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Israel-Iran War: ‘Dry Run’ for a Future War with Turkey?
National Security Journal ^ | 6/16/2025 | Michael Rubin

Posted on 06/16/2025 5:17:18 AM PDT by whyilovetexas111

The current war between Israel and Iran, rooted in decades of irreconcilable differences, could be a “dry run” for a future conflict between Israel and Turkey. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is following a similar path as Iran’s ayatollahs: pursuing a domestic military industry, building a nuclear program under a civilian guise, and acting as a state sponsor of terror by supporting groups like Hamas and Hezbollah.

(Excerpt) Read more at nationalsecurityjournal.org ...


TOPICS: Government; History; Military/Veterans; Politics
KEYWORDS: defense; iran; israel; military
Is this the next war? Would NATO get sucked in?
1 posted on 06/16/2025 5:17:18 AM PDT by whyilovetexas111
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To: whyilovetexas111

They love ‘em some wars.


2 posted on 06/16/2025 5:20:24 AM PDT by ripnbang ("An armed man is a citizen, an unarmed man, a subject.")
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To: whyilovetexas111

Turkey is in NATO. Are we going to fight ourselves?


3 posted on 06/16/2025 5:21:50 AM PDT by dforest
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To: whyilovetexas111

> Would NATO get sucked in? <

Great question. If Israel should strike Turkey first (even with good reason), it would trigger NATO’s Article 5 clause. That clause essentially says an attack against one is an attack against all.

So what would the NATO members do? My guess is they’d complain, and that’s it. No military intervention. Just a lot of huffing and puffing.

Side point: Unlike Iran, Turkey is a serious military power. Israel had better think twice here.


4 posted on 06/16/2025 5:28:57 AM PDT by Leaning Right (It's morning in America. Again. )
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To: whyilovetexas111

Down, boy.


5 posted on 06/16/2025 5:35:42 AM PDT by Uncle Miltie (Sahih al-Bukhari, Book 62, Hadith 88: Mohammed consummated the marriage when she was 9 and he was 54)
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To: whyilovetexas111

“Erdoğan is following a similar path as Iran’s ayatollah”

Expect a change in paths soon.


6 posted on 06/16/2025 5:42:17 AM PDT by Jolla
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To: dforest

Turkey is the ugly step child of nato.

They were allowed in because of strategic demands during the Cold War with the Warsaw pact. They don’t really fit and should be kicked out IMO.

Islamic, history of genocides, and especially a trend under Erdogan to incorporate Islam More and more into public life and also a disturbing trend to support radical Islamic groups like the Muslim brotherhood and Hamas.

Turkey is also a pathway for immigration into Europe but I have to admit that’s more of a problem with the leftist European mindset.


7 posted on 06/16/2025 5:44:52 AM PDT by Phoenix8
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To: Leaning Right

The last I read, Ezekiel prophesied that the attack will be from them (and others) against Israel. God will defend Israel.


8 posted on 06/16/2025 5:45:20 AM PDT by HombreSecreto (The life of a repo man is always intense)
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To: whyilovetexas111

Turkey is a very different thing. Hamas and Syria and Houthis are not armed and manned by Iran. Turkey has generally tried to keep its borders. Iran has overtly tried to expand to take over the whole Muslim world. I do not think the two are similar at all. And they are not even very friendly. Syria for example was backed by Iran while Turkey worked to overthrow it. Both Iran and Turkey have numerous issues in the region. But from an outsiders point of view, Iran is far more of a disestablishing force. Turkey juggles China, Russia, Europe and the US in its foreign policy. Iran is strickly at odds with the US. and is a font of Persian military aggression.


9 posted on 06/16/2025 5:53:15 AM PDT by poinq (thics and customs and did not take an oath to the country. And did not follow the country's traditio)
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To: whyilovetexas111

NO one is talking about Turkey. Only if Turkey gets involved with Iran will they be under consideration. Michael Rubin is a local expert, so I am sure has has considered this. He is associated with the American Enterprise Institute. Judging by his history and location, I wonder if he is a CIA Associate. Erdogan has continued to be an ass, so that has not changed. But war with Turkey? Israel has never been involved in an offensive war. They won’t be with Turkey, but will defend themselves if Turkey gets spunky.


10 posted on 06/16/2025 6:01:28 AM PDT by Eli Kopter (ביחד ננצח הלב שלנו שבוי בעזה Together we will win, our heart is captive in Gaza.)
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