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November 2024 National Poll: Trump Favorability Jumps Post-Election; 2028 Election Kicks Off with Harris and Vance Leading Primaries
emersoncollegepolling.com ^ | November 26, 2024 | Staff

Posted on 11/26/2024 11:04:37 AM PST by Red Badger

The first post-election Emerson College poll finds President-elect Donald Trump’s favorability rating at 54%, a six-point increase from his pre-election favorability of 48%. President Joe Biden has a 36% job approval rating, a four-year low for the president in Emerson polls, while his disapproval rating remains steady at 52%.

“Trump’s favorability varies significantly by gender, race, and age,” Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, said. “Trump’s strongest age cohort is among voters 40-59, with 60% viewing him favorably, compared to 48% among those over 70. Notably, his favorability has risen among younger voters, with 55% of those under 30 expressing a favorable opinion.”

Men view Trump most favorably at 61%, compared to 48% of women.

59% of white voters view Trump favorably, along with 53% of Hispanic voters, and 28% of Black voters. Voters were asked how surprised they were, if at all, by the 2024 election results. Overall, 46% were surprised, while 54% were not surprised.

“There is a sharp difference in reaction to the election results based on who voters supported: 67% of Harris voters were surprised by the results, while 71% of Trump voters were not surprised by his victory,” Kimball added.

Road to the White House 2028

Republican and Democratic 2028 primary voters were given an open-ended question that asked them to name a candidate they would support in their party’s 2028 nominating contest.

Vice President and 2024 Democratic nominee Kamala Harris leads with 37%. Seven percent support California Governor Gavin Newsom, 4% Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieg, and 3% support Governors Gretchen Whitmer and Josh Shapiro respectively.

In the Republican Primary, 30% support Vice President-elect JD Vance, 5% support Governor Ron DeSantis, 3% support Vivek Ramaswamy, and 2% support Nikki Haley and Robert F. Kennedy Jr., respectively. A majority of 2028 Republican primary voters (51%) are undecided. Respondents who listed Donald Trump (23%) as their nominee were reclassified as undecided, due to his ineligibility to run.

Voters were asked if they support or oppose Trump’s cabinet nominations:

Marco Rubio (Secretary of State nomination) 45% support, 32% oppose Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Health and Human Services Secretary nomination) 47% support, 40% oppose Tulsi Gabbard (Director of National Intelligence nomination) 40% support, 33% oppose Dr. Mehmet Oz (Medicare and Medicaid Administrator nomination) 41% support, 37% oppose A plurality of registered voters, 39%, believe there will be another World War, while 26% do not think there will be another World War. Thirty-five percent are not sure.

46% of Harris voters believe another world war is likely, compared to 33% of Trump voters. Thirty-seven percent of voters believe aliens have visited the Earth, a 12-point increase from 2022. Thirty-six percent do not believe aliens have visited the Earth, down from 39% in 2022.

41% of Trump voters believe Earth has been visited by aliens, compared to 32% of Harris voters. Voters were asked what they are most thankful for this holiday season. Majorities of Trump (53%) and Harris (54%) voters feel thankful for family and friendships. Gratitude for health and wellness follows for both Trump (19%) and Harris (22%) voters.

“Shared values among Democrats and Republicans suggests that, despite political divides, the holidays provide opportunities for unity, as these core priorities transcend partisan lines and highlight our shared human experiences of togetherness,” Kimball said.

Methodology

The Emerson College Polling national survey was conducted November 20-22, 2024. The sample of registered voters, n=1,000, has a credibility interval, similar to a poll’s margin of error (MOE), of +/- 3 percentage points. The data sets were weighted by gender, education, race, age, party registration, and region.

It is important to remember that subsets based on demographics, such as gender, age, education, and race/ethnicity, carry with them higher credibility intervals, as the sample size is reduced. Survey results should be understood within the poll’s range of scores, and with a confidence interval of 95% a poll will fall outside the range of scores 1 in 20 times.

Data was collected by contacting cell phones via MMS-to-web text and email (phone and email lists provided by Aristotle) and an online panel of voters provided by CINT. The survey was offered in English.

All questions asked in this survey with the exact wording, along with full results, demographics, and cross tabulations can be found under Full Results. This survey was funded by Emerson College.


TOPICS: Government; History; Military/Veterans; Politics
KEYWORDS:

1 posted on 11/26/2024 11:04:37 AM PST by Red Badger
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To: Red Badger

Kamala being boosted by irredeemable Karens reminds me of the movie ‘Mean Girls’ where they try to make the phrase “That’s fetch” a thing. Keep doing what you are doing bitter ladies, it is certain to work out better next time.


2 posted on 11/26/2024 11:10:23 AM PST by wildcard_redneck
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To: Red Badger

What a hoot. The idiot Dems choose a known loser and the rest of their candidates are almost as bad. Can’t fix stupid.


3 posted on 11/26/2024 11:11:22 AM PST by Veto! (Kamalala Sucks Rocks)
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To: Red Badger; All

The idea that most people even know Trump’s cabinet nominees let alone support or oppose them is funny. St best most people know that JD Vance is VP and they know OF RFK Jr. I doubt they could pick anyone else out of a lineup...and this is why you shouldn’t rely too much on polls.


4 posted on 11/26/2024 11:19:01 AM PST by wiseprince (Me)
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To: wiseprince

Correct - at this stage it is just name recognition. Clickbait and waste of time. Where is Ann Selzer? Did she also move to England with her girlfriend?


5 posted on 11/26/2024 11:20:07 AM PST by nwrep
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To: Red Badger

I am completely and totally behind the Giggler making her triumphant return. Where do I sign?


6 posted on 11/26/2024 11:55:07 AM PST by mykroar ("It's Not the Nature of the Evidence; It's the Seriousness of the Charge." - El Rushbo)
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To: Red Badger

This is what the real polls were saying for months but they had to fix them.


7 posted on 11/26/2024 12:04:17 PM PST by bray (It's not racist to be racist against races the DNC hates.)
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To: Red Badger

Yeah, right. By 2028 — hell, by next year — the cult members of the Democrat/Communist Party won’t even remember who ran this year.


8 posted on 11/26/2024 12:06:48 PM PST by glennaro (2024: The Year of The Reckoning, lest our Republic succumb to the "progressive" disease of the Left)
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To: Red Badger

LOL, Harris will be long gone by 2028.


9 posted on 11/26/2024 12:13:29 PM PST by TalBlack (Time to use the Law and the Power. Good luck Mr. President.)
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To: Red Badger
41% of Trump voters believe Earth has been visited by aliens, compared to 32% of Harris voters.

We already know none of the planets in our solar system harbor intelligent life except earth.

Nearest solar system in Milkyway galaxy is so far away, it will require 100+ generations of astronauts breeding inside the cramped space capsule, to reach the nearest solar system. People have no clue how sparsely populated the universe is and how vast it is. We are still discovering distant galaxies billions of light years away.

10 posted on 11/26/2024 12:34:13 PM PST by Bobbyvotes (Congrats to Trump/Vance tea.m. America has been saved. For a while at least. )
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To: Red Badger

Lol
This left Wing DNC push poll operation did a real Ann Seltzer work on its polls .

Yeah , who believes these Dem plants ?


11 posted on 11/26/2024 2:51:38 PM PST by ncalburt ( Gop DC Globalists are the evil)
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To: Red Badger

I also support Kamala for the dem candidate in 2028. LOL


12 posted on 11/27/2024 5:53:31 AM PST by gbaker
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