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Posted on 04/12/2026 7:52:20 PM PDT by Enterprise
1/10 The U.S. naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz would cost Iran approximately $276M/day in lost exports and disrupt $159M/day in imports, a combined economic damage of ~$435M/day, or $13B/month.
Over 90% of Iran's $109.7B in annual trade transits the Persian Gulf. Oil/gas accounts for 80% of government export earnings and 23.7% of GDP. Kharg Island alone generates ~$53B/year, or as I noted to @TIME, "$78 billion a year in energy
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the USA is NOT blockading the Strait: they’re blockading Iranian ports ... period ... CENTCOM announced that today ...
A land war would be a waste when you can blockade them without risk of life.
I used the wording from the article. And it’s worth reading.
The author makes some great arguments to support your view. Economic activity will come to a crashing halt. Overland routes of trade cannot replace what Iran gets through its ports.
We did that to Cuba 70 years ago.
Thnx! Excellent read.
Let’s see if this one lasts 70 years, ok?
Why blow up power plants when a blockade will destroy the economy of the regime. The power plants will be needed by the people who overthrow the insane theocrats!
Don’t let these media traitors shape our language.
IRAN blockaded the strait.
IRAN attacked civilian infrastructure (exclusively)
IRAN wants to collect a toll on something that isn’t theirs.
Trump and America are fixing the problem.
Your post sounds more logical, at least to me.
Ok, you win. Withdraw the military from Iran, give Iran billions of dollars for reparations, and let them arm their missiles with nuclear warheads. Why didn’t I see the reasonableness of that before?
It first sounds like the same thing that Iran is already doing , but I now understand it is not.
And at the same time the Blockade stops all Iranian export revenues. It also stops delivery of those handheld missiles being sent to Iran from China. Which have been reported on in the last few days..
Luke 9:23-24 (King James Version)
And he said to them all, If any man will come after me, let him deny himself, and take up his cross daily, and follow me. For whosoever will save his life shall lose it: but whosoever will lose his life for my sake, the same shall save it.
The talks with Iran went exactly as 99% of the people knew it would go as they showed the remnants of their gummit are still fanatics who want America dead. Any agreement woud not be worth the paper it was written on anyway with Islamic fanatics. The main purpose of the talks were to find out who if anyone was in charge and if there were anything they would agree to. Everyone knows whoever agrees to giving up the nuclear weapons development would be hanging from a crane when he got back.
President Trump can say he gave them every chance he could before he takes out their electrical grid and transportation networks. He can do it anytime he wants although most likely will happen in the next four or five days without any notice so they cannot put women and children on them. Now you see how Israel were blamed for killing civilians in Gaza and elsewhere, they always put women and children around their military targets. You can bet they were threatened if they did not attend with their children.
Trump also brilliantly declared a blockade to stop their blockade. He said, two can play this game and is going to starve them out. His blockade will not cost any lives an invasion would cost and will clear the Strait of any mines or hostiles who could attack any of these ships. He likely told them at the meeting if any Iranian even looks at a ship and they will not have power for a year and a missile will take out their main bridges in and out of Iran.
If anyone thinks America is suffering from this skirmish they should look at the Iranian economy. It is estimated Iran ships around $13 Billion in petroleum products a month through the Strait which as of tomorrow will be lowered to zero. This is a very cash poor country whose currency is now valued at $1.5 million rials per US dollar, it was $40,000 at the start of the campaign. The people are eating dogs right now, which is worse than eating rats since there is no food.
The entire economy has collapsed and the sooner they can get to pumping oil the better their chances of surviving. A hungry populous is a dangerous one. There has been rumors of people hunting down their Republican Guard and the Iranian army fighting the ruling Guard but very little information or communication getting out to the regular sources and what can you trust. Nobody has heard from the Supreme Gayatollah who has only been seen as a cardboard cutout, got a match?
He is going to do the same thing to Iran he did to Venezuela and likely get the same result since they are in the same dire situation economically. The only thing that had them surviving was selling oil to the Chinese at discounted prices to get around the fake sanctions. Now they have a total embargo with no way around in the quantities they need to sell and is simply a waiting game.
Anyone who thinks the Federal shutdown is a pain with no workers getting paid, Iran hasn’t had anyone paid in months and now is very desperate. They cannot get weapons since they have no way of paying for them and all the roads are being watched from drones and satellites and if anything looks suspicious it gets blown up. Once the Strait gets open to the rest of the countries the oil prices will return to normal and Iran will still be strangled. They have no options and will have to surrender or get overrun by their own people.
Trump has won this battle it is just a matter of when and by how much. Once their ships are shut down the clock will be ticking and even their biggest fanatics will understand dog stew is going to be the Sunday Special with a heaping helping of allah humble pie.
The markets including oil should stabilize as the banks and investors realize there is a solid plan to open the Strait and replace the oil lost in the battle but the rest of the countries oil will begin coming through. Iran will be left to embargo their own oil while watching their economy continue to crash or call Trump and agree to his demands. It will cost no lives or boots on the ground just time and economics which is the real nuclear weapon. Nobody has fought a war like this and there never has been a President like Donald J Trump.
Pray for Iran’s Revival
And everyone complains about obunghole giving back a whopping billion or 2 which is nothing compared to there oil revs. I know it was wrong but oh well.
Trump’s long(!) post clearly indicated ALL shipping attempting to pass through the Strait of Hormuz would be blockaded.
That “clearly” makes no sense, at least not after we get a few initial likely operational kinks ironed out.
Hopefully, Trump mistakenly left the words “trading with Iran” out of his post.
It’s going to get interesting if Russia or China challenges the blockade.
I still think the best bet would be to focus on Iran’s missiles and launchers, and deprive them of all bulk refined oil products.
Bump!
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