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October Bin Laden Surprise?
Opinion | 06-12-04 | Michael Smith

Posted on 06/12/2004 11:19:04 AM PDT by Michael Smith

I've heard rumors over the past few months that the administration has already captured Osama Bin Laden and is keeping him on ice (perhaps literally) until just before the election. I do not believe this particular postulation. However, I cannot rule out the possibility that they may know where he is. In fact, with the technology that now exists, I don't know how they could not know where he is. My question is this:

Is it possible that the administration is waiting until closer to the election to capture Bin Laden?

Afterall, the capture of Bin Laden, dead or alive right before the election would essentially nullify any chance that John Kerry might have of winning.


TOPICS: Conspiracy
KEYWORDS: faq

1 posted on 06/12/2004 11:19:04 AM PDT by Michael Smith
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To: Michael Smith; hellinahandcart; trussell; MEG33; MeekOneGOP; petuniasevan; Hillarys nightmare; ...

This isn't a "rumor". It's a mindless propaganda cliche' from the DUmpster types.


2 posted on 06/12/2004 3:51:18 PM PDT by JoJo Gunn (Intellectuals exist only if you believe they do. ©)
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To: Michael Smith

Yeah, right, mate, try again. This from the organisation which couldn't even set up a simple sattelite link so that Osama could watch 9/11 live from his camel hole.

I'm SO not shaking in my boots. Yawn.


3 posted on 06/12/2004 3:55:01 PM PDT by KangarooJacqui ("Those who say that we're in a time when there are no heroes, they just don't know where to look.")
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To: Michael Smith

Ditto on the DU types. They have been pushing this for months.


4 posted on 06/12/2004 4:55:09 PM PDT by Roamin53 (World War III started on Bill Clinton's watch. He just wasn't sure which side he was on.)
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To: Michael Smith

Wow...member since Dec 1997, and only 3 posts to your profile? Where ya been?


5 posted on 06/12/2004 6:31:13 PM PDT by trussell (If stupidity was actually painful, some people would be on a permanent lidocane drip.)
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To: Michael Smith

This rumor is so old it has grown a long beard.


6 posted on 06/12/2004 8:12:33 PM PDT by MEG33 (John Kerry's been AWOL for two decades on issues of National Security)
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To: trussell
"Where ya been?"

The abyss.

7 posted on 06/12/2004 9:17:31 PM PDT by Michael Smith
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To: Michael Smith

Hi Michael, long time no see. You were one of my favorite posters.
Please tell me you don't believe this.


9 posted on 06/12/2004 9:25:44 PM PDT by Jean S
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To: JeanS
Hello Jean! I do not believe you. ; )

Thank you for the compliment. President Reagan's death drew me out of the woodwork.

10 posted on 06/12/2004 9:47:35 PM PDT by Michael Smith
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To: Michael Smith

I am very glad to see you back.


11 posted on 06/12/2004 9:51:53 PM PDT by Jean S
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To: trussell
Sorry for the melodramatic response. Actually, in 2001 I got into a small skirmish with a few members who turned on Rush Limbaugh for something he said which they had misinterpreted. When I defended him, they turned on me as well. It got unpleasant and I became disillusioned, not with FR or JimRob, but with the climate at that time.

My consolation? Though it may not have occurred to anyone at the time, Rush was following that thread. He e-mailed me about it. He confirmed that they had, in fact, misinterpreted what he said, and he was dismayed that they had turned on me so quickly for defending him. I dropped off the radar screen about that time, but ironically, that was not my last contact with Rush. In the wake of 9/11 I alerted him to some material I had that was relevant to a squabble he got into with Peter Jennings and he had me overnight it to him with his Fed Ex account number. He then used the material on the air. I received a hand written thank you from him for providing that material. It was all pretty cool.

12 posted on 06/12/2004 10:05:13 PM PDT by Michael Smith
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To: Michael Smith

Welcome back.


13 posted on 06/12/2004 10:41:25 PM PDT by pax_et_bonum (Always finish what you st)
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To: Michael Smith

Hey, are you the old 'Michael Rivero' come back? I used to love his posts...


14 posted on 06/13/2004 8:45:54 AM PDT by CharlotteVRWC
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To: CharlotteVRWC

No.


15 posted on 06/13/2004 11:02:00 AM PDT by Michael Smith
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To: Michael Smith

Hey, no hangin' out in the abyss, that's my hiding spot.
*chuckle*

First time I heard someone ask about whether or not we might have Osama, it was from a media type asking that in fear because they know one thing: If we catch the creep, any Dem nominee they forward is toast. The public reaction wave principle, basically put it means that the public knows that Dems will not have our best security interests at heart and catching Osama and his minions isn't on the Dem's priority list.
Catching Osama or bringing him into public view, say in October, would be a massive political boost.
The Dems fear that.


16 posted on 06/13/2004 12:18:42 PM PDT by Darksheare (enthusiasm + energy * willpower / time available = probability of trouble/discovery)
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To: Darksheare
"If we catch the creep, any Dem nominee they forward is toast."

I agree completely. I half-expected someone to accuse me of being a Dem disruptor. I don't really think the administration would wait on capturing Bin Laden if they know precisely where he is, but I do think that they must have some general idea of where he is within an X mile radius. Therefore, I think it would be logical to assume that we're going to see the military get much more aggeressive in their efforts to flush him out if they haven't located him by the end of summer. This would make sense for two reasons, and not necessarily to help Bush win re-election, but rather for a noble reason. That reason is this: Should, by some fluke, John Kerry prevail and win the election, we may never see the capture of Bin Laden because Kerry won't consider that to be a very high priority. It would be a sickening shame for us to have to sit back and watch someone as evil and notorius as Adolph Hitler walk simply because we got a liberal President who didn't have the guts to bring him to justice. So, I think that regardless of the political motives involved, we will see Bin Laden or his corpse trotted before the cameras by the end of this year.

17 posted on 06/13/2004 12:44:40 PM PDT by Michael Smith
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To: Darksheare

I forgot to mention my second reason. That Bush would not want to risk the possibility of leaving office only to see the military capture Bin Laden after Kerry takes office, thereby allowing him to bask in the glory and take the credit. If I were Bush I sure wouldn't risk that happening.


18 posted on 06/13/2004 12:52:20 PM PDT by Michael Smith
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To: Michael Smith

The smart thing for us to do would be to zap his subordinates slowly and quietly one by one, and then watch teh others.
THEN we zap Osama publicly, and since in this scenario we've been keeping tabs on the cronies, kill them too.

But, in likelyhood, Osama has been like a paranoid squirrel and isn't staying in any one place too long and not trusting even close associates.


19 posted on 06/13/2004 12:52:59 PM PDT by Darksheare (enthusiasm + energy * willpower / time available = probability of trouble/discovery)
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To: Michael Smith
There would be no reason to wait until October to kill or capture Osama bin Laden if we had the chance. If we capture him at any time, the boost will help the president in November. Furthermore, catching him now would allow us to reap benefits of the capture for a couple of months. If Osama bin Laden were dead, we'd probably have more success defeating our enemies in Iraq. Three or four months of stability in Iraq would do much more for the president's re-election than an "October surprise."

One More Tribute (to President Reagan)
Bill

20 posted on 06/13/2004 4:42:49 PM PDT by WFTR (Liberty isn't for cowards)
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