My Final Predictions (and What Happens to the Loser after Nov. 5)

Substack ^ | LS

[LS]

My final predictions, and beyond Nov. 5 for the losers (guess who that is). https://open.substack.com/pub/larrys/p/predictions-before-and-after-nov?r=dx45b&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true

[power2]

LS, thank you for all the election insight you have shared on this forum over the many years you (and I) have been here.

I’m a bit shocked and disappointed at the reaction of many Freepers to your post. Yeah, I get it, not supposed to post paid stuff. But given your contributions in the past, I would have expected some a bit of leeway and forgiveness for one indiscretion.

Hang in there, and I will be joining your Decision Desk election night coverage.

[Raycpa]

Any crumbs for us garbage people?

[Raycpa]

Ditto

[ansel12]

This link works.

https://larrys.substack.com/p/predictions-before-and-after-nov?r=dx45b&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&triedRedirect=true

[dp0622]

you’re STILL AROUND?? Wow :)

You weren’t all that accurate way back when from what I remember :)

I’ll pass but have a good one!

[No name given]

I hate those types of articles.

[No name given]

My thoughts exactly.

[No name given]

Yep.

[ansel12]

OOPs— no my link doesn’t work, it is still for members only.

[Dalberg-Acton]

Post the content here. Only a blog pimp wouldn’t.

[tumblindice]

I’m just looking for the bathroom.

[Jamestown1630]

I’ve never known LS to be a ‘blog pimp’. He may have nothing to do with the ad blocker.

[SunkenCiv]

I prefer to be told in advance what’s required.

[SunkenCiv]

I didn’t go for it, but I cut Larry some slack. :^)

[libh8er]

Who is LS and why do his predictions matter ?

[PIF]

Predictions, Before and After Nov. 5
The DemoKKKrat freak out will be something to behold.
Larry Schweikart
Oct 30, 2024
Paid

So here is what I expect to see next Tues. As always, I base my analysis very little on polling. Most of it is voter registration, early ballot requests and ballot returns. In many states these are identified by partisanship (D/R marked on the ballot). Those are easy to track. Other states (GA< MI, WI, VA, do not register by party. There you have to use proxies such as the location from which the ballots are coming (i.e., heavy Trump vs. heavy Biden districts from 2020). At that point you can look at a poll or two and see if they confirm the real results - but not before.

Next, you have to start Larry’s 7 day “free” trial. You can see he was in a hurry by the mistakes in this blurb. Whatever he might or might not conclude is not worth the effort to read, and certainly not worth paying for.

[joe fonebone]

It’s a blog.
Why not post the whole thing right here?

[dodger]

I agree … stick around here (despite more cranky posts than in times past).

[telescope115]

Sorry, LS. Not biting….

[af_vet_1981]

I agree … stick around here