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Posted on 05/05/2026 4:16:13 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
Republican strategist Karl Rove said Monday that current polling does not foreshadow a “tsunami” for Democrats in the upcoming midterms.
“So, this election’s going to be a wild one. It’s going to be very close, in my opinion. It’s going to be settled by a relatively small number of contests. Somebody’s going to win, somebody’s going to lose. Likely, the House goes Democrat, Senate stays Republican,” Rove told Fox News’s Martha MacCallum on “The Story.”
“But the idea that this is going to be a tsunami, like we’ve seen in the past, I think it’s not borne out by the data yet,” he added.
(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...
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Well, he knows close. 2000 and 2004...close.
It’s the actual headcount that matters.
We still need to stay out of the Bushies....
Most of the polls are fake.
A very astute observation, Mr. Rove.
Well if he is saying that, we are doomed.
I just got my CA ballot. It appears that there are around 40 or so running for Governor. I need to look into the local races as well.
Does he still hold magnificent b-—ard status or has that been revoked? Maybe it was turd blossom... my memory fades.
Rove needs to be sent down the GOPeer drain hole.
Republicans hold the House with the recent SCOTUS race based districting ruling and subsequent Gerrymandering in red states. Not sure why Rove and some of the other pundits keep sidestepping that fact.
It’s not enough. There is real movement in polls that he is ignoring.
Way to early to tell anything, 6 months is a lifetime in politics.............
I see that Rove has been reading my post again.
I posted this in a thread last night:
“I’m not so sure that “Blue Wave” is coming. The administration has been quietly defunding the funding machinery the Democrats have traditionally used to finance fraud. They’ve also been removing election judges (officials) who cheat. This will help in competitive districts and make it harder to cheat.
Trump may not be popular, but the Democrats are in worse shape in a popularity contest. Don’t downplay how unpopular the Democrats are. The Democrats’ popularity is something like 30%. Beyond the communist base, I’m not sure there is a lot of enthusiasm for candidates like Mandami.
And, this is the big one: every seat that is saved via redistricting is really equal to two that the Democrats have to gain. If the Democrats lose 10 seats through redistricting, they need to flip 20 other seats to break even, since the Republicans will have 10 more than they had. It becomes a game of diminishing returns really fast. Especially as there will be fewer winnable districts for them to flip.
I honestly don’t know how many seats the redistricting is going to net Republicans. But 10 to 15 looks doable at this point. Texas gives the Republicans 5 more. If Florida provided 4, Alabama 1 or 2, and Louisiana 1 or 2, that’s 11 to 13. Without others joining in. It very well may be that the Democrats will need to pick up 40 seats to break even. After the redistricting, I’m not sure there will be that many flippable seats.
If 15 flip Republican due to redistricting, the Democrats may have a very hard time taking the House because there may not be enough competitive districts.
Lastly, I think the Democrats are overconfident. They’re expecting a big win because it has always seemed to happen before. Combined with the unpopularity of the hard left segment of the party that has taken control of the Democratic Party, they may have lower voter turnout than they are planning on.
Don’t despair. This may not be a normal off-year election.
I’m not predicting it, but I would not be surprised if Republicans gain a few seats in the House.”
https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/4377691/posts
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In an ideal world we hold on to the house-just barely. That way the rats keep on doing what they’re doing. Then one of our reps says the most grotesque and THREATENING leftist quotes on the news were actually republican PLANTS. Made it so gross they knew the public would turn against the left.
Does anyone here remember Ed Rollins and his ‘walking around money’ quote?
The polling information suggests that the populace is annoyed with both parties, and that turnout is more important than changed minds - to a greater extent than typical.
The redistricting cancels out a notable shift away from the incumbent party. Additionally, there is clearly remaining upset about the fighting with “protesters” and ICE raids (both ways), as well as the Iran conflict and associated economic effects both real and rhetorical.
It makes a Republican victory plausible, not given.
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