Posted on 09/29/2024 6:50:18 PM PDT by Red Badger
Conducted 09/26/24 - 09/29/24
• 1090 Respondents
• Likely 2024 General Election Voters
• Response Rate: 3.89%
• Margin of Error: 2.9%
• Confidence: 95%
• Response Distribution: 50%
• Methodology: TheTrafalgarGroup.org/Polling-Methodology
Anything less than 5% can be cheated.
Way too close for comfort.
4.5% ‘undecided’ are either clueless or lying..............
I suspect the 4.5% are lying....................
Im hoping a good portion of the 4.5 percent undecided are actually closet Trumpers that dont want to say as much to the pollsters
The western North Carolina flooding could depress red turnout. This would be bad. The RNC will have to be aggressive about elevating turnout there.
I don’t want to get ahead of myself but PA is looking like Ohio 2016 but they are much more willing to cheat these days. Crazy that GA, AZ and NC are looking less friendly. If the GOPe actually went to bat for Trump I thibk GA and AZ would be easy wins.
They’ve lost everything. Voting maybe isn’t their top priority.
“within the margin of error” means there’s plenty of room for the Dems to gin up those post-midnight votes in Philly.
Trafalgar underestimated Democrats by 3 points in 2022. So itsy be a tie
Yeah, there’s not 4.5% of any electorate that’s undecided at this point. The choices are diametrically opposed and couldn’t be more clear.
Trafalgar underestimated Democrats by 3 points in 2022. So it may be a tie
“Trafalgar underestimated Democrats by 3 points in 2022. So itsy be a tie”
Yeah, but they were one of the best in 2020 battlefield states.
According to whom? Trump is leading in average polls in those states, but actually behind in poll averages in PA, Trafalgar notwithstanding.
Battleground. But may be a prescient Freudian slip.
They still have their country and freedoms, but if they don't vote, they'll "lose everything".
I disagree, I think there are enough undecided voters, who don’t care for either candidate, to swing the election. At least 5‰. I know others switching back and forth every week depending on the news cycle.
Trump should announce that 100% of campaign donations from Monday until Friday will go to hurricane relief in affected areas.
Challenge Hairass to do the same thing
It would win him the election
>>If the GOPe actually went to bat for Trump I thibk GA and AZ would be easy wins.>>
There is a fairly big deal in pretty much all the polling I have seen, and the turnout models examined.
There is generally no departure of GOP support below about 93% and essentially the same numbers for the Dems. The GOPe have NEVER been more than 1-3% of the vote. I think this remains a source of total astonishment for them. Dem registrants voting GOP are also about 7%.
The media announcements of GOP Harris support is just numerically inconsequential. This is crushing to their spirit, make no mistake. The reverse on the Dem side, the same.
And an interesting item . . . this has always been about the ratio in elections. There is nothing new this year.
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