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Trafalgar Group Poll Shows DRAMATIC Shift in Virginia Governor and AG Elections
X (Which Everyone Still Calls Twitter) ^ | October 11, 2025 | Trafalgar Group

Posted on 10/11/2025 1:14:32 PM PDT by PJ-Comix

BREAKING: @trafalgar_group VA Statewide Election Polls (10/08-10/10)

VA Gov:
47.7% @SpanbergerForVA
45.1% @winwithwinsome
1.7% @Donna4Gov
5.6% Und

VA Lt. Gov:
46.8% @SenatorHashmi
45.9% @JohnReid4VA
7.3% Und

VA AG
48.9% @JasonMiyaresVA
43.1% @jonesjay
8.0% Und

See full… pic.twitter.com/2KtIYvvFSL— Robert C. Cahaly (@RobertCahaly) October 11, 2025



TOPICS: Politics
KEYWORDS: abigailspanberger; elections; jayjones; poll; toddgilbert; virginia; winsomeearlesears

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Keep in mind that most of the polling over the three days of Oct. 8 thru Oct. 10 was done BEFORE the gubernatorial debate on Thursday night when Spanberger went full psychopath on the debate stage. Even so, the race has narrowed down to just 2.6% margin. This is DOWN from the 5.2% margin of their previous survey conducted at the beginning of this month. Meanwhile the polling from the same group shows that that the Democrat campaign of Jay Jones for AG has COLLAPSED. Republican Miyares now LEADS the race with 48.9% to 43.1% for Jones. In previous poll at beginning of the month, Jones led by 3.8%. A shift of almost 10%.

It will be interesting to see the upcoming polls which fully reflect the reactions to the sight of the psychopath on the debate stage. BTW, there will be an AG debate this coming Thursday on Oct. 16, so that will be interesting to see.

1 posted on 10/11/2025 1:14:32 PM PDT by PJ-Comix
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To: PJ-Comix

Unfortunately, a lot of early voting has already occurred.


2 posted on 10/11/2025 1:18:36 PM PDT by Dr. Sivana ("Whatsoever he shall say to you, do ye." (John 2:5))
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To: PJ-Comix

During the debate, Spamburger looked like a man wearing a wig. By refusing to even to look at Winsome-Sears, she degraded herself further.


3 posted on 10/11/2025 1:20:57 PM PDT by Dan in Wichita
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To: Dr. Sivana

Good. I heard that Turning Point was sending vote chasers to Virginia to help get republicans out to vote! Come on, we can do this!


4 posted on 10/11/2025 1:21:29 PM PDT by princess leah ( )
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To: PJ-Comix

Virginia would be a BIG state to win.


5 posted on 10/11/2025 1:24:45 PM PDT by Fido969
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To: Dr. Sivana
Unfortunately, a lot of early voting has already occurred.

Less than half of the total early vote has been cast. And here is the GOOD NEWS about the early voters:

GOP districts take early lead in Virginia’s first week of early voting

6 posted on 10/11/2025 1:26:14 PM PDT by PJ-Comix (Yes, I am the Toxic Troll Terminator)
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To: Dr. Sivana

The RNC had better be couhing-up more money for Sears.

Sears had better be broadening her issues and explaining them better. The trans and AG issues alone won’t get her elected.


7 posted on 10/11/2025 1:41:21 PM PDT by Socon-Econ (adi)
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To: Socon-Econ

LOL! This poll already seems to be having an effect on the Kalshi Betting site for the AG race. Jones has PLUNGED almost straight down to 42% odds and still on an almost straight line down while the GOP candidate now stands at 64%.


8 posted on 10/11/2025 1:46:29 PM PDT by PJ-Comix (Yes, I am the Toxic Troll Terminator)
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To: PJ-Comix

Good moves...but that fact that even 10% would still vote for someone who said all of the things Jay Jones said is very troubling - let alone 43%.


9 posted on 10/11/2025 1:51:33 PM PDT by Republican Wildcat
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To: Socon-Econ

The Republican Governors Association pumped another $1.5 million into Sears campaign last week, bringing their total investment to over $5 million.


10 posted on 10/11/2025 1:53:20 PM PDT by P8riot (You will never know Jesus Christ as a reality in your life until you know Him as a necessity.)
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To: Socon-Econ

At this point in a race like this more issues are irrelevant.

It is all about the ground game...getting people to get off their duff and vote. In the past door-to-door has been the best. Talking to and phoning church goers has been second best. Phoning/email lists of R voters is third best.

Social media? Others chime in. There are 1362 FReepers in VA. There are _ _ _ Truth Social in VA. There are _ _ _ _ followers of MAGA voice A and _ _ _ _ for MAGA voice B. How many of them have not yet voted? How many of them are effectively working the ground game?


11 posted on 10/11/2025 1:54:01 PM PDT by spintreebob
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To: PJ-Comix

The methodology is interesting.


12 posted on 10/11/2025 2:02:51 PM PDT by mewzilla (Swing away, Mr. President, swing away! 🇺🇸 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿)
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To: Dan in Wichita
Haha, that's exactly what my wife said to me...She looks like a man wearing a wig.

13 posted on 10/11/2025 2:19:29 PM PDT by Tommy Revolts
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To: mewzilla
The methodology is interesting.

How so?

14 posted on 10/11/2025 3:00:53 PM PDT by PJ-Comix (Yes, I am the Toxic Troll Terminator)
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To: PJ-Comix
I’d like to buy that man an albatross.
15 posted on 10/11/2025 3:30:55 PM PDT by gundog (The ends justify the mean tweets. )
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To: PJ-Comix

The problem about the debate is that most are too preoccupied with other matters than to sit through a candidate forum. Most people in VA probably do not know that Spanberger imploded. They just see a blonde woman v. a black woman.


16 posted on 10/11/2025 3:39:33 PM PDT by Theodore R.
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To: PJ-Comix

And so we keep praying.

Trump got his second term against all human odds.

God can do it for VA and any other state.


17 posted on 10/11/2025 3:56:51 PM PDT by metmom (He who testifies to these things says, “Surely I am coming soon." Amen. Come, Lord Jesus….)
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To: metmom

Another update on the Jay Jones PLUNGE. I just checked Kalshi and Jones dropped another 2 points to 40% in the betting odds. Don’t be surprised to see Jones continue his drop into the 30s tomorrow.


18 posted on 10/11/2025 5:45:38 PM PDT by PJ-Comix (Yes, I am the Toxic Troll Terminator)
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To: Dr. Sivana

Go winsome


19 posted on 10/11/2025 9:39:42 PM PDT by princess leah ( )
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