No kidding.
Posted on 08/29/2024 6:44:34 AM PDT by hardspunned
We all know how pollsters ALWAYS oversample Democrats.
Well, this latest Michigan poll by Activote takes the cake.
The poll weighted its results 25 points for Democrats!
And despite the outlandish weighting advantage for Kamala Harris she only leads by 0.2% points.
ADVERTISEMENT And despite the outlandish weighting advantage for Kamala Harris, Trump leads Kamala with independent voters by 56 points!
(Excerpt) Read more at thegatewaypundit.com ...
66 million Dead babies aren’t enough for some women. Since 1973 we have had 66 million abortions in this country. 30% of them were black babies. And blacks only represent 11% of the population. We don’t need birth control but we need more abortions?
“Maybe armed and dangerous illegal aliens from Venezuelan prisons taking over suburban apartment complexes are waking people up to our new open border realities. Or maybe it’s the billions we are spending on illegals.”
And maybe... some Democrats are looking out for themselves (shock) and seeing that all that $$$ that the Democrat Party Elite previously threw at them to buy their votes is now being thrown at the “new voters” now being catered to, instead. Being treated like 2nd class citizens and thrown under the bus with the rest of us is where some of those Democrats are finding themselves. Welcome to the party, putzes! We tried to tell ya, but nooooo......
Info:
Michigan has about 8.3 million registered voters.
Registration is NOT by party. A turnout model of party affiliation will not be derived from state data because none exists.
Their unweighted phone call responses had 64% male responses and 36% female. This was forced to 52/48 female in the turnout model, which is not unusual, but this means the sample size of females is very small and its effect amplified by mathematics, not by actual response totals.
40% of their unweighted responses were high income. They forced this lower in their turnout model, and maybe properly, but the response totals are still going to be there.
There are too few samples. About 5% MOE. I have come to mostly ignore LVs vs RVs because every pollster has a different definition of LV and there is no telling which definition is correct.
Karen the world wonders about that comment...
The only landslide coming is from the fourth branch of government in concert with the media. The unelected perma-gov is in charge.
Trump should be using thse videos and photos of these gangs taking over apartments.
That should wake some people up to what is coming to their own neighborhood unless we get rid of democrat control.
I just drove 950 miles from our house in the south San Francisco Bay Area (Mountain View) to our house in North Idaho north of Coeur d'Alene.
The South Bay has been Ground Zero for progressivism for ages.
It took me over two hours to get out of the Bay Area with the rush hour traffic on Tuesday afternoon.
I was watching carefully for any bumper stickers or campaign signs.
I did not see a SINGLE "Harris / Walz" sign or bumper sticker. In 2008, probably a third of the cars had Obama / Biden stickers on them (you still see them today, too). I did not see a SINGLE "Harris / Walz' yard sign.
Going north on I-505 (connects I-80 to I-5) and getting out of the urban areas, I started seeing "Trump" signs in the farming and ranch country. I continued to see "Trump" signs all the way up US-97 through California and Oregon, too. By the time I hit Washington State, it was too dark to see any roadside signs.
I spent the night in Redding, CA and took long rest stops in Bend, OR and Moro, OR. Not a single "Harris / Walz" sign ANYWHERE! And I was looking carefully.
I did see several sequences of "Burma Shave" style signs supporting Trump along US 97 near Bend.
So, almost 1,000 miles of Interstate and US Highway driving from late Tuesday through Wednesday without seeing a single "Harris / Walz" sign or poster and many "Trump" signs. But I did not see any "Trump / Vance" campaign signs.
That is quite remarkable.
Meghan Kelly pointed this out in another poll a couple weeks back. Trump was up 18 points with voters in the 18-35 age group.
So, they are totally gas lighting us on the real results of these polls. The internal numbers do not even come close to the results. Especially, when you take in account how many Black men are not going to vote for Kamala.
This
Karen I hear ya squeaking.
Dear Lord, Let it be so!!!
God love ‘em! They ran the gauntlet of full on indoctrination for 12 years and came out with an actual head on their shoulders. Helluva Feat!
“That is quite remarkable.”
It gives me hope, but the GOP has found a way to booger things up when they seem hopeful.
Here in the blue part of Ohio my neighbor has a yard sign that reads:
“Veterans against Trump”
Makes me want to punch him in the face.
Agree, just a steady drip drip of REAL live cases all over the country, that's what it will take because people don't pay attention. And I'm fine if the ads are targeting to the swing states.
Come on. You mean you aren’t joining the nutz who swore we’d win 30-40 house seats in 2022? This time they know these polls are accurate. Trust us.
Congratulations on having 2 houses. Your report above is fascinating. All I can conclude is that there is not the kind of organic excitement for Harris that there was for Obama. Obama was a genuine star, while she is not. But I don't know if that translates much into voting outcome or ballots. It could be that the ballot harvesting machinery of the Democrat party is so sophisticated in 2024 (unlike in 2008), that they can do without grassroots enthusiasm.
Correct position on polls, but to the extent they serve to motivate democrats, this one is a warning siren.
No kidding.
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