Posted on 01/01/2024 5:05:22 AM PST by Godzilla
Welcome to Threat Matrix 2024
For historical reference TM2023 link is
https://freerepublic.com/focus/bloggers/4120141/posts?page=1#1
Established in 2001, after the 9/11 attack on America and now in its 23nd year, this thread is designed to identify threats to America, both internal and external, and evaluate the probability of those threats occurring and the extent of potential damage. Discussions may stray into ‘tinfoil’ territory, but the goal is to peel back and confirm information so we can make informed decisions and actions. Incredible as it seems, “tinfoil” conspiracy theories have fast become realities so they can no longer be ignored outright, but must be evaluated and compared to current events.
2023 has been “historic”: Continued inflation Record illegal immigration Record crime Record housing prices and Unprecedented prime lending rate increases. Push to globalize the economy, food production and energy
I expect 2024 to be even worse as we are facing, among many things -
- 2024 is a political year with all the deep divisions and turmoils that brings. - Political assassinations - The potential for a serious and deep recession - CBDC stripping Americans of their free use of money - Race and other ethnic wars in the US as illegals mark out territory - Continued massive increase in crime - Further movement towards implementing the goals of the WEF via its “global reset” - - Continued combat in Ukraine that could spill out into other parts of Europe - Potential Chinese move on Taiwan – breaking analysis - Israel and Hezbollah/Iran finally directly going at it. - Other political turmoil growing globally over a wide range of issues. - Potential for a wide variety of Black Swan events to create even greater problems. . And this is just a short list.
It has been my pleasure to continue this thread over the past few years. This thread hopefully is continuing the goals of when it started.
For those who care, my posts reflect my scanning of the interwebs to provide me with early warning concerning factors that can endanger my life and family. Yes, I’m what many would call a “prepper”, and proudly accept that characterization.
How can something happening half way around the world affect me personally? Wuhan virus, my friend is but one recent example. I noted it in TM Dec 2019 and was prepared when chaos hit in 2020.
Other events have secondary and tertiary affects that reach us via shortages and inflation – fossil fuel prices are the most common, as well as economic impacts. I simply share news items and often my opinions that shape my actions and preparations.
My posts are broken down into specific topics and regions. I highlight and evaluative opensource reports in those areas in regard to how it will affect the US. Sometimes it feels like trying to drink from a fire hose and I don’t expect this to let up, only increase as the year progresses.
Will we even make it to the 2024 elections without things flying apart? Will the democrats / leftist manage a way to steal the election? Will the US find itself in the early stages of a civil war / national split up? The year promises to be very bumpy, so buckle up and prepare yourselves for what is to come.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate to High THREAT - up dated July 14, 2024
— Attempted assassination of Trump.
August 19 - DNC convention in Chicago, IL
***
Chicago reportedly preparing to process a lot of arrests during the convention, announcing extended court hours.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
U.S. Secretary of Defense, Lloyd Austin has ordered the USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN-72) and Carrier Strike Group 3, who just departed yesterday from Guam, to expedite their deployment to the Middle East; while the USS Georgia (SSGN-729), an Ohio-Class Guided-Missile Submarine armed with over 150 Tomahawk Land-Attack Cruise Missiles, been directed to immediately reposition from her current location in the Mediterranean, to the U.S. Central Command’s Area-of-Operations.
OBSERVATION - The Lincoln is at least a week away - at full speed - from reaching a position to begin to influence any fight. It would have to do so alone since its top speed exceeds its support group. Dangerous to have a flattop without its escorts. The group would take a couple extra days if it stays together in formation.
A very unusual announcement involving there USS Georgia - deployments of our submarines normally is kept very secret and in the Georgia’s case, its Tomahawk weapons are offensive in nature.
POLITICAL FRONT –
August 19 DNC convention in Chicago, IL
Debates
FoxNews Sept 4th
ABC September 10th
NBC September 25
**** Remember, most polls are designed to shape opinion, not reflect it. ****
Word is that Trump got harris to agree to three debates. Harris representatives reportedly still disagree with the Fox hosted one.
Debates are set for Trump and Kamala
FoxNews Sept 4th
ABC September 10th
NBC September 25
****
Walz’s military record has taken more hits over the weekend with numerous videos and documents where he claimed CSM retirement and deployment to the middle east. The unit chaplain’s critique was joined by the Brigade CSM and Walz’s own battalion commander who basically destroyed his narrative around the whole circumstances of his departure. The harris campaign has tried to say he ‘misspoke’, but that is gaining no ground. There are growing rumors that he may step down
****
Analysis of various rally photos of harris rallies released by harris campaign and allies show evidence of being AI generated or enhanced.
Biden / Harris Watch –
Harris is getting hammered for proposing that tips be exempt from income taxes - hmmm where have we heard that before. Made all the worse is that she cast the tie breaking vote to hire more IRS agents to hunt down those not reporting tips.
Similar hammering taking place over recent declarations that she will beef up border security. Where has she been the last 3 and half years - other than making matters worse.
Meanwhile, she has put out no other policy proposals, now 20 days into her campaign.
Cyber attacks/warfare – HEIGHTENED ALERT as of Aug 1, 2024
The U.S. government is offering a reward of up to $10 million for information leading to the arrest of Iranian hackers accused of infiltrating and compromising industrial control systems of U.S. water infrastructure in 2023.
These hackers, believed to be associated with Iran’s Revolutionary Guards, specifically targeted a local water authority’s control system in Pennsylvania and other critical infrastructure across the U.S. The group responsible, known as “Cyber Av3ngers,” is suspected by the U.S. government to be a front for malicious cyber activities orchestrated by the Iranian government.
Russia -
Russia is threatening Ukraine and NATO, stating that a severe response to strikes on Russian regions is coming.
“The organizers and perpetrators of these crimes, including their foreign curators, will be held responsible for them.”
RUMINT-
President Putin to address the world later today.
Rumors coming out that he will declare full scale war on Ukraine. Will order Kiev and Lviv destroyed!
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures continue in the 80 - 90 degree range and fair.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
OPSEC is still the name of the game by Ukraine. I’ve pulled the Kursk offensive material into a separate section.
It is believed Russian forces have set tires on fire inside one of the cooling towers at the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant. Currently, radiation levels are within norm.
A swarm of Ukrainian drones struck the Chkalovsky air base near Moscow. It is the home to IL-80 russian doomsday planes that Putin would be on if nuclear war broke out.
Russia continued to attack along its current primary assault axis of Ocheretyne, but with not reported gains.
Ukraine Kursk Offensive-
NOTE - Much of the OSINT is coming from Russian based reports. Situation on the ground is still confused and changing minute by minute.
Ukrainian forces have reportedly broke through the Russian border near Bezimeno and Kolotilovka in the Belgorod Region (red arrows). Conflicts are ongoing. Map below
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GUtdf1pWAAADj4K.jpg
Evacuation announced in Belovsky district of Kursk region.
Governor of Belgorod region announced evacuation in Krasnaya Yaruga district
Ukrainian armored vehicles have visually confirmed entered the village of Gir’i. They are operating unimpededly between this village and Belitsa.
It is the strongest indication so far that the entire area between Sudzha and Gir’i is under Ukrainian control, possibly even all the way to Belaya.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GUxYgLlXsAAJTQo.jpg
NOTE, the above link is the better of the two maps
Number of prisoners is approaching 3000. Among the videos there are numerous groups of Akhmat-Kadirovites (Chechen)
Ukrainian special forces with night vision equipment are creating havoc in Kursk oblast at night as poorly equipped Russians units have no answers.
Reports of Ukrainian fighter jets flying over the Kursk region of Russia
Russian Ministry of Defense claims Russian troops foiled Ukrainian advance attempt at Kauchuk town of Kursk region
Outlook —
If the news coming out from the Russian side is anywhere near accurate - Ukraine still has Russia by the private parts in this offensive. Ukraine has deeply deployed scouts and special ops which is causing a lot of confusion and destruction in the rear areas. Unconfirmed reports that Ukraine scout units have executed several successful ambushes of Russian convoys brining reinforcements into the region.
A supporting attack appears to be developing and headed into the Belgorod Oblast. This could be designed to link up with a renewed push to the east southeast on the Kursk front. Likely taking advantage of units pulled out to reinforce Kursk.
Deep strike against the Moscow region hasn’t taken place for many months, and Ukraine is after it.
Some analysts are trying to determine how much more the Ukraine army will attempt in this push. Some are on a pessimistic side. A lot will depend on how badly mauled the Russia reinforcements get before they even make it to the battle line.
Additional eyes and ears on putin today. He my use this assault to declare full war against Ukraine - and cease being a police security operation. His options are thin at this stage. His mobilized conscripts have been barely enough to replace the casualties being received on the front (well over 30,000 per month). To counter this attack he will have to drastically drawdown the ongoing offensive ops further south - an potentially see local Ukrainian counter attacks regain land. These units being pulled from southern areas are only marginally combat effective, being pulled back to re-man and re-arm.
He may have to further strip other military districts of their units and ship to the front. That takes a lot of time and planning.
He has strategic bombers and associated cruise and ballistic missiles. It has been a while since the last major attack, so he may have some stockpile built. He can’t really count on missile carriers of the Black Sea fleet, unless he wants to risk more losses there.
Finally, the absolute worst case, is that putin uses a tactical nuke. He’s been threatening for the past 3 years and if Ukraine continues to make headway, he may resort to the desperate measure.
With everything going on in the north, Ukraine still has the Kerch Bridge wild card to play.
Ukraine has seized the initiative and is pressing its advantage.
ISRAEL –
Tisha B’Av, August 12 and ends on August 13,
Key overnight developments -
- Hospitals in N Israel on high alert
- Hamas refuses latest hostage / ceasefire deal.
- Israeli intel continues to warn of impending strike.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Lest we forget - there are still hostages being held in Gaza.
***
Hospitals in northern Israel on high alert, preparing to operate underground in case of emergency
***
Hamas says in a statement that it refuses to participate in the hostage deal negotiations on August 15. Some believe that this is a post-strike day and that they may have better bargaining positions after the Iran/Hezbollah attack.
***
Unconfirmed at this point - The updated assessment of the Israeli intelligence community is that Iran has decided to attack Israel directly in retaliation for the assassination of Hamas political leader Ismail Haniyeh and may do within days, even before the August 15 hostage deal talks, according to 2 unidentified sources
***
Defense Minister Yoav Gallant says Israel has been bolstering its defenses in recent days amid an anticipated Iranian and Hezbollah attack on the country, as well as preparing potential attacks as a response, or preemptive actions if needed. “We are in the days of vigilance and readiness, the threats from Tehran and Beirut may materialize and it is important to explain to everyone that readiness, preparedness, and vigilance are not synonyms for fear and panic,” says Gallant at a meeting of the Knesset’s Foreign Affairs and Defense Committee.
CNN reports: Israeli intelligence believes that Hezbollah will launch an attack on August 12 (tomorrow, the evening of Tisha B’av), and hours later, Iran will join and launch its own attack.
****
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has instructed his cabinet not to publicly discuss security matters in the coming days amid the tense wait for Iran and Hezbollah’s retribution for the elimination of Ismail Haniyeh and Fuad Shukr, Kan Reshet Bet reported on Monday.
“These are fateful days,” Netanyahu told the ministers and asked them to remain silent on matters of defense.
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Israeli media: The army expands the scope of its closed military zone around Gaza after a new assessment
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
IDF says 30 Hezbollah rockets were fired from southern Lebanon at northern Israel communities which landed in open areas setting fields ablaze; Israeli forces responded by attacking several terror installations in southern Lebanon, injuring 12
NOTE - This rocket attack caused some discussion that the Iron Dome system failed to intercept the rockets. The rockets that hit the ground, did so in open areas away from people and where they could do minimal damage - such is the design of Iron Dome to economize the targeting efforts.
***
Unconfirmed reports that Hezbollah has evacuated its political headquarters in Da’ha in Beirut. According to the Lebanese reports, computers and other electronic equipment were also evacuated.
***
RUMINT - Unverified rumors in Lebanon that Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah is hospitalized following an assassination attempt. This morning no further news or info - strongly suspect that this is a nothing burger.
***
While the Israeli home front awaits a response from the Iranian-led axis, potentially involving an extreme barrage of rockets, various types of missiles, and drones, officers in the Northern Command warn that the threat of a ground infiltration into communities along the northern border remains.
According to the officers, contrary to popular belief, Hezbollah’s Radwan Force is still capable of launching an organized attack on the border, including efforts to penetrate a community or military post.
“Why hasn’t Hezbollah done this yet? Because they have chosen not to. But anyone who thinks that Hezbollah isn’t training to infiltrate a squad of fighters into Israeli territory is mistaken,” officers said.
Security officials estimated in a conversation with Walla that while the IDF has indeed significantly damaged the infrastructure of the Radwan Force near the border, thereby reducing its ability to conduct a large-scale surprise infiltration into Israeli territory, Hezbollah has not abandoned its intention to respond to the assassination of Hezbollah commander Fuad Shukr.
https://www.jpost.com/middle-east/article-814335
OBSERVATION - The effectiveness of the Radwan force initially was based on earlier Israeli preparedness levels of pre-Oct 7. The heightened alert status - a lot more ground forces patrolling the border and the ongoing damage have taken Radwan down a few notches. Still a terror threat.
——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-
Syrian State Media is reporting strikes by Israeli artillery on military sites in the Daraa District of southwestern Syria, near the border with Israel.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
U.S.-led coalition fighter jets attacked Houthi targets on Kamran Island, northeast of Hudaydah in Yemen.
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Leaders of UK, France and Germany call for a ceasefire and release of hostages as the slaughter mounts in Gaza
——— FORECAST ————————-
Another window of warning ongoing. Continued indicators that infer Iran and Hezbollah are putting the final pieces together for the strike. Of course delay is a major psyop measure that Iran and its proxies have used to their advantage for quite some time now. Is wears down the opponent’s readiness. It is double bladed in that it also wears down its own forces.
The Pentagon is scrambling to get naval forces into place. The arrival of the USS Lincoln CSG is at least a week away. Only effective if things blow out in a greater manner.
Speculation still centers on Hezbollah launching the first wave of attacks in an effort to wear down Israeli air defenses and hopefully get some lucky hits. Iran would follow with the next wave(s) counting on IAF busy targeting Hezbollah and not ready to intercept the wave of drones and cruise missiles.
With biden essentially out of the mix, Netanyahu is more likely to counter strike Iran and do it hard. It can go unsaid that Hezbollah and Lebanon will also be hammered as well. This could trigger the awaited Israeli ground offensive into Lebanon.
Folks, the decision tree is cluttered with options. Only thing certain is that the first round(s) of strikes / counter strikes will be at a level we’ve never seen in the region outside of the US invasion of Iraq. Where it goes from there is uncertain.
Iran –
Iranian media outlets reported that Mohammad Javad Zarif, the Deputy for Strategic Affairs of Masoud Pezeshkian, has resigned. He announced his decision after releasing a critical statement in response to the President’s proposed cabinet
Syria -
Shellings renewed overnight between SDF and government/Iran-linked groups along both banks of the Euphrates River in Deir Ez-Zour of northeast Syria. Civilian casualties and displacement were reported. Tensions remain high in Hasakah and Qamishli as well. A Russian delegation mediates between both sides, with no results yet
***
Turkish Defense Minister: Withdrawal from Syria cannot be discussed until agreement on new constitution, elections and securing borders
Globalism / Great Reset –
Sept 22- 23: UN Summit of the Future
The globalist tyrants in control of the European Union sent a letter to Elon Musk on Monday demanding the X owner censor President Donald Trump during their interview tonight.
The letter was sent by Thierry Breton and was dated August 12, 2024.
Thierry Breton is a French business executive, politician, writer and the current Commissioner for Internal Market of the European Union.
In the letter, Thierry warns Elon Musk, “You have the legal obligation to ensure X’s compliance with EU law and in particular the DSA in the EU.”
Thierry Breton goes on,
“This notably means ensuring on one had that freedom of expression and of information, including media freedom and pluralism, are effectively protected and, on the other hand, that all proportionate and effective mitigation measures are put in place regarding the amplification of harmful content in connection with relevant events, including live streams, which if unaddressed, might increase the risk profile of X and generate detrimental effects on civic discourse and public security. This is important against the background of recent examples of public unrest brought about by the amplification of content that promotes hatred, disorder, incitement to violence, or certain instances of disinformation.”
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/08/european-union-tyrants-send-letter-elon-musk-demand/
OBSERVATION - Ongoing effort by the WEF lacky EU to dictate their policies and ‘laws’ onto the US.
But the big thing to note is the emphasis upon “disinformation” (misinformation). Here, once again is 1984ish thought and speech control where the dictators say what is and isn’t ‘information’ suitable for the consumption and discussions of the minions. You hear the same being screeched by democrats here - starting all the way back to the wuhan plandemic - ‘misinformation’ that has sense been proven to be true and the ‘misinformation’ coming from govt authorities.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate to High THREAT - up dated July 14, 2024
— Attempted assassination of Trump.
August 19 - DNC convention in Chicago, IL
***
The strong bent of the harris / walz ticket against Israel and in support of Hamas may serve to mitigate pro-hamas protests/riots during the DNC convention. More specifically, this may reduce funding for these various Palestinian and islamic groups which in turn will drive down participation.
Economy- HIGH Threat - as of AUG 5, 2024
Oil prices jumped by more than 3% on Monday, rising for a fifth consecutive session on expectations of a widening Middle Eastern conflict that could tighten global crude oil supplies.
Brent crude futures settled higher at $82.30 a barrel, gaining $2.64, or 3.3%. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures settled at $80.06 a barrel, up $3.22, or 4.2%.
https://www.newsmax.com/finance/streettalk/oil/2024/08/12/id/1176225/
OBSERVATION - Not a huge jump at this time, but definitely upward pressure as the situation with Iran continues to come to a boil.
***
Bank of America no longer forecasts a U.S. recession in 2024.
OBSERVATION - BoA is tightly bonded to the deep stated in many ways and its forecast is suspect in that measure.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
Another U.S. destroyer, the USS Laboon, has moved into the eastern Mediterranean Sea after transiting the Suez Canal from the Red Sea, defense official says. It joins the nearby destroyers USS Bulkeley, USS Roosevelt and the three-ship amphib TF in region led by USS Wasp
POLITICAL FRONT –
August 19 DNC convention in Chicago, IL
Debates
FoxNews Sept 4th
ABC September 10th
NBC September 25
**** Remember, most polls are designed to shape opinion, not reflect it. ****
Newly released records reveal that Trump would-be assassin, Thomas Crooks, spent months engaging in rifle training at the same training ground used by DHS, FBI, and local police.
OBSERVATION - Been chewing on this development for a few days now. Given the apparent open door to an assassination attempt that was left wide open by SS “blunders”, and the blank slate this guy had in social media and the internet in general, this scenario for grooming becomes more likely. One of the biggest questions has been how did he get bomb making information absent the internet? What swayed him into the attempt? Who among these DHS and FBI individual(s) befriended Crooks at the range.
***
Elon Musk’s much-hyped interview of former President Donald Trump on the social media platform X was quickly derailed by technical glitches in the first minutes of the scheduled start time on Monday evening. Musk suggested it was a DDOS attack.
Social media users trying to log on to the event, which was scheduled to begin at 8 p.m. ET, reported that they could not join X’s livestream platform.
Shortly after 8:20 p.m., Musk, the billionaire Tesla and SpaceX CEO, blamed a cyberattack for the freezing screens. He said that the company had tested the system with 8 million concurrent listeners earlier on Monday to preempt any technical errors and ensure X’s livestream capabilities could handle the event.
The conversation did finally get off the ground and by all indicators it went well for Trump.
harris was invited to do a similar interview/conversation - but she loudly said NO and then proceeded to denounce the event.
According to Musk, the various iterations of the discussion had already hit over a billion total views before midnight.
Biden / Harris Watch –
Police recordings now confirm the medical emergency actions that affected biden during his Las Vegas trip last month. Democrats had attempted to sweep the incident under the rug as at that time they and their MSM lapdogs were in a fierce struggle to convince the nation that biden was in excellent health.
***
After getting a fanciful cover, Harris is declining an interview with Time Magazine.
Russia -
Putin’s address was some what of a nothing burger. Putin accused Ukraine of trying to ‘improve its negotiating position’ through its Kursk offensive into Russian territory during a meeting this morning. Putin added that Ukraine is likely to seek further operations to destabilize the border region amid the evacuation of 11,000 residents in Belgorod due to ongoing Ukrainian operations.
Putin also accused the UN of inaction due to the invasion of Russian territory.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures continue in the 80 - 90 degree range and fair.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Ukrainian air defense shot down 30 Shahed drones overnight
Ukraine Kursk Offensive-
NOTE - Much of the OSINT is coming from Russian based reports. Ukraine still holding to very tight OPSEC. Situation on the ground is still confused and changing minute by minute.
Ukrainian forces have fully captured the center of Sudzha, the administrative capital of Sudzhansky District in Kursk Oblast, Russia.
Ukrainian forces have captured of Sudzha train station have been able to access crucial intel regarding Russian logistic operations in the area. Ukrainian Military is apparently rolling around Sudzha without any hindrance.
It is estimated that Ukrainian Armed Forces currently control around 1,000 square kilometers (386 square miles) of Russian territory. According to conservative estimation of Ukrainian military Telegram channel DeepState, Ukrainian army controls 44 settlements in Kursk region
Evacuation announced in Bolshoye Soldatskoye district of Kursk region
Ukraine has announced a closed military zone in 20kms border zone of Sumy region
Ocheretyne -
Russian Ministry of Defense claims full occupation of Lysychne village of Donetsk region of Ukraine
Outlook —
The bulk of the info on the status of the Kursk offensive is still based on Russian milbloggers and associated Russians. It is apparent that Ukraine is still pressing forward with the attack, but may soon be reaching the limits of its units and logistics tail and have to dig in.
The apparent capture of Sudzha is a huge gain for Ukraine. It effectively shuts down resupply by rail and road to units fighting in the Kharkiv and further south. It has also opened (and it seems Ukraine is attempting to exploit) more terrain to the east - southeast.
The effects of Russia’s massive redeployment efforts are evident in the much lower Russian attacks in areas like Chasiv Yar and northward. Russia is still pressing its attacks in the Ocheretyne axis, but some of its operational reserves have been bleed off to the Kursk defense.
One aspect that Ukraine has capitalized on and will continue to for the near future is the cluster that all these disjointed Russian units are having trying to organize for the fight. Undermanned and lacking key command elements, there is no apparent higher level command set up to organize the defense. Hence, units continue to be thrown piecemeal into the fight. Russian air assets can’t tell friend from foe and have hit Russian units on several occasions.
Russian recon and special ops continue to apparently create havoc in these disjointed reinforcements.
If Ukraine had a larger invasion force, things would have been a lot worse for Russia. But the assets Ukraine had have done an outstanding job.
Finally, putin’s speech yesterday really was more like a whine. Rumors abound that there are new coup pressures building following the Kursk debacle. The embarrassment to putin is massive.
ISRAEL –
Tisha B’Av, August 12 and ends on August 13,
Key overnight developments -
- Large numbers of jews forced their way onto the Temple mount in remembrance of Tisha B’Av.
- Israel is progressively increasing its alert and readiness statuses.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Lest we forget - there are still hostages being held in Gaza.
***
Hamas spokesperson Abu Obeida says in a statement that guards assigned to watch Israeli hostages shot and killed a captive and wounded two female hostages in two separate incidents. He blamed Israel for the shootings. Obeida did not provide proof to support the claim
Israeli army spokesperson: We are monitoring developments in Iran in cooperation with our partners.
Unconfirmed reports said to be leaked by Israeli and western intelligence sources claim that movements and activities that immediately proceeded the April attack have been observed over the past 24 hours in Iran.
Israel prepares for potential Iran axis missile assault on Ben-Gurion Airport near Tel Aviv. in case of ongoing attacks, Israel will shut down Ben-Gurion & shift operations to Ramon Airport in the south within 12 hours of activating emergency protocol.
Israel’s southern Airport was built with extra-long runways to allow large aircraft to land during wartime, report says, including cargo planes carrying arms deliveries.
Ramon Airport threat level is believed to be much lower after IDF destroyed most long-range rockets in Gaza. The airport is protected by Iron Dome & Arrow air defenses. (Amir Tsafarti)
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Israel struck Hamas related targets with air and artillery strikes throughout Gaza overnight.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
IAF hit Hezbollah targets all along the border with Israel overnight.
———WEST BANK——————————-
Israeli security forces increased the tempo of its operations in the West Bank.
Israel is warning that Hezbollah/Iran has been smuggling weapons and munitions thru Jordan and into the West Bank to eventually generate an uprising that may be attempted in conjunction with pending the Hezbollah/Iran attack.
More than 1,900 Jewish settlers entered the Temple Mount (Al-Aqsa Mosque) since morning. Actions related to the remembrance of Tisha B’Av, commemorating the destruction of the first and second temples.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
It is being reported that Iranian backed militias in Syria and Iraq will attack US forces in conjunction with Irans attack against Israel.
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Jordanian Foreign Ministry: We condemn the storming of Al-Aqsa Mosque by “two extremist Israeli ministers” and members of the Knesset under the protection of the Israeli police. Continued Israeli unilateral measures and ongoing violations of the historical and legal status quo in Jerusalem and its holy sites require a clear and firm international stance.
UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer and Iranian President Pezeshkian had thirty minute long phone conversation this evening as part of global de-escalation efforts. UK asks Iran to stand down on its threat about a military attack against Israel
Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi told his Iranian counterpart Ali Bagheri Kani on Sunday that the Chinese Communist Party supports Iran “defending its sovereignty, security and national dignity” prior to an expected Iranian attack on Israel.
——— FORECAST ————————-
Another window of warning ongoing. Indicators being reported by Israeli and Western intelligence sources continue to track more and more indicators of an impending Iranian attack. We are now essentially past the Tisha B’Av window, so the only other delay may be an Aug 15 attempt to get a cease fire / hostage exchange put together. Most are less than optimistic on such an agreement following Hamas rejection of many of the terms.s
Israel for its part seems to be increasing its targeting of Hezbollah rocket and missile launching locations in S Lebanon. Hezbollah leadership have apparently gone into deep bunkers - indicators of imminent action.
Western leaders apparently have been trying to get Iran to stand down. Such an action without legitimate reasons will cause Iran to lose face and appear weak.
Continue to be alert as things can change in a minute.
Iran –
Iranian President: War is not in the interest of any country, and punitive response to the aggressor is a legitimate right of countries to stop crime and aggression.
Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesman: Those who call on Tehran to refrain from responding to Israel lack political logic
Saudi Arabia –
The Biden administration will lift its ban on the sales of offensive weaponry to Saudi Arabia, Reuters reported on Friday, a move that reverses the three-year US ban amidst ongoing attempts by the administration to broker a Saudi-Israel normalisation deal.
OBSERVATION - The resumption of offensive weaponry to SA creates a greater threat to Iran and the Houthi’s in Yemen. biden’s blocking these sales was one of many massive, strategic regional foreign policy blunders of his regime.
Syria -
8 pro-Assad fighters were killed in a drone strike against their bus 2 days ago in the S. Deir ez-Zur countryside. Some were tribal fighters and area targeted suggest a US airstrike
Misc of Note –
The current data indicates that the Second ENSO Neutral thresh hold has been established at the end of July 2024, thereby Enso Neutral conditions continues. The ONI has dropped to +0.2°C for MJJ2024 season. Nino3.4 SST for June 2024 is 0.18°C and for July 2024 is 0.10°C and so for ONI of JJA2024, the combined total of three months Nino3.4 SST for June, July & August 2024 should at least go down to -1.36°C, so as to get ONI for JJA2024 as -0.5°C by rounding to one decimal.
Concluding from the above analysis, Enso Neutral conditions will prevail for JJA2024 and at the end of August, since only four months will be left in the current year 2024 full-fledged La Nina cannot be established, even if La Nina thresh hold is achieved in any of the four months remaining.
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2024/08/12/noaa-criteria-suggest-full-fledged-la-nina-unlikely-in-2024-even-a-single-la-nina-threshold-unlikely-during-the-indian-southwest-monsoon/
Neither El Niño nor La Niña is expected through winter. The so-called neutral conditions still offer clues on what winter could bring.
This neutral phase means there is no push in the atmosphere in either direction from the equatorial Pacific water. This lack of forcing can make it more difficult to predict the weather pattern in the months ahead, and there are many other elements to consider.
NOAA indicates that the polar jet stream may be shifted farther south and have more of a tendency to allow colder-than-average air into portions of the Midwest and Northeast during a neutral winter.
Meanwhile, much of the southern tier of the U.S. may end up with a warmer-than-average winter overall.
In addition, the subtropical jet stream may shift the track of storms to bring an overall wet winter to much of the South. The Pacific storm track may also result in low-pressure systems moving more into the Northwest versus California compared to a typical El Niño winter.
Neutral conditions have been factored into this fall’s temperature forecast, with most of the contiguous U.S. likely to see near-to-above-average temperatures. The exception is the Pacific Northwest where near-to-slightly-below-average conditions are currently anticipated through fall.
OBSERVATION - All the above gobbledygook suggests an unsettled winter. Final winter trends are still developing.
Remember - the ambiguity of a 4-6 month forecast with a lot of data only goes to show that global warming ‘forecasts’ are worthless on the scale of years.
Black Swans -
Globalism / Great Reset –
Sept 22- 23: UN Summit of the Future
The globalist tyrants in control of the European Union sent a letter to Elon Musk on Monday demanding the X owner censor President Donald Trump during their interview tonight.
The letter was sent by Thierry Breton and was dated August 12, 2024.
Thierry Breton is a French business executive, politician, writer and the current Commissioner for Internal Market of the European Union.
In the letter, Thierry warns Elon Musk, “You have the legal obligation to ensure X’s compliance with EU law and in particular the DSA in the EU.”
Thierry Breton goes on,
“This notably means ensuring on one had that freedom of expression and of information, including media freedom and pluralism, are effectively protected and, on the other hand, that all proportionate and effective mitigation measures are put in place regarding the amplification of harmful content in connection with relevant events, including live streams, which if unaddressed, might increase the risk profile of X and generate detrimental effects on civic discourse and public security. This is important against the background of recent examples of public unrest brought about by the amplification of content that promotes hatred, disorder, incitement to violence, or certain instances of disinformation.”
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/08/european-union-tyrants-send-letter-elon-musk-demand/
OBSERVATION - Ongoing effort by the WEF lacky EU to dictate their policies and ‘laws’ onto the US.
But the big thing to note is the emphasis upon “disinformation” (misinformation). Here, once again is 1984ish thought and speech control where the dictators say what is and isn’t ‘information’ suitable for the consumption and discussions of the minions. You hear the same being screeched by democrats here - starting all the way back to the wuhan plandemic - ‘misinformation’ that has sense been proven to be true and the ‘misinformation’ coming from govt authorities.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate to High THREAT - up dated July 14, 2024
— Attempted assassination of Trump.
August 19 - DNC convention in Chicago, IL
***
The strong bent of the harris / walz ticket against Israel and in support of Hamas may serve to mitigate pro-hamas protests/riots during the DNC convention. More specifically, this may reduce funding for these various Palestinian and islamic groups which in turn will drive down participation.
Economy- HIGH Threat - as of AUG 5, 2024
Oil prices jumped by more than 3% on Monday, rising for a fifth consecutive session on expectations of a widening Middle Eastern conflict that could tighten global crude oil supplies.
Brent crude futures settled higher at $82.30 a barrel, gaining $2.64, or 3.3%. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures settled at $80.06 a barrel, up $3.22, or 4.2%.
https://www.newsmax.com/finance/streettalk/oil/2024/08/12/id/1176225/
OBSERVATION - Not a huge jump at this time, but definitely upward pressure as the situation with Iran continues to come to a boil.
***
Bank of America no longer forecasts a U.S. recession in 2024.
OBSERVATION - BoA is tightly bonded to the deep stated in many ways and its forecast is suspect in that measure.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
Another U.S. destroyer, the USS Laboon, has moved into the eastern Mediterranean Sea after transiting the Suez Canal from the Red Sea, defense official says. It joins the nearby destroyers USS Bulkeley, USS Roosevelt and the three-ship amphib TF in region led by USS Wasp
POLITICAL FRONT –
August 19 DNC convention in Chicago, IL
Debates
FoxNews Sept 4th
ABC September 10th
NBC September 25
**** Remember, most polls are designed to shape opinion, not reflect it. ****
Newly released records reveal that Trump would-be assassin, Thomas Crooks, spent months engaging in rifle training at the same training ground used by DHS, FBI, and local police.
OBSERVATION - Been chewing on this development for a few days now. Given the apparent open door to an assassination attempt that was left wide open by SS “blunders”, and the blank slate this guy had in social media and the internet in general, this scenario for grooming becomes more likely. One of the biggest questions has been how did he get bomb making information absent the internet? What swayed him into the attempt? Who among these DHS and FBI individual(s) befriended Crooks at the range.
***
Elon Musk’s much-hyped interview of former President Donald Trump on the social media platform X was quickly derailed by technical glitches in the first minutes of the scheduled start time on Monday evening. Musk suggested it was a DDOS attack.
Social media users trying to log on to the event, which was scheduled to begin at 8 p.m. ET, reported that they could not join X’s livestream platform.
Shortly after 8:20 p.m., Musk, the billionaire Tesla and SpaceX CEO, blamed a cyberattack for the freezing screens. He said that the company had tested the system with 8 million concurrent listeners earlier on Monday to preempt any technical errors and ensure X’s livestream capabilities could handle the event.
The conversation did finally get off the ground and by all indicators it went well for Trump.
harris was invited to do a similar interview/conversation - but she loudly said NO and then proceeded to denounce the event.
According to Musk, the various iterations of the discussion had already hit over a billion total views before midnight.
Biden / Harris Watch –
Police recordings now confirm the medical emergency actions that affected biden during his Las Vegas trip last month. Democrats had attempted to sweep the incident under the rug as at that time they and their MSM lapdogs were in a fierce struggle to convince the nation that biden was in excellent health.
***
After getting a fanciful cover, Harris is declining an interview with Time Magazine.
Russia -
Putin’s address was some what of a nothing burger. Putin accused Ukraine of trying to ‘improve its negotiating position’ through its Kursk offensive into Russian territory during a meeting this morning. Putin added that Ukraine is likely to seek further operations to destabilize the border region amid the evacuation of 11,000 residents in Belgorod due to ongoing Ukrainian operations.
Putin also accused the UN of inaction due to the invasion of Russian territory.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures continue in the 80 - 90 degree range and fair.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Ukrainian air defense shot down 30 Shahed drones overnight
Ukraine Kursk Offensive-
NOTE - Much of the OSINT is coming from Russian based reports. Ukraine still holding to very tight OPSEC. Situation on the ground is still confused and changing minute by minute.
Ukrainian forces have fully captured the center of Sudzha, the administrative capital of Sudzhansky District in Kursk Oblast, Russia.
Ukrainian forces have captured of Sudzha train station have been able to access crucial intel regarding Russian logistic operations in the area. Ukrainian Military is apparently rolling around Sudzha without any hindrance.
It is estimated that Ukrainian Armed Forces currently control around 1,000 square kilometers (386 square miles) of Russian territory. According to conservative estimation of Ukrainian military Telegram channel DeepState, Ukrainian army controls 44 settlements in Kursk region
Evacuation announced in Bolshoye Soldatskoye district of Kursk region
Ukraine has announced a closed military zone in 20kms border zone of Sumy region
Ocheretyne -
Russian Ministry of Defense claims full occupation of Lysychne village of Donetsk region of Ukraine
Outlook —
The bulk of the info on the status of the Kursk offensive is still based on Russian milbloggers and associated Russians. It is apparent that Ukraine is still pressing forward with the attack, but may soon be reaching the limits of its units and logistics tail and have to dig in.
The apparent capture of Sudzha is a huge gain for Ukraine. It effectively shuts down resupply by rail and road to units fighting in the Kharkiv and further south. It has also opened (and it seems Ukraine is attempting to exploit) more terrain to the east - southeast.
The effects of Russia’s massive redeployment efforts are evident in the much lower Russian attacks in areas like Chasiv Yar and northward. Russia is still pressing its attacks in the Ocheretyne axis, but some of its operational reserves have been bleed off to the Kursk defense.
One aspect that Ukraine has capitalized on and will continue to for the near future is the cluster that all these disjointed Russian units are having trying to organize for the fight. Undermanned and lacking key command elements, there is no apparent higher level command set up to organize the defense. Hence, units continue to be thrown piecemeal into the fight. Russian air assets can’t tell friend from foe and have hit Russian units on several occasions.
Russian recon and special ops continue to apparently create havoc in these disjointed reinforcements.
If Ukraine had a larger invasion force, things would have been a lot worse for Russia. But the assets Ukraine had have done an outstanding job.
Finally, putin’s speech yesterday really was more like a whine. Rumors abound that there are new coup pressures building following the Kursk debacle. The embarrassment to putin is massive.
ISRAEL –
Tisha B’Av, August 12 and ends on August 13,
Key overnight developments -
- Large numbers of jews forced their way onto the Temple mount in remembrance of Tisha B’Av.
- Israel is progressively increasing its alert and readiness statuses.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Lest we forget - there are still hostages being held in Gaza.
***
Hamas spokesperson Abu Obeida says in a statement that guards assigned to watch Israeli hostages shot and killed a captive and wounded two female hostages in two separate incidents. He blamed Israel for the shootings. Obeida did not provide proof to support the claim
Israeli army spokesperson: We are monitoring developments in Iran in cooperation with our partners.
Unconfirmed reports said to be leaked by Israeli and western intelligence sources claim that movements and activities that immediately proceeded the April attack have been observed over the past 24 hours in Iran.
Israel prepares for potential Iran axis missile assault on Ben-Gurion Airport near Tel Aviv. in case of ongoing attacks, Israel will shut down Ben-Gurion & shift operations to Ramon Airport in the south within 12 hours of activating emergency protocol.
Israel’s southern Airport was built with extra-long runways to allow large aircraft to land during wartime, report says, including cargo planes carrying arms deliveries.
Ramon Airport threat level is believed to be much lower after IDF destroyed most long-range rockets in Gaza. The airport is protected by Iron Dome & Arrow air defenses. (Amir Tsafarti)
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Israel struck Hamas related targets with air and artillery strikes throughout Gaza overnight.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
IAF hit Hezbollah targets all along the border with Israel overnight.
———WEST BANK——————————-
Israeli security forces increased the tempo of its operations in the West Bank.
Israel is warning that Hezbollah/Iran has been smuggling weapons and munitions thru Jordan and into the West Bank to eventually generate an uprising that may be attempted in conjunction with pending the Hezbollah/Iran attack.
More than 1,900 Jewish settlers entered the Temple Mount (Al-Aqsa Mosque) since morning. Actions related to the remembrance of Tisha B’Av, commemorating the destruction of the first and second temples.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
It is being reported that Iranian backed militias in Syria and Iraq will attack US forces in conjunction with Irans attack against Israel.
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Jordanian Foreign Ministry: We condemn the storming of Al-Aqsa Mosque by “two extremist Israeli ministers” and members of the Knesset under the protection of the Israeli police. Continued Israeli unilateral measures and ongoing violations of the historical and legal status quo in Jerusalem and its holy sites require a clear and firm international stance.
UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer and Iranian President Pezeshkian had thirty minute long phone conversation this evening as part of global de-escalation efforts. UK asks Iran to stand down on its threat about a military attack against Israel
Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi told his Iranian counterpart Ali Bagheri Kani on Sunday that the Chinese Communist Party supports Iran “defending its sovereignty, security and national dignity” prior to an expected Iranian attack on Israel.
——— FORECAST ————————-
Another window of warning ongoing. Indicators being reported by Israeli and Western intelligence sources continue to track more and more indicators of an impending Iranian attack. We are now essentially past the Tisha B’Av window, so the only other delay may be an Aug 15 attempt to get a cease fire / hostage exchange put together. Most are less than optimistic on such an agreement following Hamas rejection of many of the terms.s
Israel for its part seems to be increasing its targeting of Hezbollah rocket and missile launching locations in S Lebanon. Hezbollah leadership have apparently gone into deep bunkers - indicators of imminent action.
Western leaders apparently have been trying to get Iran to stand down. Such an action without legitimate reasons will cause Iran to lose face and appear weak.
Continue to be alert as things can change in a minute.
Iran –
Iranian President: War is not in the interest of any country, and punitive response to the aggressor is a legitimate right of countries to stop crime and aggression.
Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesman: Those who call on Tehran to refrain from responding to Israel lack political logic
Saudi Arabia –
The Biden administration will lift its ban on the sales of offensive weaponry to Saudi Arabia, Reuters reported on Friday, a move that reverses the three-year US ban amidst ongoing attempts by the administration to broker a Saudi-Israel normalisation deal.
OBSERVATION - The resumption of offensive weaponry to SA creates a greater threat to Iran and the Houthi’s in Yemen. biden’s blocking these sales was one of many massive, strategic regional foreign policy blunders of his regime.
Syria -
8 pro-Assad fighters were killed in a drone strike against their bus 2 days ago in the S. Deir ez-Zur countryside. Some were tribal fighters and area targeted suggest a US airstrike
Misc of Note –
The current data indicates that the Second ENSO Neutral thresh hold has been established at the end of July 2024, thereby Enso Neutral conditions continues. The ONI has dropped to +0.2°C for MJJ2024 season. Nino3.4 SST for June 2024 is 0.18°C and for July 2024 is 0.10°C and so for ONI of JJA2024, the combined total of three months Nino3.4 SST for June, July & August 2024 should at least go down to -1.36°C, so as to get ONI for JJA2024 as -0.5°C by rounding to one decimal.
Concluding from the above analysis, Enso Neutral conditions will prevail for JJA2024 and at the end of August, since only four months will be left in the current year 2024 full-fledged La Nina cannot be established, even if La Nina thresh hold is achieved in any of the four months remaining.
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2024/08/12/noaa-criteria-suggest-full-fledged-la-nina-unlikely-in-2024-even-a-single-la-nina-threshold-unlikely-during-the-indian-southwest-monsoon/
Neither El Niño nor La Niña is expected through winter. The so-called neutral conditions still offer clues on what winter could bring.
This neutral phase means there is no push in the atmosphere in either direction from the equatorial Pacific water. This lack of forcing can make it more difficult to predict the weather pattern in the months ahead, and there are many other elements to consider.
NOAA indicates that the polar jet stream may be shifted farther south and have more of a tendency to allow colder-than-average air into portions of the Midwest and Northeast during a neutral winter.
Meanwhile, much of the southern tier of the U.S. may end up with a warmer-than-average winter overall.
In addition, the subtropical jet stream may shift the track of storms to bring an overall wet winter to much of the South. The Pacific storm track may also result in low-pressure systems moving more into the Northwest versus California compared to a typical El Niño winter.
Neutral conditions have been factored into this fall’s temperature forecast, with most of the contiguous U.S. likely to see near-to-above-average temperatures. The exception is the Pacific Northwest where near-to-slightly-below-average conditions are currently anticipated through fall.
OBSERVATION - All the above gobbledygook suggests an unsettled winter. Final winter trends are still developing.
Remember - the ambiguity of a 4-6 month forecast with a lot of data only goes to show that global warming ‘forecasts’ are worthless on the scale of years.
Black Swans -
Thanks Godzilla. Thierry Breton works tor the GLOBALISTS. He’s the 2024 Lord Haw Haw.
Jeebus. Add in a few more polysyllabic words! You might sound smarter!
To the point of my post: What they called disinformation, was actually accurate, and THEY presented disinformation. From Ivermectin, to avoiding the Clot Shot, to the Chinese lab being the source of Covid, to the Russia-Russia-Russia Trump story... the list goes on and on.
They presume to mark truth as disinformation, and that is so ****ing wrong.
Arrogant pieces of work, aren't they?
Lots of strange stuff with this one...
Life has interjected itself this week, so I won’t be able to produce the standard post today and tomorrow’s may be out a little late.
Key item to remain attuned to - Iran/Hezbollah - which seem to be holding off until the Aug 15 ceasefire talks have ended - which right now Hamas has issued unacceptable demands and are not even showing up. So an attack is certain.
Take care.
“Massive cyberattack rocks Central Bank of Iran, computer system paralyzed - report”
https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/4258391/posts
Enjoy your time off - above is someone having fun with Iran...
If you run short on time, you could just do a quick update only on things that have changed much and refer people back to the previous ping.
Thank you for all that you do.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate to High THREAT - up dated July 14, 2024
— Attempted assassination of Trump.
August 19 - DNC convention in Chicago, IL
***
Protesters with IfNotNow blocked off the 405 freeway in West LA yesterday. Numbering around 50 to 100 the caused traffic to be at a standstill as they block cars and other vehicles from entering or leaving. They are demanding that all elected Democrats ahead of the DNC call for a lasting ceasefire in Gaza, reject AIPAC money, and call for an arms embargo on Israel.
***
(Forward Observer) According to Bloomberg Economics analysis, the likelihood of violent political turmoil in the U.S. in the next year is only 2.9%, but is the third highest in the Group of 20 nations behind Turkey and Russia.
Bloomberg Economics said it used an analytic approach created by the U.S. government’s Political Instability Task Force, and found the erosion of democratic institutions and rise of factional grievances in the U.S. have “significantly elevated the risk of internal armed conflict.”
OBSERVATION - Their analysis states “Domestic political violence is likely to be small-scale, individual attacks on other private citizens or individual elected officials. The attempted assassination of former President Trump is a likely indicator of increasing political tensions, and as tensions increase between political factions, more small-scale and interpersonal political violence is likely. This violence is likely to look like political violence during the 2016 election and the 2017 riots. “
I’m not sure I agree with either the study or this analysis. The focal point is the Nov elections. If Trump wins, the probability of violence by the left will skyrocket. If democrats win, violence will mostly be push back on totalitarian efforts to force communism on the nation via many means such as unconstitutional gun seizures, cancelation of free speech and general ‘punishment’ of the right by the deep state.
***
Rumblings from the pro-hamas crowd to cause trouble at the DNC convention because they don’t see the already anti-Israeli harris/walz team being anti-Israel enough! Some elements of the campaign have been targeted by the leftist/pro-hamas elements with disruptive protests.
Terrorism - Heightened THREAT as of Aug 1, 2024
More identified islamic terrorists from the various lists have been intercepted at the border.
Economy- HIGH Threat - as of AUG 5, 2024
Yesterday, BoA declared there will be no 2023 recession. Other banks are speaking out now
(FO) CitiBank reported that the rising unemployment rate “is the clearest sign yet that rather than achieving a ‘soft landing’ the U.S. economy is more likely to slide into recession… Restrictive interest rates, fading fiscal stimulus, and exhausted excess savings are damping demand… [These are] precursors to outright layoffs.”
CitiBank FX Research also warned institutional clients to remain defensive in U.S. markets, citing limited upside because market rallies in election years are rare, and September is historically a weak month
JPMorgan’s Michael Cembalest advised clients last week that “recession risks have gone up” and that U.S. markets aren’t yet pricing that in.
***
US inflation hits 2.9% in July, a milestone that could permit the Fed to finally start cutting rates.
OBSERVATION - So much of the economy is left out of the equation that it is a joke. Prices continue to be outrageous. Bought a bag of potato chips yesterday - $7.95 for what once was only a couple bucks a few years ago. This is all about a carefully scripted economic “recovery” put forward by the democrats and the powers that be.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
There are currently around 40,000 US troops in the CENTCOM area of operation following the recent surge of military assets and forces to the Middle East. There are usually about 32,000 in the AOR, per Pentagon
Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics –
Oct 2- 5: International Bird Flu Summit in DC
More rumbling from the pro-jab mob to prepare schools for wuhan-like restrictions should the ‘bird flu’ break out. Much of the suggested actions include a lot of fear mongering among students and parents. They are still predicting a 25-50% mortality rate, although human infections this year have been relatively mild and resulted in no deaths.
POLITICAL FRONT –
August 19 DNC convention in Chicago, IL
Debates
FoxNews Sept 4th
ABC September 10th
NBC September 25
**** Remember, most polls are designed to shape opinion, not reflect it. ****
Speaking of polls, the axiom above has become even more true of late. Poll after poll touted by the MSM has the least popular VP in history suddenly blowing trump out of the water - even on economic issues. This is a deliberate concerted attempt to discourage the republicans and suppress enthusiasm come election day.
Some have ventured into the internals of some of these polls, particularly those that seem to display a trend and low and behold - these polls oversample democrats by as much as 10% in order to achieve a 4% lead by harris. Now harris is being forced to put forth policies and is attempting to decouple herself from biden (see below) while walz continues to get hammered by his militarily service claims as well as other dark behavior.
***
Harris won’t say it this bluntly in public, but her advisers do so privately: She wants to break with Biden on issues on which he’s unpopular,” the outlet reported. “First up: rising prices. This is part of a highly choreographed effort to define herself — in some cases, redefine herself — as a different kind of Democrat.”
The article went on to say that she “wants to be not-Biden on inflation — arguably the biggest domestic topic of this campaign — by proposing clearer, more urgent solutions.”
The big picture: Harris doesn’t want to be completely defined by the Biden-Harris record, advisers tell us. And she needs some distance: 80% of U.S. adults in Gallup polling say they’re dissatisfied with the country’s direction.
White House Press Secretary Karine Jean-Pierre flat out rejected this idea during Wednesday’s White House Press Briefing.
“When did you guys learn that Vice President Harris wants to distance herself from Bidenomics?” Fox News White House Correspondent Peter Doocy asked.
“Why do you think that?” Jean-Pierre asked.
Doocy cited the Axios report before asking “Can you blame her?”
“Do you know this is the Biden-Harris administration?” Jean-Pierre replied. “Are you aware that this is the Biden-Harris administration? And she is indeed the vice president.”
OBSERVATION - Ouch! Things just got prickly between biden and harris.
***
According to an Axios investigation, the Harris campaign edited headlines and descriptions in Google ads designed to look like supportive news reports from a dozen media outlets, including CNN, The Guardian, NPR, and USA Today. Spokespeople for the media outlets said they were unaware the Harris campaign used their brands in the ads.
Biden / Harris Watch –
Harris on Friday will call on Congress to pass a federal ban on price gouging as part of her economic platform to lower grocery prices and everyday costs.
OBSERVATION - Price controls, never worked in the past and won’t work here because the root causes of higher prices are not being addressed. Classical communism ploy.
Grocery stores and food producers operate on very low margins, and capping price increases will likely drive those margins lower and lead to shortages. This will act to put smaller, mom and pop stores out of business, while larger chains will be able to endure for longer.
Cyber attacks/warfare – HEIGHTENED ALERT as of Aug 1, 2024
According to a class-action lawsuit filing in Florida, private background check company National Public Data exposed 2.8 personal records, including Social Security numbers, in a hack earlier this year. According to the suit, National Public Data (NPD) has not notified any affected individuals of the breach.
A hacking group known as USDoD claimed to have stolen the massive amount of private data in April, from NPD, which holds personal information for employers, private investigators and other agencies for the purpose of background checks
OBSERVATION - Personal privacy is totally out the window. Throwing on the conspiracy hat, this is another angle of chaos creation instigated by the global powers that be. What better driving force for a biometically anchored universal ID system.
Illegal Immigration –
NYC migrant crisis costs will crack eye-popping $5 billion on shelters, security and food — amount could double by 2025
The fence was projected to cost not much more than that IIRC.
Japan –
Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida said he would step down in September and allow the Liberal Democrat Party (LDP) to choose a new party President. Japan has no general election this year, so the majority party, the LDP, is favored to retain the Prime Minister’s office.
Russia -
*****
Security measures have been intensified in Moscow due to threats of infiltration by reconnaissance and sabotage groups. The protection has been increased in the city center and around the Kremlin, according to Russian media.
Economic Impact –
In Russia, a ban on gasoline exports is being introduced again. In the Telegram channel of the Russian government - “From September 1 to December 31, 2024, a temporary restriction on gasoline exports will again be in effect in Russia. A decree on this has been signed.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures continue in the 80 - 90 degree range and fair.
RUMINT –
Persistent rumors of Ukrainian force build up opposite of Belgorod.
Rumors that Russian is stepping Kalingrade of forces to deploy to Kursk
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Ukrainian air defense shot down 17 Shahed drones overnight
RUMINT - Russian aviation-related Telegram Channel Fighterbomber confirms attacks at Russian airfields overnight, hinting most damage at Savasleyka.
Explosions were reported in Borisoglebsk of Voronezh region
Ukraine Kursk Offensive-
NOTE - Much of the OSINT is coming from Russian based reports. Ukraine still holding to very tight OPSEC. Situation on the ground is still confused and changing minute by minute.
***
Ukrainian Defense forces continue offensive operation in Kursk region, advancement about 1-2 kms at different directions since midnight today, mopping-up operation completed in Sudzha town, over 100 Russian servicemen were captured as POWs
Clashes are on the western outskirts of Kamyshnoye village of Kursk region, - Russian military Telegram channel
General Staff of Armed forces of Ukraine claims shooting down Su-34 fighter-bomber over Kursk region overnight
A regional emergency situation regime has been declared in the Belgorod Region, with a subsequent appeal to the government commission with a request to declare a federal emergency, said the region’s governor, Vyacheslav Gladkov.
Russian regime authorities have issued urgent evacuation orders to all remaining civilians in the Glushkovsky District (area in green), Kursk Region. It is likely that Ukrainian forces have already crossed into that region.
RUMINT. Leak from Russian observers: Ukrainian forces now also amassing near the border in Kharkiv for an expected assault into Belgorod region.
Leak from Russian intel services: Ukraine is accumulating a large military force in Malaya Rybitsa to attack into Russia’s Belgorod region.
Ukrainian forces in Sudzha also expected to assault from the north.
NOTE - This would be a strategic level envelopment of a substantial number of Russian units.
Outlook —
The drama continues to focus on the Kursk offensive and the stumbling Russian response to it. The Ukraine advance is slowing more due to the amount of terrain captured and a broader front than from the efforts of Russian forces to stop it.
Mentioned before, the Russians have been tossing units peacemeal into the fight and have been getting decimated. Noted before - lack of unified command and control - Russian units are not coordinating their actions. In one instance Russian attack helicopters shot up their own reinforcement column.
Ukraine has been forward deployed with aggressive scout elements who’ve been accurately locating these reinforcing columns, but have assessed their combat effectiveness and slipped in between them in some instances to launch ambushes.
Also evident have been the thousands of Russians surrendering in mass to Ukraine forces. More evidence of poorly trained, poorly equipped and poorly motivated soldiers.
An assessment of the potential supporting attack in the Belgorod region suggests such an effort is possible if Ukraine has the forces available to launch it. The current successful continued push on the southeast margin of the salient towards Belgorod reinforces some of the projection. OTOH, this could be a large ruse to cause more Russian forces to be pulled out of its ongoing offensive actions to the south. In that case, Ukraine may have a card up its sleeve to counter attack there.
Ukraine OPSEC has been intense and effective, so much that Russia is very much in the dark. So much so that they are freaked out about the potential for saboteurs in Moscow proper.
Situation can still change rapidly.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- The latest, greatest effort for a ceasefire / hostage agreement is set for today. It is likely to fail due to Hamas already announced rejection of many of the terms.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Lest we forget - there are still hostages being held in Gaza.
***
Hamas will not participate in Doha’s ceasefire talks tomorrow, according to a senior official in the Palestinian factions, who was cited by Al-Mayadeen.
Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar introduced a new precondition for participating in ceasefire talks on Thursday.
He informed foreign negotiators: Hamas will not engage in any ceasefire discussions until Israel ceases fire, BEFORE the ceasefire talks begin.
RUMINT - US provided Tehran names of 10 mossad agents operating in Iran. JPost
NOTE - Many viewing this as an Iranian disinformation plot to split the US from Israel. The US has categorically denied the report
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
IDF continues to hammer hamas cells attempting to regroup throughout gaza
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Lebanese Prime Minister: We are determined to stop the war and we confirm our country’s position to strictly adhere to Resolution 1701
Since October 8, Hezbollah has launched more than 7,500 missiles and 200 drones at Israel that killed 43 Israelis, (19 were soldiers), wounded 271, and caused 790 fires which burned 40,000 acres of land.
Otherwise, IDF continues to strike Hezbollah targets throughout S Lebanon as well as conducting drone strikes on leadership.
——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-
Iran has angered its allies, particularly Hezbollah and Hamas, by once again urging caution in responding to Israel after the assassinations of high-ranking Hezbollah terrorist Fuad Shukr and Hamas political leader Ismail Haniyeh, the Kuwaiti newspaper al Jarida reported on Wednesday.
According to the report, while Iran has recently signaled a willingness to delay its response to Haniyeh’s assassination, a source within the Iranian Revolutionary Guard’s Quds Force revealed to the Kuwaiti news outlet that a heated meeting took place on Sunday in Tehran between representatives of Iran’s regional allies and the Revolutionary Guard leadership.
This meeting exposed a significant rift, the report noted, which escalated into a verbal clash and ended with some allies storming out in anger.
According to the source, Revolutionary Guard representatives urged the allies to hold off on retaliation, at least until after the conclusion of hostage negotiations in Gaza, set to end on Thursday.
https://www.jpost.com/middle-east/iran-news/article-814689#google_vignette
OBSERVATION - Reports of distention have trickled out in recent days. However, caution must be given this report as Kuwait is hostile towards Iran and this may well be regional propaganda to make Iran look weak and fractured. The hit on Haniyeh in Tehran was a major face loss to Iran and the mullahs may not be sleeping well at night still. I think they see Israel’s resolve to really hit back following the restraint shown after the April missile assault as a major warning, and the political elements are thinking twice. Evidence that the mullah’s are less thoughtful, believing that allah will win no matter what.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
The pro-Iranian militias attacked with rockets this evening the US army base in the Conoco gas field in eastern Syria, without damage or casualties
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Al-Asmar observed, “Regarding the situation on the ground, Iran and Hezbollah’s delay in responding to the deaths of Ismail Haniyeh and Fuad Shukr have so far allowed Israel and the US to strengthen their position on the ground and use all means at their disposal.” He added, “A warship has recently arrived in the area. This has allowed Israel and the US to increase their strength and deploy the necessary defense to repel the attack.” Al-Asmar concluded, “As a result, Iran has essentially lost the most significant element in modern warfare, which is the element of surprise.”
***
Cyprus announced that it had completed preparations to receive refugees from a potential Israel-Lebanon war.
——— FORECAST ————————-
Irans apparent insistence on waiting until today’s negotiations on a ceasefire could be the final measure of delay holding back the expected retaliatory strike against Israel. Iran will have essentially no further reason to delay. Time to fish or cut bait is soon to arrive.
The unconfirmed reports of an Iranian restart of development of nuclear bomb detonators (see Iran below) will likely be used by Israel as further reason to strike Iran’s nuclear program. With a successful detonator, only a few weeks is necessary to purify the Uranium to the 90% plus level necessary for a nuclear weapon.
Not noted above, global economic firms like Barkleys, are warning Iran that movement to war with Israel will severely damage its economy, as money necessary for domestic measures will be shifted to military - triggering a new round of uncontrollable high inflation. Of course this will not go over well with an already hard pressed citizenry.
Things can change quickly so keep alert.
Iran –
Iran is planning to resume testing nuclear bomb detonators, reports @IranIntl.
“Newly obtained information shows the Islamic Republic has intensified its efforts to complete the nuclear weapons production cycle.”
OBSERVATION - This is critical. Modern sensors can measure to see if the pressures/temperatures that are created by the detonation devise are sufficient high enough to generate a nuclear fission event - BOOM. This can greatly accelerate Irans development of a nuclear device as well as move it closer to a weapon that can be deployed on one of their missiles. Testing of such a device is much harder to detect than a full out nuclear test. The clock has moved several ticks closer to nuclear weapons being used in the middle east region.
***
A major cyberattack has targeted the Central Bank of Iran (CBI) and several other banks, leading to widespread disruptions in the country’s banking system. Initial assessments indicate this could be one of the largest cyberattacks ever against Iranian state infrastructure.
Reports of a widespread power outage in Tehran and several other cities in central and western Iran.
OBSERVATION - Could be evidence of an Israeli cyber attack hitting not only banks but infrastructure as well.
Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan -
In celebration of 3 years in power, Taliban held a parade showing off equipment left behind by Biden-Harris regime
Africa general –
We have a new civil war in Libya again. The Libyan House of Representatives backed by UAE/Egypt has ended all of its agreements with Dibaydah government backed by Qatar/Turkey. Both sides have started deployment of their forces for a new war!
CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate to High THREAT - up dated July 14, 2024
— Attempted assassination of Trump.
August 19 - DNC convention in Chicago, IL
***
Unconfirmed reports are claiming that over 30,000 international antifa have already arrived in the Chicago area, with approximately 500-850 more arriving each day.
Chicago police reportedly expecting upwards of 100,000 demonstrators.
OBSERVATION - All the warm fuzzies being put out by the harris campaign may evaporate here in the near future. This foreign influx of antifa may trigger local chapters to get bold and turnout as well.
***
The City University of New York (CUNY), the largest urban public university system in the United States, is not prepared for the “potentially dangerous” onslaught of anti-Israel protests that may hit campuses when students return this fall, CUNY police officers warned, reported the New York Post.
“The university is going into this under fire. They have no idea what’s going to happen. There’s no preparation,” a CUNY police officer told the Post, speaking on condition of anonymity.
The officers highlighted last spring’s violent protests across college campuses in response to the Israel-Hamas war as reason for concerns this fall.
https://www.newsmax.com/us/college-campus-anti-israel/2024/08/15/id/1176724/
OBSERVATION - A lot depends on the DNC convention and action between Israel and Hezbollah/Iran.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
The American aircraft carrier Abraham Lincoln crossed the Singapore Strait Thursday on its way to the Middle East
Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics –
Oct 2- 5: International Bird Flu Summit in DC
The World Health Organization (WHO) is ordering governments worldwide to prepare to implement unprecedented new lockdowns due to the new mutant monkeypox strain, which it claims will transform into a global pandemic.
The new strain of the virus is much worse than the one seen in 2022, according to WHO officials.
The virus is also reportedly “spreading” without any sexual contact. Business Insider reports the virus can also spread without any sexual contact at all.
It began spreading through sexual transmission, via the local sex work industry, according to the researchers. However, they said the new virus has also spread within households, between mothers and their children, and there have even been cases of person-to-person spread outside households and without sexual contact.
OBSERVATION - The WHO is desperate to come up with some sort of pandemic boogyman by this fall.
POLITICAL FRONT –
August 19 DNC convention in Chicago, IL
Debates ???
FoxNews Sept 4th (dropped by harris)
ABC September 10th
NBC September 25
Vance/walz - Oct. 1
**** Remember, most polls are designed to shape opinion, not reflect it. ****
Anyone else feel like they need to shower after viewing the massive pro-harris media blitz by the MSN?
The cover up continues. The FBI secretly released would be Trump assassin, Thomas Crooks’ body to be cremated before Rep. Clay Higgins could examine it.
OBSERVATION - These acts by the FBI scream coverup.
Russia -
Russian Personnel Issues –-
Unconfirmed reports that green conscripts - absent any combat training, are being shipped to Kursk in mass.
OBSERVATION - Deployment of completely green conscripts is evidence of desperation by putin.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures continue in the 80 - 90 degree range and fair.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Ukrainian air defense shot down 3 Shahed drones and 2 drones of unknown type. Ukraine drones / missiles also hit several targets in Crimea.
Ukraine Kursk Offensive-
NOTE - Much of the OSINT is coming from Russian based reports. Ukraine still holding to very tight OPSEC. Situation on the ground is still confused and changing minute by minute.
***
Ukrainian military presence reported in Vyazovoye village of Belgorod region
Russian military bloggers reporting another Russian military column could have been destroyed near Korenevo
The mayor of the city of Lgov in the Kursk region, Alexey Klemeshov, advises the people who left the city not to return until the situation improves
Russian Defense Minister Belousov demanded that he should be provided with “truthful” and “up-to-date” information from the Kursk region, where Ukrainian Armed Forces units have entered, as well as from other Russian border regions
Ocheretyne front -
Russian Ministry of Defense claims full occupation of Serhiivka village in Donetsk region of Ukraine. Russian forces are pressing to expand the flanks of the salient and taking ground.
Outlook —
The Kursk offensive continues to slow, less to Russian efforts but more due to Ukrainian forces reaching their maximum capabilities of their forces.
Russian Defense Minister Belousov’s demand for “truthful” information indicates that classic Russian happy face battlefield reports are working up the chain, deflecting criticism of lower echelons. This further adds to the fog of war the Kremlin is facing.
It does appear that Russia has designated a general to coordinate the Kursk defense, but that still isn’t helping the lack of command and control of the hodgepodge units being thrown into the fight.
On the Ocheretyne front, Russia is having some success pressing southward out of the salient. This is open terrain that has somewhat poorer Ukraine defenses. When Russia comes upon a town/city, they face the typical meat grinder Ukraine defenses. Ocheretyne front seems to be exempted from releasing forces for Kursk.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- More talks on ceasefire and hostage releases.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Lest we forget - there are still hostages being held in Gaza.
***
British and French Foreign Ministers Arrive in Israel in an effort to dissuade Israel from striking Hezbollah and Iran, in addition to accepting a ceasefire plan for Gaza.
Qatari Foreign Ministry Spokesman: The meeting of mediators to end the war on Gaza, held in Doha, is ongoing and will resume today, Friday
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
The Israeli army issues a new evacuation order for Palestinians in north Khan Younis and east Deir al-Balah, and has further reduced the boundaries of the Israeli-designated humanitarian zone. This is due to Hamas continuing to fire rockets from within refugee camps.
IDF has destroyed about 50 tunnels in the Philadelphia corridor region. The military did not detail how many of the tunnels crossed into Egypt. Tunnels along the Philadelphia Corridor are believed to be used by Hamas for smuggling arms into the Strip.
Air and artillery strikes throughout Gaza over night. More than 30 Hamas sites, including booby-trapped buildings, tunnels, and weapon depots, were targeted in airstrikes across Gaza, according to the military.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Hezbollah and IDF exchanged fire overnight. Israel stuck targets throughout S Lebanon with artillery and air attacks.
———WEST BANK——————————-
Growing unrest between Jews living in the West Bank and palestinians. Israeli security forces continued raids to arrest terror suspects.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
Abdul-Malik al-Houthi: Our response to the Israeli attack on Hodeidah is coming, and U.S. efforts to contain it have failed
The US has announced that it has imposed sanctions on the trading networks of Hezbollah and the Houthis.
——— FORECAST ————————-
The ceasefire / hostage talks are not likely to go anywhere today. Hamas is issuing new demands that are clearly unacceptable to Israel. With the collapse of talks, the likelyhood for a Hezbollah / Iran strike grow.
Hezbollah has been ready for weeks now. Iran continues to appear to be dragging its feet on the attack. Israel’s threat to take out Iran’s nuclear program in addition to its vulnerable oil infrastructure may well reside in their planning.
I know I’ve been saying this for some time now, but both can launch strikes at any moment. WIth the Doha talks spinning apart, the likelihood for a soon strike grows.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate to High THREAT - up dated July 14, 2024
— Attempted assassination of Trump.
August 19 - DNC convention in Chicago, IL
***
Protestors are swarming on Chicago for next weeks DNC convention. Protest organizers expect between 30,000 and 40,000 to join the March on the DNC 2024 on Monday.
Nearly 100 organizations that plan to protest against Israel are expected to be in Chicago as the war in Gaza reaches 10 months. The groups expected to protest outside the DNC between Monday and Thursday include CODEPINK, the Palestinian Feminist Collective, Students for Justice in Palestine Chicago, American Muslims for Palestine Chicago, and other pro-Palestinian groups active across the United States, according to a new report by a watchdog group.
Activists who have pressured the Biden administration for a ceasefire and an end to military aid said their calculus has not changed, even after Biden stepped aside.
OBSERVATION - Protestors were relatively quiet in Milwaukee but here they are trying to be loud. The focal point of these hard core leftist groups is the complete isolation of Israel - a fight they are facing internally against traditionally moderate, pro-israel democrats. Just like in places like Portland, these radical groups are attempting to bully the party into conceding to their demands. In Portland, antifa has been largely successful. Here, with a strongly anti-Israel harris, they will try the same.
ADDITIONAL NOTE - Tens of thousand of foreign based Antifa elements are rumored to be in town.
IN RELATED - Chicago businesses are boarding up in anticipation of violent riots next week.
***
new photos of Trump shooter Thomas Matthew Crooks have raised more questions about the failed assassination attempt.
One of the images captures the 20-year-old Crooks perched on a wall in a grassy area on July 13 at the Butler, Pennsylvania rally - just moments before he opened fire.
In the picture, Crooks can be seen holding up his cell phone - as if chatting to someone on a call. Investigators have still not determined what Crooks’ motive was or whether he was indeed acting alone.
The other picture captures the moment Crooks turns to look over his shoulder while sitting in the same position. It was unclear what prompted him to turn, or whether he was talking to someone behind him.
OBSERVATION - This topic has shifted to several categories over the past month in these TM’s. Evidence points to the strong likelihood that Crooks was recruited by the deep state and an assassination of trump being a key component of the efforts to shut down opposition, the questions raised by these photos - especially the one with him apparently talking on his phone minutes prior to the attack - raise more questions. That call should be identifiable and traceable. More and more, the grossly botched security plans and now bungling investigation all point to Crooks having insider support. The silence about the investigation is LOUD.
Terrorism - Heightened THREAT as of Aug 1, 2024
A Jordanian national who currently lives in Orlando, Florida has been arrested and charged with destroying an energy facility and threatening the use of explosives to destroy multiple other businesses.
According to the Daily Caller, the charges were filed against 43-year-old Hashem Younis Hashem Hnaihen by the Department of Justice (DOJ). The charges were announced in a DOJ press release on Thursday, detailing his campaign of violence against multiple businesses in the Orlando area that resulted in over $700,000 in damage.
Hnaihen’s attacks began in June of 2023, targeting businesses that he claimed, without evidence, were pro-Israel. He would carry out his attacks late at night and would wear a mask to conceal his face on security cameras. He smashed windows and glass doors and left behind “warning letters” that were addressed to the federal government. In the letters, he threatened to “destroy or explode everything here in whole America. Especially the companies and factories that support the racist state of Israel.”
One of his victims was a solar power generation facility in Wedgefield, Florida, where he “spent hours systematically destroying solar panel arrays.”
OBSERVATION - This guy is here legally. Imagine the thousands of others of his ilk here illegally.
Economy- HIGH Threat - as of AUG 5, 2024
According to CNBC: “Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said the swelling national debt is manageable as long as it stays around where it is relative to the rest of the economy. ‘If the debt is stabilized relative to the size of the economy, we’re in a reasonable place,’ she told CNBC’s Andrew Ross Sorkin. ‘The way I look at it is that we should be looking at the real interest cost of the debt. That’s really what the burden is.’”
The public share of the national debt as a share of GDP is running at about 97% but is expected to soon top 100% at current spending rates. In other words, the national debt is on track to eclipse the size of the entire U.S. economy’s annual output.
Just this fiscal year alone (starting October 1, 2023), interest costs on the national debt have exceeded $600 billion, which is more than the government spent on healthcare of defense, and four times its education expenditures. In the entirety of the 2023 fiscal year, interest costs were $659 billion.
The budget deficit for 2024 is running at $1.2 trillion with four months left in the fiscal year. In 2023, the shortfall totaled $1.7 trillion.
https://wokespy.com/biden-treasury-secretary-claims-national-debt-in-a-reasonable-place/
OBSERVATION - With revelations on harris’ economic policies coming forth for the DNC convention, concern is rising even in the MSM realm of the realities that her trillions in new debt spending will collapse the tower of cards.
Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics –
Oct 2- 5: International Bird Flu Summit in DC
Monkey pox continues to revolve around the inter webs. The narrative is trying to push that it is no longer a sexually transmitted disease but one that can be transmitted like the cold.
POLITICAL FRONT –
August 19 DNC convention in Chicago, IL
Debates ???
FoxNews Sept 4th (dropped by harris)
ABC September 10th
NBC September 25
Vance/walz - Oct. 1
**** Remember, most polls are designed to shape opinion, not reflect it. ****
Fun and games on tap as the dnc kicks off its convention in Chicago Monday.
Three vulnerable senators will not be attending the DNC next week - Sens. Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio), Jon Tester (D-Mont.), and Jacky Rosen (D-Nev.). All three have been vocal supporters of the biden regime and consistently voted for his disastrous plans.
***
Trump’s legal team asked New York Judge Juan Merchan to delay a sentencing hearing in Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg’s falsified business records case until after the November election. The sentencing hearing is currently scheduled for 18 September.
OBSERVATION - Democrats are playing with fire on this one. The backlash from a pre-election sentencing that places Trump could shift the whole dynamic of the election once again. The judicial activists are likely hoping that they can delay the appeals (which would blow up their convictions) until after the elections, keeping trump in jail and off the campaign trail.
Biden / Harris Watch –
Harris continues to struggle to pull herself away from biden policies of the past 3 years, while biden’s regime keeps the strings attached.
Cyber attacks/warfare – HEIGHTENED ALERT as of Aug 1, 2024
The massive release of SSNs and personal data continues to reverberate.
China –
Reports that the Chinese lost their aircraft carrier Minsk that they purchased from Russia due to some kind of fire.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures continue in the 80 - 90 degree range and fair.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Ukrainian air defense shot down 14 Russian Shahed drones overnight
Ukraine Kursk Offensive-
NOTE - Much of the OSINT is coming from Russian based reports. Ukraine still holding to very tight OPSEC. Situation on the ground is still confused and changing minute by minute.
***
Ukrainian airstrike destroyed a bridge in Glushkovo of Kursk region.
Russian Telegram blogger reports Ukrainian forces advancing at Vyshnevka village of Korneevo district. Small arms fighting in the area
Ukraine forces continue to advance in the northern and southeastern portions of the salient.
RUMINT from Russia suggests that the Kremlin is not convinced this is the big event. There are beliefs that Ukraine is hiding an even bigger, heavier force to strike another section of the front.
Outlook —
While Ocheretyne continues to be the focus on Russia’s offensive, Kursk is taking increasingly higher priorities. It is already evident that the intensity of Russian attacks in other sectors like Chasiv Yar have decreased substantially, as forces are moved to Kursk.
Ukraine is also making reinforcement more difficult for Russia, now targeting bridges and other transportation routes.
I’m not convinced that Russian leaders have any kind of a handle of what is going on in Kursk. Resistance is building, but coordination/communications between units is still very poor, creating seams that Ukraine is exploiting to further penetrations to hit forces from the rear.
AFA a second Ukraine offensive - I would’t rule it out as they evaluate where Russia has pulled forces from and the status of this remaining.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- Negotiation in Doha concluded with very little if any progress. To reconvene in Egypt in a week.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Lest we forget - there are still hostages being held in Gaza.
***
In apparent preparations for a potential strike in Iran, the Israeli Air Force yesterday conducted a long-range refueling exercise. In a statement, the IDF says the drill “simulated a long-range flight deep in enemy territory, while conducting aerial refueling several times in short periods.”
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Israeli strikes throughout Gaza targeting Hamas cells.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Hezbollah took responsibility for launching a barrage of rockets at the northern community of Ayelet HaShahar a short while ago. Ayelet HaShahar is located some 10 kilometers from the Lebanon border, and is not among the evacuated towns.
Israel responded by striking of areas in the eastern sector of southern Lebanon with artillery.
Israeli army: We bombed Hezbollah weapons and ammunition depots in Nabatieh, southern Lebanon, yesterday
Hezbollah released video of a large, underground facility in Lebanon that they claim can be used to launch tens of thousands of rockets. Large enough for trucks and considerable storage of rockets/missiles, it reportedly is one of many facilities.
———WEST BANK——————————-
Israeli security forces active throughout the west bank arresting terror suspects.
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
French Foreign Minister: We hope that the upcoming Cairo round will end with an agreement on Gaza
Egypt’s Foreign Minister: The only formula to end the Palestinian-Israeli conflict is the two-state solution
——— FORECAST ————————-
Doha talks are done, with no deal. Now Iran has to fish or cut bait, it has run out of excuses to delay any attack. Thus an attack could be kicked off at a moment’s notice.
Israel continues to maintain readiness to respond, as demonstrated by its air refueling exercise yesterday. Though in a broad sense, Israeli ops in Gaza have stepped down a bit potentially in preparation for the impending attack.
Hezbollah for its part, released a video of one of its underground complexes. Construction of such a large facility would definitely have left a substantial footprint. Though buried in a mountain - it has serious vulnerabilities such as destroyable entrances/exits and other portals. Given Israel’s intensive intelligence operations in Lebanon, these are likely already been pinpointed and set into a target set. Hezbollah has put a lot of eggs into one basket with these mega bunkers.
Forecast remains the same - Hezbollah/Iranian attack is imminent and could happen at any time.
Thanks for the report today Godzilla.
Ack! Apologies for the large size, I did format, really I did.
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