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CNN Data Guru’s Dire Midterm Warning for Democrats
The Daily Beast ^ | July 20, 2026 | Sarah-Jane Collins

Posted on 07/20/2026 1:25:40 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican

CNN’s expert data analyst Harry Enten has warned Democrats that their lead in national polls is soft, and doesn’t guarantee them a House majority.

Looking back at polling data from before the 2006 and 2018 midterms, Enten identified a statistic that he believes should worry Democrats.

Averaging recent CNBC and Washington Post polling, Enten found that the Democrats are four points up in generic national polls, but that’s not a big enough lead to guarantee success, falling well below where they were polling ahead of House takeovers in 2006 and 2018.

In 2006, the Dems led by 12 points at this point in the cycle; in 2018, they led by 10.

“This is a warning sign, this is an uh-oh, yes Democrats are ahead, but not by anywhere near the margin in prior wave years,” Enten told CNN News Central’s anchor John Berman.

CNN data guru Harry Enten warns Dems could lose midterms, despite lead.

(Excerpt) Read more at thedailybeast.com ...


TOPICS: Politics
KEYWORDS: whosnotdownwiththat
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1 posted on 07/20/2026 1:25:40 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: MinorityRepublican

How can we defeat “Free S**T”? I am trying to be optimistic but I see who the voting public is and it frightens me.


2 posted on 07/20/2026 1:31:38 PM PDT by Hyman Roth
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To: MinorityRepublican

Well gee I mean Commies are so damn awesome whats not to like, between them wanting to have NO borders, to wanting Medicare for All which means hey waiting THREE YEARS to see a doctor whose not down with that! To rooting for Hamas, Hezbollah, and Iran to kill all the Jews I mean come on, whose not down with that!


3 posted on 07/20/2026 1:34:36 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: MinorityRepublican
I'm not sure the Democrats have to worry. As usual, the GOP is shooting itself in the .....foot.

Republican Rep. Glenn Thompson is leading the push to pass an Amnesty bill just in time for the midterms.

The bill grants amnesty to illegal immigrants with farm work history.

Granting amnesty to illegal aliens present in the United States as of May 31, 2026, who meet minimal agricultural work history requirements.

How many illegal aliens will claim to be agriculture workers?

Proposed bill here

Image

4 posted on 07/20/2026 1:37:19 PM PDT by CFW
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To: Sarah Barracuda
Medicare for All which means hey waiting THREE YEARS to see a doctor

Many Americans assume that we can see a doctor whenever ww want with Medicare for All.

5 posted on 07/20/2026 1:42:53 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: MinorityRepublican
Dems largely lead in overwhelmingly blue states. If the Dems are ahead by 80 points in California, it doesn't really mean squat.

6 posted on 07/20/2026 1:43:04 PM PDT by Governor Dinwiddie ( O give thanks unto the Lord, for He is gracious, and his mercy endures forever. — Psalm 106)
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To: MinorityRepublican

I do hope the GOP tries to win.

YouTube is filled with ads for Democrats in several states. I have yet to see any ad for a Republican. I see stories saying that the Democrats have money trouble, but the GOP is flush with cash. But I don’t see the GOP spending any of their money.


7 posted on 07/20/2026 1:44:53 PM PDT by ClearCase_guy (Enoch Powell warned us about Rivers of Blood. Well, I sure hope they're coming. It's the only fix.)
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To: MinorityRepublican

and they are dead wrong. First of all, the illegals will get first dibs, so you import another 100+ million illegals and give them free health care, yeah welcome to waiting years to see a doctor, should be fun, by the time they diagnose whatever condition a person has they will be dead but I GUARANTEE you the commies in Govt will have private insurance. Just like with Obamacare, there was a clause in it saying that members of congress are exempt from having to enroll in Obamacare, gee if its so awesome, how come?


8 posted on 07/20/2026 2:04:12 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: MinorityRepublican

In on medicare and have no problem getting in to see a dr.


9 posted on 07/20/2026 2:08:53 PM PDT by DownInFlames (p)
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To: DownInFlames
In on medicare and have no problem getting in to see a dr.

For now.

But that will change under the next Democratic Administration where we will have Medicare for all with open borders policy.

10 posted on 07/20/2026 2:11:05 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: MinorityRepublican
Why does Harry Enten remind me of the ShamWow guy?


11 posted on 07/20/2026 3:54:16 PM PDT by Apparatchik (Русские свиньи, идите домой)
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To: MinorityRepublican

Past performance is not indicative of future results...............


12 posted on 07/20/2026 4:34:55 PM PDT by Red Badger (Iryna Zarutska, May 22, 2002 Kyiv, Ukraine – August 22, 2025 Charlotte, North Carolina Say her)
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To: MinorityRepublican

Don’t sweat it, Harry. The democommies have MONTHS to print/harvest/create ballots.


13 posted on 07/20/2026 8:24:54 PM PDT by Sicon ("All animals are equal, but some animals are more equal than others." - G. Orwell)
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To: Hyman Roth
How can we defeat “Free S**T”?

You have to ask a few questions:

  1. How many people receive free money vs. how many people are paying that money?

  2. How many people who are paying that money want to pay that money vs. how many people don't want to?

  3. How many of the people who receive the money or are happy to pay it are citizens who vote?

I'd like to believe that the citizens who resent paying for #1 are greater than the citizens who receive it or are happy to pay it. I think the flight of taxpayers from blue to red states is a metric that would inform the situation.

-PJ

14 posted on 07/20/2026 8:39:41 PM PDT by Political Junkie Too ( * LAAP = Left-wing Activist Agitprop Press (formerly known as the MSM))
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