brave members of our Nations' miltary who have given their lives to protect our freedom, die in vain!!
CAT I HURRICANE JEANNE ADVISORY #31
DISCUSSION
...JEANNE--A THREAT, NOT A THREAT, A THREAT...LOW CONFIDENCE IN FORECASTS ON THIS SYSTEM...NOW A HURRICANE...ANOTHER CHANGE TO THE INTEREST WATCH AREA...
JEANNE has undergone explosive deepening of its central pressure, but the eye is still cloud covered and open to the south, indicating the presence of significant shear.
Yesterday, models came into good agreement. Today, models came into good disagreement.
The consensus--if it can really be called that--is what is being shown in the graphic. JEANNE will make a slow anticyclonic loop and then proceed westward. This is a very low confidence forecast, in the words of the NHC. But there's nothing better.
As stated earlier, JEANNE is in a relatively high shear environment. Several things could happen over the next several days. JEANNE could upwell significant amounts of cold water from staying in roughly the same spot for awhile, cutting off its "fuel," it could get sheared off by the SW flow over top of the cyclone, it could ingest the cold air from the shortwave to its north. Again, models are all over the place. NHC has prepared a forecast on the premise that none of these events will come to pass--the "safe" solution. It, like the path forecast, is of very low confidence.
WATCHES/WARNINGS
[There are no watches or warnings associated with JEANNE at this time.]
STORM DATA
Fix Time: 5 AM ET (0900Z)
Location: 27.6N by 70.0W, or 445 miles E of Great Abaco Island.
Vector: ENE at 6 MPH. Steering currents are falling apart, and JEANNE is expected to slowly turn to the E or SE later today.
Winds: 90 MPH 1-minute sustained. Some strengthening is likely over the next 24 hours.
Pressure: 972 MB or 28.70"
Diameter of Hurricane Force Winds: 100 miles.
Diameter of Tropical Storm Force Winds: 240 miles.
Anticipated Landfall Time: N/A
Anticipated Landfall Location: N/A
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENTS
[None at this time.]
NEXRAD IMAGERY
[No part of JEANNE is within 124 nautical miles of any CONUS or Puerto Rico NEXRAD site.]
SLOSH DATA
[None at this time.]
TOD DATA
[None at this time. TOD data will be calculated if and when hurricane warnings are posted for CONUS and apply only to CONUS territories.]
STATE-ISSUED OFFICIAL EVACUATION INSTRUCTIONS AND OTHER INFORMATION
[There are no such documents for this system at this time.]
INTEREST WATCH AREA
Interests along the United States Atlantic littoral from Florida to Virginia should monitor the progress of JEANNE.
Top Bush advisors are said to be pushing for the removal of the moderator from the debate to be held at Arizona State University. The moderator is from CBS. The President has not made any indication he supports this notion.
USA Today is running a story that CBS arranged for a confidential source to talk to Joe Lockhart, an aide to John Kerry, after the network received the "unauthenticated" (forged, actually) documents.
The Criminal Party admits the documents are false, but Terry McAwful is pressing on: "Now that we know what's not true, let's focus on the facts..." [Yeah, right.]
Meanwhile, the GOP issued the following statement:
We accept CBS's apology for a breach of the journalistic standards that provide the American people confidence in news organizations, but some disturbing questions remain unanswered.
CBS has now answered questions about the authenticity of the documents but questions remain surrounding who created the documents, who provided them to CBS and if Senator Kerry's supporters, Party committee, or campaign played any role.
Did Bill Burkett, Democrat activist and Kerry campaign supporter, who passed information to the DNC, work with Kerry campaign surrogate Max Cleland? Did Bill Burkett's talks with ‘senior’ Kerry campaign officials include discussions of the now discredited documents? Was the launch of the Democrat National Committee's Operation Fortunate Son designed with knowledge of the faked forged memos? Terry McAuliffe said yesterday that no one at the DNC or Kerry campaign, ‘had anything to do with the preparations of the documents,’ but what about the distribution or dissemination?
In an effort to regain the trust of the American people CBS should not only investigate the process that led to the use of these documents but they should identify immediately those engaged in possible criminal activity who attempted to use a news organization to affect the outcome of a Presidential election in its closing days.
For AMERICA - The Right Way, I remain yours in the Cause, the Chairman.
Pookie's toon thread today is outstanding.. but with my modem it took forever to load & I had lots of little red x's in boxes that I had to individually click on "show picture"
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/1222246/posts?page=15
Lots of excitement and activity....
..not inconsequential that the headquarters is on beachside and we're dealing with an election process and..the aftereffects of a hurricane!
A church in our area was prominently displayed on news photos....
..and I saw it yesterday.
I've passed by this church for years....and it was surreal what the hurricane did.
It took the top 1/3 of the steeple....just sheared it off....and
..plunged it into the roof of the church upside down!
The church folks (& this is a pretty big church) are now meeting in a large tent!
Anyway, the headquarters was busy busy with requests for yard signs, bumper stickers, buttons, etc.
Because I'm a voluteer, I'm now the proud owner of a nice navy Bush/Cheney t-shirt!!
I also have two tickets for tomorrow to Orlando to hear Rudy speak.....but not sure I will make it.
I will try to give my tickets away, if I can't.
Good morning everyone.
The President speaks to the UN at 10:30.
We have the satellite dish hooked up so I'll be able to listen. And freep on a live thread if there is one.
Ahhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh!!
Prairie
Well, that and fifteen minutes is WAAAAYYY overtime for a halftime show. You've really got about six to get on, do your show, and get off. Christmas lights would be an awesome effect, though.
Sadly, I don't think we're EVER going to get to march our show one. Thanks to Ivan, we had so many folks missing this past week that the directors thought we should just march on into set one, play our music and march off. We even left out a song. : ( Maybe at Tennessee.
Oh, EVERYONE! Tagline change.
Smackity smackity smack..LOL
I agree, but could this guy bring up that weapons' inspectors said differently?
Hope you can make it to hear Rudy.
There were so many I loved.. hard to pick ONE favorite.. maybe about 5.. there were a couple of the Clintoon ones I didn't get...
Off to get some work done.. PJ warrior here still in nightie & work, domestic--wise bids me to get busy
It is fun working with your local republican groups. Nice people & feel like you are really doing something vital.
I hope you are able to hear Rudy (get a hug !!!). Is it mostly because of your foot that you might not go?.
BBL
Saturday after this coming one, at the University of Tennessee. It's gonna be scary standing on that field. They have a big stadium.
Those cartoons were cool, but some of the Star Trek parodies were freaky. Kerry taking the place of Leonard Nemoy? Augh! Noooo! : )
Good morning, prairie! Glad you can listen to the UN speech.
Just heard on FNC that in about 2 hours from now (so 1:30 or 2:00 eastern) there will be a press conference regarding the Oil for FOod program. Some Congresscritters are convinced that the $$ was used to fund terrorists and AQ specifically.
TV is turned off until later in the afternoon. Please keep me posted as to what is going on. Thanks!
what time is the president addressing the UN?
Did they get that kook who was planning to assassinate POTUS?
I am going to monitor the press conference, too, if I can.
Howdy.
Does anyone have a link to info that shows or tells the level of terrorist activity in decline?
I can't find it on Google, State Dept website or FR.
10:30 - question #1
The UN speech is at 10:30.
A press conference re Oil for Food scandal with Congresscritters (should be very interesting) at 1:30 or 2:00.
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